Mariners vs. Angels: Betting Odds & Pitching Analysis

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00:00Seattle, a road underdog today in Anaheim against the Halos,

00:03and Yusei Kikuchi over under is nine.

00:07You might be surprised to see Seattle as a dog in Anaheim.

00:11The Angels have been a pesky side, DRS, really all season long,

00:13but here post All-Star break as well.

00:16And also, you have the better pitcher on the mound being Yusei Kikuchi here.

00:19Take a look at his last 60 days as a pitcher, Ben.

00:213.09 ERA, 3.44 XFIP number through 58 in the third innings pitch.

00:25Look at the power numbers going up against him,

00:27an ISO of 118 over the past 30 days.

00:30In particular, that comes from the right-hand side,

00:32which is an 089 ISO power number to those right-handed batters, which is great.

00:37Kyle Raleigh's got good numbers.

00:38He always does regardless if it feels like left-handed or right-handed pitchers.

00:41Randy Rosarani and Mitch Garver, but outside of that,

00:44they don't hit left-handed pitching all that well.

00:46And the Angels, you're right about that pesky offense, which is Neto,

00:49Chanuel, you take a look at Trout, Ward, and Adele,

00:51all of those guys high-weighted on base percentages against right-handed pitching,

00:54but particularly against Logan Evans.

00:56He struggled with the left-handed bats this year.

01:00So if you are taking a look at Chanuel and that two-hole as a lefty,

01:03he might make a lot of sense for either an extra base hit, a base hit,

01:07end or run scored, or even flirting with an RBI with a legitimate chance

01:10to hit a home run here.

01:11So for my money, I actually, look, Seattle's the better team,

01:14but I'll lay the points.

01:15Excuse me, I'll lay the juice.

01:17Minus 120, I think the Angels get the job done today.

01:19I do.