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  • 7/5/2025
Mayank Chhaya speaks to Dr. Orville Schell, one of America's foremost China-Tibet scholars | SAM Conversation
Transcript
00:00With the Dalai Lama reaffirming that there will be a successor to him after his death,
00:22prospects of the historic standoff between China and the centuries-old institution
00:27continuing well beyond his lifetime are a certainty now.
00:32The Dalai Lama's second announcement about succession has predictably riled Beijing,
00:38which wants to impose its own Dalai Lama.
00:40There are now concerns that when Tenzin Gyatso, the current Dalai Lama, passes away,
00:45there could well be two rival ones, one officially chosen by his not-for-profit trust
00:51and the other propped up by the Chinese Communist Party.
00:54To understand the implications of the succession battle, MCR spoke to Dr. Orwell Schell,
01:01one of America's foremost China Tibet scholars and authors who have spent decades studying
01:06and writing about various issues arising out of the conflict, Dr. Orwell Schell.
01:13Welcome to Myang Chai Reports, Dr. Schell. It's always a great pleasure to have you.
01:18Well, pleasure to be with you.
01:19Dr. Schell, my sense of the Dalai Lama's announcement is that he is perhaps reclaiming future history
01:29rather than yielding to the short-term strategic temptation of outwitting China
01:36by naming a successor in his own lifetime.
01:40What is your sense?
01:41Well, I think it would be certainly out of normal tradition for him to name a successor
01:50before he passes away and a reincarnation then in the traditional form has a time to take place.
01:59So I think what he seems to be doing is to try to remove the whole decision-making process
02:08from the hands of the Chinese Communist Party.
02:11Having been through that once with the Panchen Lama and Cheki Naima,
02:17the reincarnation that was chosen then disappeared,
02:21and the Communist Party appointed their own reincarnation.
02:26I think that's what His Holiness wishes to avoid this go-around.
02:33But irrespective of what he has done, what is to stop Beijing from going ahead
02:38and appointing a rival Dalai Lama anyway?
02:41Well, I suspect Beijing will do it anyway.
02:45And there will be probably somebody in residence in the Potala in Lhasa,
02:51and you're going to have sort of like the two Vatican's, two popes in the Holy Roman Empire
03:00when you had Byzantium and Constantinople in Rome.
03:04So nonetheless, this is a way, I think, for His Holiness to assure that at least
03:11Tibetans that are living outside of Tibet have a spiritual leader.
03:16Is there any possibility at all that they might even do it in his lifetime,
03:22just to be mean about that?
03:26You mean that the Chinese Communist Party might?
03:29Yeah, they might just guard and appoint one right away in the next maybe couple of years
03:33or something like that.
03:35I suspect that would be a bit presumptuous.
03:39It's one thing for His Holiness to say that his reincarnation is preordained.
03:45It's another thing for the Communist Party who eschews spiritual matters of all kinds
03:51to make such a presumptuous dictum.
03:54But, you know, I wouldn't put anything beyond the Chinese Communist Party
04:01and particularly in the question of Tibet and Xinjiang,
04:06which are extremely sensitive topics.
04:10If you were Xi Jinping, how would you look at the announcement?
04:15Was it built into their strategic thinking already?
04:19Well, I mean, fortunately, I'm not Xi Jinping.
04:25I think that he will see it as a great affront,
04:29as a challenge to the sovereign power of China
04:34to determine what happens within its sovereign territory.
04:37And remember, it fully believes that Tibet is a sovereign part of China.
04:44When the nationalists under Chiang Kai-shek
04:48and then the communists under Mao Zedong drew the Chinese borders,
04:54they drew the old Qing dynasty borders,
04:56which included all of Tibet, all of Xinjiang, all of Mongolia,
05:00although they lost outer Mongolia, all of Manchuria.
05:03So it was the largest rendition of China in history.
05:09But even though Tibet had not been fully consolidated
05:12within the national entity, either under the nationalists
05:17or even completely under the communists, that was the presumption.
05:22So as the leader of Tibet,
05:25it's a curious combination of a political leader and a spiritual leader.
05:30China would like to imagine that it holds the reins in its hands
05:37to determine who that person should be,
05:40particularly not someone living in India.
05:42Right.
05:44Isn't that ironic that while on the one hand,
05:46the Communist Party clearly has atheistic underpinnings,
05:50on the other, they do recognize the,
05:52at least the symbolic importance of having heard the Lai Lama,
05:56which, how do they reconcile these two contradictory streams?
06:02I think politics trumps spiritual matters.
06:07And they don't, I mean, spiritual matters are just another element
06:11that they have to deal with and that can be manipulated,
06:15for better or worse, to the, to unify the, quote, motherland.
06:19So I don't think they waste a lot of sleep over it.
06:23There are many contradictions.
06:25Mao Zedong himself wrote many essays on contradictions.
06:28He loved contradictions.
06:30And he thought that's the way history moves.
06:32So such a contradiction as a spiritual matter and a temporal matter
06:36isn't one I'm sure the Chinese Communist Party leaders
06:42lose a lot of sleep over.
06:43There are reports out of Beijing I read in the New York Times
06:49and elsewhere, perhaps even on the BBC,
06:51that the government is already building a narrative
06:55where officials will go to schools and offices
06:59essentially to build up some, drum up some support.

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