Met Office 14 day weather outlook 21/03/2025

14 Day Outlook presented by Alex Deakin

Transcript

00:00Hello. This is the first 14-day outlook since the equinox. This time of year, well, it's

00:06often hard to predict much beyond about five or six days. But we'll have a look at some

00:11of the flavors in the weather into next week. Certainly, in the shorter term, we've got

00:15this dip in the jet stream and low pressure heading northward. So quite a big change through

00:20the weekend. Low pressure systems bringing much more cloud and some rain. It's been a

00:24very dry March so far, but we are going to see some wet weather through the weekend.

00:29Into the early part of next week, that low tends to disappear. The jet is trying to

00:33pick up more from the west. And we've got a ridge of high pressure sitting over us for

00:38Wednesday with low pressure sitting in next. And then behind that, a repeat of that weather

00:43pattern with ridge and low pressure. So we're likely to see things changing a bit day by

00:48day through the second half of next week. Fine weather one day, maybe some low pressure

00:53and weather fronts toppling in the next. This is the most likely weather pattern for Wednesday

00:58next week. Look at that percentage chance of 72%. So very high probability that we'll

01:04see this high pressure ridging in the south. We've got weather fronts and potentially some

01:08gusty winds further north and temperatures close to or slightly above average. That is

01:12also the most likely weather pattern as we head into Thursday. But notice how that chance

01:16has dropped down to 30%. Still quite a strong signal, however. But I think we'll see a weather

01:22front coming in from those low pressure systems at some point during Wednesday and Thursday.

01:28Weakening as it does so, but likely to bring some showery rain at some point across northern

01:32and western areas, whereas central and eastern parts most likely to stay fairly dry through

01:37this period. But as I say, the likelihood does drop off quite a bit during Wednesday

01:43and into Thursday. Beyond that, in the final weekend of March, well, the weather signals

01:48become pretty weak. The most likely pattern has low pressure up to the northeastern and

01:53northwesterly winds, but not far behind. Only one percentage point, so equally likely

01:58really still has that continuation of the high pressure building in and that will keep

02:03things mild, whereas that would turn things a little chillier. And even beyond that, through

02:09the following couple of days into that final weekend, the pressure patterns for Saturday

02:13and Sunday again. Look at these numbers. They are quite well down and there's no really

02:17strong signal. So we may well see that changing weather pattern continue through that final

02:23weekend of March. What about beyond that? Well, again, the weather signals looking pretty

02:29wishy washy, lots of different coloured blocks on here as the dates go along the bottom.

02:34But as we head towards the first few days of April, notice this red bar does become

02:38a little more prominent. There are some strong signals that we are more likely to see our

02:42weather patterns becoming more blocked or slow moving in that scenario with potentially

02:47higher pressure building to the north of the UK. So the likely pattern as we head towards

02:53the last day of March the 31st into those first few days of April is that with high

02:58pressure further north, that's where we'll see some drier conditions. But the weather

03:02patterns are likely to be pretty slow moving. And at this stage, extreme weather looks unlikely.

03:08But of course, things can change and those day to day weather stories, you need to keep

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