Storms spawn Monday in Minnesota, some could be severe

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It looks like the storms will weaken by the time they reach the metro.

Transcript

00:00Well, we have a hot, hazy, windy Monday on the way.

00:02Temperatures near 90, still smoky skies, gusty winds,

00:05but a cool front is moving through that's going to spawn

00:07thunderstorms, potentially severe ones in western Minnesota

00:10this afternoon into this evening, followed by cooler air.

00:26So we still have air quality issues, primarily

00:29northwestern Minnesota Monday morning, where it is unhealthy

00:32for everybody, but some of that air quality could be moving east,

00:36so still air quality alerts in effect through 6 p.m. Monday

00:40for most of the state, it's just going to be kind of on and off.

00:42A lot of fires burning, all those brown areas are acres burned,

00:45large fires in Saskatchewan, Manitoba, and it has been affecting

00:49the air quality and certainly the hazy skies throughout the state.

00:53But we've got a low-pressure center, cool front to the west,

00:55that's going to be the focus for some thunderstorms developing later today

00:59and gusty south winds out ahead of it today, pushing those temperatures up

01:04to close to 90.

01:05We'll see if we can actually get there.

01:07Temperatures have been underperforming the last few days,

01:10thanks to the wildfire smoke.

01:11It acts like a bit of a cloud layer, keeping things from warming up as much.

01:16Severe risk today for those storms that do develop,

01:19primarily western, southwestern Minnesota, the yellow area there,

01:23that slight risk, that's level 2 out of 5, and then a marginal risk

01:26kind of surrounding that, but really it does look to be focused

01:28in west-central Minnesota, the severe risk.

01:31We're going to see some higher dew points out ahead of it too.

01:33You'll notice the air getting stickier as we head into the afternoon,

01:36especially this evening into the 60s, but those of course will drop quickly

01:39as that cooler, drier air moves in tomorrow.

01:42And this is why we're expecting the storms to stay severe just to the west.

01:45We've got a very narrow area of instability that will fizzle out pretty quickly.

01:48So we're looking at mostly leftover storms in eastern Minnesota.

01:52This is the supercell index forecast for late this afternoon,

01:56highest in western Minnesota, and then that gradient really drops off

02:00as you move east.

02:01And looking at two different models for the updraft tracks, essentially,

02:05yeah, all point to western Minnesota primarily,

02:07but maybe some lingering severe storms in northeastern Minnesota.

02:11So that's why there's that broad marginal risk, level 1 out of 5,

02:13kind of covering northern and western Minnesota.

02:15So storms will fire already around 2 p.m. west central Minnesota

02:18through central Minnesota by 6 p.m.

02:20Twin cities, we can expect storms by maybe 7 to 8, 9 p.m.

02:24And then kind of on and off, scattered showers,

02:26a few thunderstorms behind that front into tomorrow morning,

02:29maybe even into the early afternoon.

02:31Western Minnesota will dry out quicker, but as far as rainfall goes,

02:34half inch to an inch of rain possible for a good swath of northeastern,

02:38central, southern Minnesota.

02:40But these will be thunderstorm-type precip patterns where you can have a lot

02:45in one spot and a lot less in another.

02:47So it's kind of luck of the draw.

02:49Rain-cool temperatures tomorrow.

02:51They're just upper 60s.

02:5270s to the west where the sun will break out by the afternoon.

02:55Wednesday, the sun is out for all of us.

02:56Looks like a very nice day.

02:58Mostly 70s for highs.

02:59And we're going to stay pretty much in the 70s through the rest of the week

03:01into the weekend with some occasional instability.

03:06A few showers, spotty showers possible late Friday.

03:08These will be very convective, so sunshine in the morning,

03:10clouds kind of fill in, and then spotty or isolated showers

03:13popping up each afternoon, Friday, Saturday, and Sunday.

03:18So just kind of a cooler, somewhat unstable pattern,

03:22but also with sunshine, so not too bad here.

03:25I think the best chances of seeing those spotty showers

03:27will be Friday and Sunday afternoons,

03:29but Wednesday, Thursday look pretty pleasant.

03:32And mostly upper 70s.

03:33Very comfortable temperatures Wednesday into the weekend.

03:36And we'll see on the wildfire smoke.

03:39I think we're going to be dealing with it on and off

03:40for at least the first half of the summer.

03:43But at least we get a temporary reprieve.

03:45The rain and the wind shifts tomorrow

03:47should at least give us a little bit of a break

03:49from some of that smoky air.

03:51There you go.

03:52You go.

03:53I think we're going to be a little bit of a break

03:55from here.

03:56We're going to be a little bit tomorrow.

03:56You can't hit the road here town.

03:57You can't hit the road here.

03:57It is name today.

03:58We'll see you later.

03:59Thanks for listening.

04:00Bye.

04:01лес.

04:01The rain and the wind going in here.

04:02Now, for the rain and the wind of the wind tribe

04:03and the wind of thebuilding

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