Met Office 14 Day Outlook 16/05/2025

Met Office

18/05/2025

16 May - outlook presented by Alex Deakin

Transcript

00:00This 14-day outlook will take us into what for many parts of the country is the half-term holidays.

00:07And yes, the weather patterns are on the change.

00:09They've not changed for a while. We've had high pressure dominating for the past several days.

00:13It will continue to control our weather through the weekend and into the early part of next week,

00:18still bringing a lot of dry and sunny weather.

00:20But the jet stream is kind of transforming as we head into next week into a more kind of westerly pattern,

00:28a more traditional pattern that often brings us our weather from the Atlantic.

00:31And that's what we are likely to see.

00:33But not in the short term.

00:35High pressure dominating into the early part of next week.

00:38And even Wednesday, the most likely pressure pattern is for high pressure to be dominating up to the north or west of the UK,

00:45bringing Western areas the highest temperatures and similar for Thursday.

00:49By then, the chance has dropped a little bit.

00:52But even the second most likely scenario has high pressure nearby and will still be bringing a lot of dry weather.

00:58So basically, for much of the middle part of next week, we're expecting a lot of dry weather to continue and plenty of sunshine,

01:05particularly so in the west and still feeling quite warm.

01:08But at this time of year, when the breeze is coming in from the relatively chilly sea,

01:13it will always be cooler and potentially cloudy at times on some coasts.

01:18What about beyond that?

01:19Well, that's when we are more likely to see a change as we head towards Friday, the 23rd of May,

01:25and into the bank holiday weekend, Saturday, the 24th, Sunday, the 25th.

01:30By then, low pressure is becoming the more dominant feature.

01:33And the winds now as we head into that bank holiday coming in from the west.

01:38So we'll lose the easterly winds, more likely to get our weather coming in from the Atlantic.

01:43Those westerly winds means Western areas won't be as warm.

01:46But eastern areas will probably be a little bit warmer as we see that switch in wind direction,

01:51because at the moment, the winds are coming in from the cold North Sea.

01:54With that low pressure and the winds coming from the west, rain is much more likely.

01:59So good news.

02:00If you are after some rain, we are likely to see a change as we head towards the following weekend.

02:05But if you do have plans for the bank holiday, I can't stress enough.

02:08Keep up to date for the details.

02:10It's unlikely to be dry and sunny everywhere, but equally, it's unlikely to be raining everywhere all weekend.

02:15There will be some bright and fine weather to be had.

02:18But the detail for that, you need to be keeping across the forecast as we get closer to the time.

02:24This is still over a week away.

02:26So keep up to date with the forecast.

02:27But yes, we are going to see a change.

02:29We're losing the high pressure.

02:30That's shown here.

02:31Dates going along the bottom.

02:32The reds, that blocking area of high pressure that we've had,

02:35and it just shrinks and shrinks and shrinks, and the blue colours take over from that weekend,

02:40from Saturday the 24th onwards, more likely to have low pressure nearby.

02:45And that trend likely to continue as well into that half-term week.

02:50Now, the exact flavour of the low pressure and where we see the wettest weather, as I said,

02:55well, we'll have to firm up on the details closer to the time.

02:57But the most likely scenario is that the winds will be coming in from the northwest,

03:00bringing plenty of showers across the UK, and also with the winds coming from the northwest.

03:04That's likely to bring temperatures around or below average as we go through that week.

03:10But as always, with showers, there will be some sunshine in between.

03:14So, as I said, keep up to date with the forecast.

03:16Best way to do that day today is to subscribe to our YouTube channel

03:20and follow us across social media.

Met Office 14 Day Outlook 16/05/2025

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