Previewing Tampa Bay Downs Races: Pasco & Gasparilla

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00:00We're gonna head on over to Tampa Bay Downs. Alexa, we haven't been out to

00:03Tampa Bay Downs to talk about some of their races quite yet. And what is

00:06interesting about these two this weekend, we're gonna first start with

00:10the Pasco and then the Gasparilla. Their race is four and five on saturday,

00:14january the 11th. They're not Kentucky Derby or Kentucky Oaks points races,

00:18but their races for three year olds going seven furlongs and they're early

00:23on in the year. A lot of connections will try to use this race as kind of

00:27like a tester or a stepping stone before stretching their horses out.

00:31Like if we look at this field, Owen Almighty, who's the heavy favorite,

00:34he's a horse who probably has Kentucky Derby aspirations. Even the four rookie

00:39card or the five naughty rascal, they feel like the three in here that could

00:43be maybe Derby horses down the line. How did you see this race kind of

00:47shaping up and who did you like? Yeah, my favorite in here was that five

00:51naughty rascal who's improved since breaking his maiden early in the two

00:54year old season against florida bread company. And for those of you who

00:58aren't familiar with the term breaking a maiden, being a maiden just means

01:01you're a loser. You haven't won yet in horse racing. So, um, you know, he's

01:05won two of the four states he's competed in since both over dirt and

01:09turf courses closed late in his Tampa Bay Downs debut last out and just

01:14couldn't catch the odds on favorite donut god, but did show some good turn

01:18of foot and I think could be a contender in here with a closing kick.

01:22What's nice about naughty rascal? He's the most experienced in the field.

01:26He's got a really nice body of work. He's won stakes races on the turf and

01:32on the dirt. He's one going a mile on the turf. So that's farther than this

01:36race. So fitness shouldn't really be a problem for him. And he's kind of like

01:40the now horse where a horse like Owen Almighty might need this race to get to

01:44some of his better races and kind of shake off some of the rust. See a horse

01:48like naughty rascal. He's just really solid right now. And every time I see

01:52him, he reminds me of Tommy boy. He's naughty. My naughty little pet. He's

01:56naughty. You know, you gotta be careful with that naughty rascal there. So a

01:59look at the past go where you have a couple of very talented horses and

02:03rookie card, naughty rascal and then to the outside the heavy favorite Owen

02:07Almighty. So those were the boys in the past go in race number five. We're

02:12gonna take a look at the Phillies, the three year old Phillies. They will be

02:15sprinting seven furlongs in the Gasparilla. And in this one, Alexa, I

02:19think kind of the similar strength to the outside of the field. It looks like

02:23Mrs. Worldwide. Very logical winning. You're in very logical. These are two

02:29horses, I think, kind of to start with as some of the major players in here.

02:32Who did you like? Yeah, I like the seven is my top selection. When in,

02:37you're in 13 races as a two year old, including the sharp Susan stakes at

02:41Gulfstream exits the florida sire stakes, winning the susan scroll six

02:45two back before fading kind of badly and the my dear girl stakes in

02:50november. But you know, does her best running on or near the lead and I think

02:54could battle miss worldwide for early positioning. Miguel Vasquez keeps the

02:59mountain has been aboard all lifetime starts so far. So a lot of comfortable

03:04position for in here. And when you're building fitness, when you're training

03:08for any type of race, when you're training for any type of sport, the

03:13farther you go, you're obviously gonna build up your stamina and winning.

03:16You're in went raced a mile and a 16th last time out and just found that too

03:21far. So a lot of the times with horses like this, it's not an exact science,

03:25right, Alexa? It's some trial and error. You try something out. Oh, you know

03:29what? That didn't really work out. Now let's go back to what worked out well.

03:32So a lot of times I love horses like this that get to go a little bit

03:36farther and then cut back because you just feel like they're gonna have a

03:39little more fitness cutting back. They have raced a little bit farther, so

03:44there might be a little more bottom when you turn back the six and seven

03:47super logical players. And maybe if you're looking for a price horse in

03:51here, you could look to a horse like Lin's Milky Way, who's pretty quick and

03:56might be able to kind of steal this race. You can see they have the three

04:00Lin's Milky Way way out in front on the pace projector ahead of some of the

04:04others. So, um, maybe that's a way we can get a little bit of value in here,

04:08Alexa. But a tricky race, and it feels like the major players to the outside.

04:13Yeah, definitely. The six and seven are gonna be major, major contenders in

04:17here. So when you're handicapping these two races, what you want to do is not

04:21only look at the races individually, but also kind of put some of these

04:25horses make a mental note for down the line. Are these horses who you like,

04:30who you think might be able to run a little bit farther be Kentucky Derby or

04:34Kentucky Oaks type horses?

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