Blast of heat on the way, signs of rain, thunder late next week

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00:00Well, it was a chilly morning this morning up north, and one last cool day today before we're

00:04in for a May heat wave, but signs the pattern could be changing later next week.

00:19Downright frosty up north this morning, a lot of 20s and 30s in northeastern Minnesota.

00:24Siegel Lake and Hibbing, the two cold spots at 24 for a morning low this morning, but of course

00:29that's not unusual up there, and we do have that influence still of this cold, high-pressure

00:34area centered over Hudson Bay, pushing air out of the northeast, so that means coldest

00:39temperatures near Lake Superior, but keeping all of us on the cooler side compared to the

00:43start of the week, but still above normal today, still 70, 71 degrees, which is above normal

00:47by a few degrees, but yeah, that originating air mass to the northeast is definitely cooler,

00:53but it's not going to last long.

00:54That real warm air is just off to our west, so things are going to heat up pretty quickly

00:57already again tomorrow.

00:58Near 70 today in the Twin Cities, mid-upper 70s though in western Minnesota, so already

01:03that warmth there, and temperatures tomorrow jump up to summer readings again, low to mid-80s

01:09across central and southern Minnesota, very warm Friday, sunshine most of the day, but

01:14we have another weak cool front, similar to late Tuesday, sweeping across the state, mostly

01:19quiet, there's not a lot of moisture to work with, but that front will come through in

01:23the evening, and it could touch off a couple of isolated showers or a thunderstorm, slightly

01:27better chance of moisture this go-round than that front on Tuesday, so very spotty showers

01:32to the north, and again, by the evening, maybe one or two showers to deal with, but consider

01:37yourself lucky if you get any moisture out of that.

01:40Behind the front, you're not going to really notice a difference.

01:4280 for a high still on Saturday, so a few degrees cooler, but not as cool as what we

01:48saw with this first front here yesterday and today.

01:50And then by Sunday, we're heating it up, upper 80s, maybe even 90, a record high temperature

01:56possible.

01:57The record is 88 setback in 1900.

02:00That is in jeopardy here Sunday afternoon, and it's going to set us up for warm temperatures

02:03much of next week.

02:05That upper-level ridge remains in place, but finally, it looks as though we're going to

02:08see an upper-level trough kick out that pattern and get us into something that could

02:13be a little bit more unsettled by later next week.

02:16We're going to be in the southwest to northeast-oriented upper-level flow, and that can become a stormy

02:20year pattern for us because that allows some of that moisture to work its way in.

02:24So by Thursday, we're talking about dew points that could be in the 60s.

02:27That'll help generate some instability or convective available potential energy, CAPE, and that

02:32could mean finally some rainfall, which we will need after these hot, dry, windy days that

02:36are going to be developing here by late next week, some much-needed moisture.

02:41We need about nine-tenths of an inch of water per week this time of year to just be normal.

02:46So when you go without two weeks of rain, that's almost two inches of a rainfall.

02:50So I definitely could use some of that moisture.

02:5371 today, lots of sun, lots of sun tomorrow.

02:5783, that's normal for July for a high temperature.

03:00After another coolish start, 48 in the morning, but we warm up quick tomorrow.

03:04Again, an isolated evening shower or thunderstorm.

03:07Back into the sun Saturday with more temperatures, just a couple degrees cooler.

03:12But look at Sunday, 89.

03:14Upper 80s Monday, mid to upper 80s Tuesday.

03:16Probably Wednesday too, but by late Wednesday into Thursday, we could see that next first

03:21real chance at maybe some showers and thunderstorms, which again, we will definitely need by then.

03:27But in the meantime, yeah, it's going to feel more like July here these next several days

03:31after today.

03:32We'll see you next time.

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