Kentucky Derby Preview: Some Top Picks and Dark Horses

SportsGrid

Watch Kentucky Derby Preview: Some Top Picks and Dark Horses - SportsGrid on Dailymotion

Transcript

00:00 (upbeat music)

00:02 - All right, we had the one horse get scratched yesterday.

00:05 We had a new horse move in.

00:07 I look at the odds every morning

00:09 to see where we're moving a little bit here.

00:11 It still seems to me like we have these two horses

00:14 at the top, Fierceness and Sierra Leone.

00:16 These are the two right now, right, David?

00:18 It's not gonna budge off of these.

00:21 Are you going anywhere beyond these two

00:22 or do you think that nobody's going near them?

00:25 - Yeah, they're expected to be the two likely favorites

00:27 sort of separating themselves from the pack

00:29 in the wagering.

00:30 Fierceness, really talented.

00:32 I think if he shows up, he's probably gonna win the race,

00:33 but he can be a little unreliable.

00:35 Sierra Leone, more reliable,

00:37 but he's gotta pass all these horses.

00:38 He's a deep closer who comes from the back of the pack.

00:40 I'm looking at a couple of alternatives.

00:42 One of them is the number seven, Honor Marie,

00:44 who's 20 to one on the morning line.

00:46 Just seems like a horse that's really cycling up

00:48 to his best ever coming into the derby.

00:50 Another horse that comes from towards the back,

00:52 like Sierra Leone, but going to be a much better price.

00:54 And the horse that I made my top pick

00:56 is actually the Japanese Invader,

00:58 the number 11, Forever Young.

00:59 He's never lost before.

01:00 He's run in Dubai, in Saudi Arabia, in Japan,

01:04 making his first start in the United States.

01:05 But I think this horse has a lot of attributes

01:07 that are gonna lend itself well to success

01:09 in the Kentucky Derby.

01:11 - All right, I have now checked that one off, Forever Young.

01:13 When I hear he's never lost a race before, David,

01:15 that always has me thinking we have to put a little bit

01:19 of something on that one.

01:20 What I also like about the derby every year is,

01:23 yes, we have our favorites at the top,

01:25 but you have a lot of horses in that 20 to 30 to one range.

01:30 We've seen some big hits over the last couple of years.

01:33 I wanna ask you about one,

01:34 only 'cause my partner Joe

01:35 has been talking about this horse all week.

01:37 So now I need to get your opinion on it.

01:39 And that is Catalytic, who's got Ortiz on him,

01:42 at the number five horse.

01:43 Give me a little something about Catalytic,

01:45 'cause my boy Joe got a shot with him.

01:47 - Well, Catalytic in his most recent race

01:49 lost to Fierceness, the favorite, by 13 lengths.

01:52 So that's a pretty wide margin.

01:53 He's got a lot to make up on that horse.

01:55 I think the good news with Catalytic is,

01:57 he's only run three times

01:58 and he's improved with every start.

02:00 So he does have some upside heading into the race.

02:02 He needs another big step forward,

02:03 but at a big price, you could do worse,

02:05 'cause he does have that ability

02:06 to take another step in the right direction.

02:09 - The next one, the four horse, Catching Freedom,

02:12 seems to also be right on that kind of tier

02:16 behind the two favorites.

02:17 Tell me a little bit about the four.

02:20 - Yeah, he's one that I definitely

02:21 have some interest in as well.

02:22 I mentioned liking the number seven, Honor Marie.

02:24 Well, Catching Freedom actually beat him

02:26 in his final prep race for the Derby down in Louisiana.

02:29 He made a big late run to go from last to first

02:31 in that race.

02:32 He's another one that seems to be cycling up

02:34 to one of his better efforts in the Kentucky Derby.

02:36 And he's got some of the top connections in the sport

02:38 in his corner in trainer Brad Cox and Flavien Pratt,

02:41 who seems to ride close to a winning race

02:43 in the Kentucky Derby just about every year.

02:45 (upbeat music)

02:48 [MUSIC]

Category

Transcript

Recommended