Skip to player
Skip to main content
Skip to footer
Search
Connect
Watch fullscreen
Like
Comments
Bookmark
Share
Add to Playlist
Report
Maiden Horse Publisher Targets Kentucky Derby Victory
SportsGrid
Follow
5/1/2025
Category
🥇
Sports
Transcript
Display full video transcript
00:00
Is it going to be lucky number 13 this year for Publisher? Maybe, but Pete, this horse is a maiden.
00:07
He's never won a race before, and he's in the Kentucky Derby, but he has outfinished some other
00:13
really nice horses. I mean, most recently, he was in the Arkansas Derby. He ran second. He finished
00:18
behind Sandman. He was in front of Cole Battle, so he's picked up some points along the way.
00:24
Do you think he's got a shot in here for Steve Asmussen, one of the all-time great trainers
00:29
who's never won the Derby? Yeah, I mean, he's got the right running style, if you believe,
00:34
of course, that there's going to be a hot pace. He'll be coming from the back. I just think the
00:38
Arkansas Derby was a race that is such a freakishly run race. They went so, so, so fast early that the
00:45
horses, of course, in front had to get tired, and they all came running at the end. So I'm actually
00:50
fading the entire Arkansas Derby this year. I'm not using any of them. I think they all lucked
00:56
into that trip. While, in theory, it could happen again, I think now you have the California
01:01
horses, likely, you know, if Baeza makes it in as well, which is journalism, and the New York
01:07
horses. I think, I just don't think they're as good, in my opinion, at this point. So I'm fading
01:14
publisher, for sure. We're coming out of a time like March Madness. A lot of people think about
01:18
college basketball. So what Pete's doing here, he's kind of like fading one of the conferences,
01:22
right? Just saying, like, that conference isn't quite as strong when they step up and
01:26
have to face some of the others. We see that happen quite often, and Pete's going to do
01:30
it with the Arkansas Derby and some of the horses coming out of that race. What do you
01:33
think, Alexa, about publisher, the maiden? Yeah, I mean, playing a maiden in the Derby
01:38
is a bold move, right? So, so there's that. But also, I kind of agree with Pete, where he's
01:44
gotten the perfect setup for his running style, and his last two starts, both in Arkansas Derby
01:49
and the Rebel. He had fast paces to run at, and still couldn't quite run them down. So
01:53
I think that's a big negative. I think you could play him underneath for a big price if
01:57
you'd like, but I'm going to leave him out. I think we've had three maidens win the Kentucky
02:03
Derby, but we have to go back a long ways. I'm looking at 1884, 1919, and 1933. So nothing
02:10
recent for horses who have never won going into the Kentucky Derby. Pete, up next, it's
02:16
his tastic. He won the Louisiana Derby over at the fairgrounds this year, and he's another one
02:22
for trainer Steve Asmussen right next door. What was impressive about him, he looked good when he
02:28
ran in the longest distance race of his career. So distance probably isn't going to be a problem
02:33
for him. It's just more of like, how good is he really? Yeah, no, I'm going to use him underneath
02:39
for sure. I mean, he's in shape. He only has one bad race. You just throw out the Arkansas race
02:45
in the Rebel where he was from the outside post. He never fired. I think he's rounding
02:50
into good form. He's by tis the law. Of course, I'm no problem with the distance to your point.
02:55
He's got a couple of races at Churchill already. So he's been here and he's sort of been in
02:59
training the entire since July. Right. So he's got a lot of bottom. I feel like the distance
03:05
and his foundation is there. He's I think he's definitely a must use and you're going to
03:10
get a very good price on the Louisiana Derby winner. And Alexa, he has one of my personal
03:15
favorite jockeys and maybe the strongest finisher of all of the jockeys out there in Joel Rosario.
03:21
So this horse is a closer with a very good closing jockey aboard. What do you think about
03:26
his tastic? I mean, he's the top earner in this field. He's won over one and a half million
03:31
dollars already. So, I mean, you can't really throw shade at him. He's very, very talented.
03:35
I really struggled on whether or not to include him in my top four. I ended up leaving him out,
03:40
but absolutely can see playing him at the long odds. I would want, I know morning line,
03:44
they have him at 20 to one or plus 2000. I would want at least 12 to one on him.
Recommended
1:40
|
Up next
Athlete's $32 Million Contract Dilemma: Climate vs Taxes
SportsGrid
today
0:31
Florida Panthers Retain Core Team for Upcoming Season
SportsGrid
today
6:33
Analyzing Top Contenders for the Upcoming Kentucky Derby
SportsGrid
4/27/2025
2:59
Render Judgment's Chances at 2025 Kentucky Derby Explained
SportsGrid
5/1/2025
6:15
Tenma's Racing Challenges and Derby Chances Explained
SportsGrid
5/2/2025
3:12
Strategic Betting on the Kentucky Derby with an Exotic Focus
SportsGrid
5/1/2025
3:54
Sandman's Strategy and Antics Leading Up to Kentucky Derby
SportsGrid
5/1/2025
5:32
Top Picks and Odds for the Upcoming Kentucky Derby
SportsGrid
5/1/2025
4:37
Grande: The Unexpected Contender in This Year's Derby
SportsGrid
5/1/2025
2:02
2025 Kentucky Derby Odds: Journalism Leads Favorites
SportsGrid
5/1/2025
5:19
Kentucky Derby Points at Stake in Upcoming Race at turfway Park
SportsGrid
2/21/2025
3:36
Strategic Betting Insights for the 2025 Kentucky Derby
SportsGrid
5/1/2025
7:13
Discussing Kentucky Derby Prospects and Key Horses at Aqueduct
SportsGrid
1/31/2025
2:09
Expert Picks for Kentucky Derby: Race 12 at Churchill Downs
SportsGrid
5/2/2025
3:19
Derby Winner Sovereignty Skips Preakness: Impact on Triple Crown
SportsGrid
5/8/2025
3:24
Burnham Square and Grande Stand Out in Kentucky Derby Preview
SportsGrid
5/1/2025
3:44
Kentucky Derby and Preakness Winners Face Off at Belmont Stakes
SportsGrid
6/6/2025
7:38
Ohio Derby Best Bets: Top Contenders and Underdogs
SportsGrid
6/20/2025
5:19
Kentucky Derby Points and Races: Weekend Preview & Best Bets
SportsGrid
1/3/2025
4:55
Analyzing American Promise's Chances in the Kentucky Derby
SportsGrid
5/1/2025
4:06
Impact of Speed Horses in the Race Strategy Analysis
SportsGrid
5/1/2025
4:30
147th Kentucky Derby: Odds and Predictions
Sports Illustrated
4/30/2021
3:41
Strategic Betting Tips for Kentucky Oaks Explained
SportsGrid
5/2/2025
8:01
Insights on the $1.5 Million Kentucky Oaks Race Today
SportsGrid
5/2/2025
2:11
Gulfstream Park Oaks Race 14 Florida Derby Betting Strategy
SportsGrid
3/26/2025