Active pattern could bring big weekend storm to Minnesota

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00:00We got some needed moisture over the weekend for parts of Minnesota, especially northern Minnesota.

00:04We've got an active pattern here through the week, a northwest flow, strong jet stream,

00:08already a clipper disturbance that will come through tonight and tomorrow.

00:10We're also watching a bigger storm potentially for the weekend again,

00:14along with a warming trend this week.

00:15Hello from Phoenix, Arizona. This is where I'll be working from the next few days,

00:30where they're in an extreme drought here, even for a desert area.

00:34Well, northern Minnesota got quite a bit of snowfall over the weekend,

00:3610 inches in International Falls, Hovland up on the north shore, 9.5 inches in Grand Marais,

00:43and not a whole lot of water in southern Minnesota out of this.

00:45They did pick up anywhere from a half inch to an inch of liquid equivalent precipitation

00:50in parts of northern Minnesota, but MSP just three hundredths of an inch,

00:54not very much in the way of moisture.

00:57But everybody had a lot of wind on Sunday, and now we're in a window of sunshine,

01:02clearing skies here across much of the central part of the state.

01:05You can see that fresh snow where there's lack of trees there in northwestern Minnesota.

01:09The snow looks brightest, and you can also see migrating birds on radar.

01:13This morning, all those fuzzy round areas are birds in flight close to the radar sites,

01:18and of course there is rainfall you can see in the eastern U.S. too.

01:23Temperatures there will be pretty close to normal.

01:25It's still a little bit above upper 40s to near 50 in the Twin Cities,

01:28into the 50s in southwestern Minnesota with that fresh snow up north.

01:32Temperatures will stay in the 30s, but we remain in an active pattern here.

01:35We've got a strong jet stream northwest flow here coming out of Canada,

01:39and that means a clipper system moving in tonight into Tuesday.

01:43Not going to be doing a whole lot,

01:44but we are going to see some widely scattered rain, snow showers,

01:48and depending upon the timing, early in the morning, mainly in the form of snow,

01:53but by later in the day with warmer temperatures,

01:56mainly in the form of some scattered rain showers.

01:58Looks like most of it stays west and south of most of the Twin Cities area.

02:02And then generally a warming trend through the week,

02:04and quiet after this system tonight into tomorrow,

02:07well into the 60s Friday, if not 70s.

02:10Canadian model is an outlier,

02:12but just to show you, 82 is what it's going for on Friday.

02:16So 70s are certainly possible on Friday,

02:19and that'd be our second one, of course, of this month of March already.

02:22But we're also watching a weekend storm system.

02:23It's going to start a wintry mix probably for northern Minnesota Friday,

02:27and then as we head into Friday night, Saturday, those showers will fill in.

02:30Looks like mainly liquid for us in the southern part of the state,

02:33but it's all going to depend upon the precise track of that system.

02:36But I would count on a wintry mix of rain and snow

02:39for much of the region here heading into the weekend.

02:42Snowfall most likely favored for central and northern Minnesota at this point,

02:46but that can change still several days out.

02:49But this weekend storm system potentially has,

02:53could deliver quite a bit of precipitation here,

02:56liquid equivalent rainfall of maybe an inch to inch and a half.

03:00A reminder that two-thirds of the state remains in at least moderate drought,

03:03so we definitely can use the moisture.

03:0649 today, 51 tomorrow.

03:08Again, a shower or two possible, but generally west and south of the Twin Cities.

03:12And then those temperatures trending upward here Wednesday, Thursday, Friday,

03:15almost 20 degrees above normal by the end of the week.

03:18With some of those showers developing, yet another weekend time storm system.

03:22Not the greatest timing, but could be sloppy here with rain and snow potentially

03:27Friday night into Saturday and Sunday.

03:29And that's what we're going to be watching all week is the precise track of that system,

03:33how much cold air can get in,

03:35and who's most likely to get yet another heavy wet snowfall.

03:38March certainly has been a much more active month

03:41than our meteorological winter months were of December, January, February.

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