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Forecasters watching the Caribbean for potential tropical development in early June
AccuWeather
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5/31/2024
Just days after hurricane season begins, it's possible the first tropical system of the season could form.
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00:00
Big story #3, we're jumping into June and for meteorologists and anyone along the coast,
00:05
that means we're jumping right into hurricane season.
00:06
Yeah, and I mean, let's face it, just the start of it doesn't necessarily mean much
00:11
as far as what we'll see, but it is a good reminder for you to be prepared for hurricane
00:16
season.
00:17
I love the way you phrase that, right?
00:18
It's not like we snap our finger, turn the calendar, and all of a sudden there are storms,
00:21
but next week we could be watching as a solved frontal boundary this time of year, we're
00:25
going to have to watch for any potential development into the Caribbean.
00:28
Yeah, this is a time of year we can get those gyres kind of working their way through some
00:32
of the Central American off the Yucatan, so as any bit of energy then tries to work its
00:36
way from that into that boundary, it could really spin up and develop into some more
00:41
activity for us.
00:42
And while that could bring some flooding to Cuba, Hispaniola, and Jamaica, it is unlikely
00:46
to impact the United States, but AccuWeather is calling for 4-6 direct impacts from storms
00:51
this hurricane season.
00:52
A lot of that driven by the above historical average sea surface temperatures, the water's
00:57
very warm for what we call the Atlantic hurricane season breeding grounds, zones I guess, where
01:03
those cyclones typically are born and start to develop.
01:06
And that's why we think it's going to be a supercharged season, we're calling for 20-25
01:10
named storms, 8-12 of those being hurricanes, of those 8-12, 4-7 being major hurricanes,
01:15
that is category 3 or higher, so winds of 111 mph or greater.
01:19
This is not a panic, this is getting prepared for the upcoming season.
01:22
And obviously with more, there's a little bit more likeliness of having some of those
01:26
Impact Lant.
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