Weekend storm could bring swath of heavy snow to Minnesota

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00:00Well, we are looking at a few showers late today.

00:02Another quick moving clipper disturbance comes through,

00:04but we're watching that bigger storm for the weekend,

00:06all types of precipitation and maybe more rain and snow

00:09on the way as we head into the middle of next week.

00:21Well, we picked up a little bit of light rain yesterday

00:24from that quick moving clipper disturbance.

00:27Literally, we're talking a few hundreds of an inch

00:29and some of those areas in gray you see.

00:31But another very weak, fast moving clipper disturbance

00:34is coming through today following a similar path

00:36and will do probably a similar thing,

00:38just a few hundreds of inch of some very light rain showers

00:41here and there moving across the state.

00:43The biggest thing it'll do is increase that afternoon cloud

00:45cover and put a stop to rising temperatures here to the 50s.

00:50So here's Wednesday evening, 8 p.m.,

00:52some light rain kind of fizzling out

00:54as it drifts south and southeast

00:57and then out of here by the early morning hours

00:59but it will be warm enough

01:00that it will be all in the form of liquid.

01:0250s for highs across the whole southern half of the state.

01:05We're already there and into the 40s in northern Minnesota.

01:08Next couple of days are still looking warmer,

01:10near 60 in the Twin Cities Thursday,

01:12into the 60s in western and southwestern Minnesota

01:15with 40s up to the north.

01:16But the real temperature contrast sets up here Friday.

01:20We're going to see highs near 80 in southern Minnesota

01:23while it's barely above freezing in northern Minnesota.

01:25And that 50 degree temperature contrast

01:28will help fuel the next storm system here.

01:30It'll take advantage of that moisture.

01:32First round of moisture is going to be a mixture of rain,

01:34freezing rain and snow for northern Minnesota

01:36Thursday night into Friday.

01:37And then for the southern part of the state,

01:39we'll have some spotty showers, but the main focus

01:41will be Saturday into Saturday night of rain turning to snow.

01:44And on the northern edge there, as you can see,

01:46it's going to be a narrow swath of heavy snow

01:48just south of it, rain,

01:49and just north, cold enough for snow.

01:52So the average of the models is kind of accounting

01:55for this narrow swath of snow that'll develop,

01:57probably in west central and central Minnesota

01:59up the north shore Saturday into Saturday night.

02:02But any shift 20 miles south or north

02:06could have a big impact.

02:07So when we lay out all the different models,

02:09you can see the ensemble models

02:12and the deterministic models all showing

02:14that kind of narrow swath across central Minnesota.

02:17So they're generally in agreement on the general area,

02:19but just minor movements or fluctuations

02:23can make a big difference.

02:23We also could see the potential for some freezing rain,

02:26especially Saturday night here in southern Minnesota

02:29and during the day Friday for northern Minnesota.

02:32But in total, a lot of liquid in this storm.

02:34It's looking like an inch to potentially an inch and a half

02:36of liquid equivalent precipitation

02:38across southern Minnesota, western Wisconsin.

02:40So that is some welcome moisture,

02:42even though it is on the weekend again,

02:44but we are still in drought for most of the state

02:46and a cooler pattern overall sets up behind the system

02:50for much of next week.

02:51We're gonna see temperatures near or even below normal.

02:54And another system to watch, late Tuesday.

02:57This is no April Fool's joke.

02:58Tuesday is the first day of April.

03:00Tuesday into Wednesday, Wednesday night,

03:02we could see a swath of some heavy snow,

03:04but you can see we're really right on the edge

03:06of the rain snow line in the Twin Cities.

03:08And that's still a week out, so a lot can happen.

03:11But the pattern remains active

03:13is the moral of the story, basically.

03:15We have a couple more systems to watch

03:17and it's been an active month of March compared to winter.

03:20So 55 today, some spotty evening showers.

03:24Brighter tomorrow, 60.

03:25Most of the day Friday, dry,

03:27but we could see a shower or thunderstorm pop up

03:29later in the day near 70 in the Twin Cities.

03:31And then cooler for the weekend.

03:33Again, rain Saturday turns to snow,

03:35late Saturday, Saturday night

03:36with some lingering snow showers early Sunday.

03:38I would count on a couple of inches,

03:40but again, it could be a lot less

03:42or it could be more than that

03:44depending upon where that narrow swath of heavy snow sets up

03:47and we may be in for more middle of next week.

03:50♪♪♪

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