Expert Insights on Race 8 Picks and Predictions at Gulfstream

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00:00It gets kicked off here with the Janus, which is going to go as race number eight.

00:07It's a five for a long turf sprint, and you and I went through this field.

00:12We're going to use four horses on our pick four sequence.

00:15One of them that I like is Masetto, who's a horse who's kind of coming into his own

00:19right now.

00:20He's lightly raced overall.

00:21He's had a couple physical issues because he's had some long layoffs, but I think he's

00:25going to come running late.

00:27I felt like in this race, two of the horses to the outside, the 10 and the 11, were kind

00:31of the top tier horses or the horses who have some of the best efforts.

00:35So I'll mention the 11, Coppola, a little bit, who I think can sit a nice trip from

00:39the outside, has a little bit of speed, but has some finish.

00:42You're going to mention the other two that we have on the ticket, Alexa.

00:46Tell the other folks who are the other two that we're using here.

00:48Yeah, I found this race really tough, to be honest, so we did spread, but we're going

00:53to use the two as well, XY speed at eight to one odds.

00:56His last four races at Gulfstream have all been this distance on the grass and he's won

01:00them all.

01:01So, you know, he comes from off the pace, but he has decent early speed as well.

01:05And time form, interestingly enough, gives him better early pace figure than a late pace

01:10figure.

01:11But his speed figures are really consistent, really good.

01:14He actually ran a pretty good race, despite the placing in the grade two Woodford.

01:19He was seventh, but less than three lengths off of the wind.

01:22And there were some really tough horses in there that have come back to run really big

01:26races.

01:27One of those that ran ahead of him in that race was Arzak, the number 10, who we're going

01:31to include in here as well, who got third and is the morning line favorite in this race.

01:37He's also one who comes from off the pace and should have a lot of speed to run at in

01:40here.

01:41His last effort was in the Breeders' Cup in the turf sprint where he got six, but was

01:45less than two lengths off the winner at 52 to one odds.

01:48So he definitely outperformed his odds that day.

01:51He's won almost a million dollars.

01:52He's super classy and will be tough competition for sure.

01:55Multiple graded stakes winner.

01:56He's the horse to beat in there.

01:58So we turn the page from race eight to race nine.

02:00This is the one that we just went over horse by horse.

02:03Alexa, remind the folks out there, who are we going to be using on our pick four ticket?

02:07Yeah, for the pick four, we landed on three in here.

02:09We're going to use the number one Tuscan Sky, the experienced stakes runner who's won half

02:13of his lifetime starts and will be vying for the lead alongside Tumba Roomba, the number

02:19two, a very seasoned horse whose most recent start was in the Breeders' Cup.

02:23Dirt Mile has tactical speed to handle that pace duel with Tuscan Sky.

02:27And then finally, the six steel Sunshine, who will be there to pick up the pieces if

02:32that pace duel leads to a meltdown.

02:34Okay, so now we're halfway home.

02:36We're two down in the pick four.

02:38We'll move to race number 10, another graded stakes race here.

02:41This is the grade two Fort Lauderdale for horses going a mile and an eighth on the turf

02:45course here.

02:46Alexa, you start us off.

02:47We're going to go three deep in this one, right?

02:49Yep.

02:50We're starting with the number one Cash Equity at four and a half to one odds.

02:53It was the beaten favorite last out in the grade three River City.

02:58And the beaten favorite is kind of an angle that I like to play.

03:01He's a closer and the pace in that race was really slow, which makes it really hard for

03:06a horse to close into.

03:07So there should be a lot better pace for him to run at tomorrow.

03:11Even though he hasn't won this year, he hasn't really had a bad race, you know, just a tough

03:16running style, being a deep closer.

03:18So Timeform US agrees and thinks that he will beat that losing streak tomorrow.

03:25Also number four, Major Dude ran a major race last out in allowance with one of his best

03:30speed figures of his life.

03:31If you go back to last year, he was a multiple graded stakes winner and his speed figures

03:35have really just continued to improve.

03:37So I Rad is riding him tomorrow, which is who wrote him to victory and all those graded

03:41stakes.

03:42He should get a stocking trip and be a major player.

03:45The dude abides.

03:46I'll also move to the eight Fort Washington.

03:49That's the horse who I like most in this race came off of a trip last time out when finishing

03:54third.

03:55That was really good at a four wide move at the top of the lane in the top two had just

03:59separated.

04:00They were one two throughout.

04:01So it was a race where there wasn't a lot of passing and he was making up ground late.

04:05If they go too fast early, he will come closing the number eight Fort Washington.

04:10So that's the third leg of the pick four sequence.

04:13Let's move to the finale.

04:14Alexa, you get us started in race number 11.

04:17Yep.

04:18It's the grade three Suwannee River stakes going a mile on the turf and we'll be using

04:23the number one ocean club at four to one odds who won the grade three noble damsel in a

04:28blanket finish in her last start at Belmont at aqueduct in September.

04:32She also won a stakes race over the Gulf Stream grass course in May this year.

04:35So it started before this jockey has ridden her six times and won four of them to account

04:41for four out of those five lifetime wins.

04:44So when they pair up, they do really well and things just really seem to be lining up

04:47for in this race and we're getting a decent morning line.

04:50I think at four to one number eight saffron moon is a horse who you look at the form had

04:55almost a year off but his last two race or her last two races are both really good runner

05:00up finishes.

05:01She faced a horse two starts back who was awesome that day named Star Fortress and then

05:05last time out really good second.

05:07So I'm expecting her to take a nice step forward with that race under her and she can move

05:11forward nicely off of that.

05:13The one I also wanted to mention to the outside is breath away.

05:17Should I take my breath away?

05:18I was going to say I haven't really warmed up all this morning.

05:21You know, I'm classically trained but anytime I get a chance to sing I will do so.

05:25Don't make me sing.

05:26Don't make me sing.

05:27I was going to say if anybody has some flashbacks from our Breeders' Cup show when the music

05:31started going in the background and we were rocking and rolling, breath away in this race

05:37is the now horse who's in really good form and the rest of the field we kind of have

05:42some question marks about like we're not sure if the one maybe gets battled with pace.

05:47Can that one hold on?

05:48We have a question mark maybe about Saffron Moon and the ability to string races together.

05:53I'm just really, really sure of what I'm going to get from breath away like a good effort

05:59if she doesn't get in trouble.

06:00If there's not like a bad start, she shows up with a really nice effort.

06:04So we'll be using the 11 on the ticket as well with the one and the eight.

06:08So let's take a look at it one more time Alexa and we can talk the folks through the ticket

06:12Remember, when you're looking at a pick four or a pick five, something like this, you multiply

06:17the amount of horses you have in each race and that's how much your ticket would cost.

06:21So for this one, if we were to go four times three is 12 times three is 36 times three

06:26would be 108.

06:28We're having a 50 cent ticket.

06:30So we cut that thing right in half.

06:31It's $54 in the first leg of the sequence, one, two, 10 and 11.

06:37Alexa, we've given us ourselves some chance for some prices there, but we also have the

06:41logicals. We went all through race number nine with the one, two and six.

06:45Again, I think we have the real logicals in there in the 10th race is where maybe we get

06:49a little bit outside of the box, I think with the one, four and eight and then closing

06:54things out with the one, eight and 11.

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