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Expert Insights on Race 8 Picks and Predictions at Gulfstream
SportsGrid
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12/20/2024
Category
🥇
Sports
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00:00
It gets kicked off here with the Janus, which is going to go as race number eight.
00:07
It's a five for a long turf sprint, and you and I went through this field.
00:12
We're going to use four horses on our pick four sequence.
00:15
One of them that I like is Masetto, who's a horse who's kind of coming into his own
00:19
right now.
00:20
He's lightly raced overall.
00:21
He's had a couple physical issues because he's had some long layoffs, but I think he's
00:25
going to come running late.
00:27
I felt like in this race, two of the horses to the outside, the 10 and the 11, were kind
00:31
of the top tier horses or the horses who have some of the best efforts.
00:35
So I'll mention the 11, Coppola, a little bit, who I think can sit a nice trip from
00:39
the outside, has a little bit of speed, but has some finish.
00:42
You're going to mention the other two that we have on the ticket, Alexa.
00:46
Tell the other folks who are the other two that we're using here.
00:48
Yeah, I found this race really tough, to be honest, so we did spread, but we're going
00:53
to use the two as well, XY speed at eight to one odds.
00:56
His last four races at Gulfstream have all been this distance on the grass and he's won
01:00
them all.
01:01
So, you know, he comes from off the pace, but he has decent early speed as well.
01:05
And time form, interestingly enough, gives him better early pace figure than a late pace
01:10
figure.
01:11
But his speed figures are really consistent, really good.
01:14
He actually ran a pretty good race, despite the placing in the grade two Woodford.
01:19
He was seventh, but less than three lengths off of the wind.
01:22
And there were some really tough horses in there that have come back to run really big
01:26
races.
01:27
One of those that ran ahead of him in that race was Arzak, the number 10, who we're going
01:31
to include in here as well, who got third and is the morning line favorite in this race.
01:37
He's also one who comes from off the pace and should have a lot of speed to run at in
01:40
here.
01:41
His last effort was in the Breeders' Cup in the turf sprint where he got six, but was
01:45
less than two lengths off the winner at 52 to one odds.
01:48
So he definitely outperformed his odds that day.
01:51
He's won almost a million dollars.
01:52
He's super classy and will be tough competition for sure.
01:55
Multiple graded stakes winner.
01:56
He's the horse to beat in there.
01:58
So we turn the page from race eight to race nine.
02:00
This is the one that we just went over horse by horse.
02:03
Alexa, remind the folks out there, who are we going to be using on our pick four ticket?
02:07
Yeah, for the pick four, we landed on three in here.
02:09
We're going to use the number one Tuscan Sky, the experienced stakes runner who's won half
02:13
of his lifetime starts and will be vying for the lead alongside Tumba Roomba, the number
02:19
two, a very seasoned horse whose most recent start was in the Breeders' Cup.
02:23
Dirt Mile has tactical speed to handle that pace duel with Tuscan Sky.
02:27
And then finally, the six steel Sunshine, who will be there to pick up the pieces if
02:32
that pace duel leads to a meltdown.
02:34
Okay, so now we're halfway home.
02:36
We're two down in the pick four.
02:38
We'll move to race number 10, another graded stakes race here.
02:41
This is the grade two Fort Lauderdale for horses going a mile and an eighth on the turf
02:45
course here.
02:46
Alexa, you start us off.
02:47
We're going to go three deep in this one, right?
02:49
Yep.
02:50
We're starting with the number one Cash Equity at four and a half to one odds.
02:53
It was the beaten favorite last out in the grade three River City.
02:58
And the beaten favorite is kind of an angle that I like to play.
03:01
He's a closer and the pace in that race was really slow, which makes it really hard for
03:06
a horse to close into.
03:07
So there should be a lot better pace for him to run at tomorrow.
03:11
Even though he hasn't won this year, he hasn't really had a bad race, you know, just a tough
03:16
running style, being a deep closer.
03:18
So Timeform US agrees and thinks that he will beat that losing streak tomorrow.
03:25
Also number four, Major Dude ran a major race last out in allowance with one of his best
03:30
speed figures of his life.
03:31
If you go back to last year, he was a multiple graded stakes winner and his speed figures
03:35
have really just continued to improve.
03:37
So I Rad is riding him tomorrow, which is who wrote him to victory and all those graded
03:41
stakes.
03:42
He should get a stocking trip and be a major player.
03:45
The dude abides.
03:46
I'll also move to the eight Fort Washington.
03:49
That's the horse who I like most in this race came off of a trip last time out when finishing
03:54
third.
03:55
That was really good at a four wide move at the top of the lane in the top two had just
03:59
separated.
04:00
They were one two throughout.
04:01
So it was a race where there wasn't a lot of passing and he was making up ground late.
04:05
If they go too fast early, he will come closing the number eight Fort Washington.
04:10
So that's the third leg of the pick four sequence.
04:13
Let's move to the finale.
04:14
Alexa, you get us started in race number 11.
04:17
Yep.
04:18
It's the grade three Suwannee River stakes going a mile on the turf and we'll be using
04:23
the number one ocean club at four to one odds who won the grade three noble damsel in a
04:28
blanket finish in her last start at Belmont at aqueduct in September.
04:32
She also won a stakes race over the Gulf Stream grass course in May this year.
04:35
So it started before this jockey has ridden her six times and won four of them to account
04:41
for four out of those five lifetime wins.
04:44
So when they pair up, they do really well and things just really seem to be lining up
04:47
for in this race and we're getting a decent morning line.
04:50
I think at four to one number eight saffron moon is a horse who you look at the form had
04:55
almost a year off but his last two race or her last two races are both really good runner
05:00
up finishes.
05:01
She faced a horse two starts back who was awesome that day named Star Fortress and then
05:05
last time out really good second.
05:07
So I'm expecting her to take a nice step forward with that race under her and she can move
05:11
forward nicely off of that.
05:13
The one I also wanted to mention to the outside is breath away.
05:17
Should I take my breath away?
05:18
I was going to say I haven't really warmed up all this morning.
05:21
You know, I'm classically trained but anytime I get a chance to sing I will do so.
05:25
Don't make me sing.
05:26
Don't make me sing.
05:27
I was going to say if anybody has some flashbacks from our Breeders' Cup show when the music
05:31
started going in the background and we were rocking and rolling, breath away in this race
05:37
is the now horse who's in really good form and the rest of the field we kind of have
05:42
some question marks about like we're not sure if the one maybe gets battled with pace.
05:47
Can that one hold on?
05:48
We have a question mark maybe about Saffron Moon and the ability to string races together.
05:53
I'm just really, really sure of what I'm going to get from breath away like a good effort
05:59
if she doesn't get in trouble.
06:00
If there's not like a bad start, she shows up with a really nice effort.
06:04
So we'll be using the 11 on the ticket as well with the one and the eight.
06:08
So let's take a look at it one more time Alexa and we can talk the folks through the ticket
06:12
Remember, when you're looking at a pick four or a pick five, something like this, you multiply
06:17
the amount of horses you have in each race and that's how much your ticket would cost.
06:21
So for this one, if we were to go four times three is 12 times three is 36 times three
06:26
would be 108.
06:28
We're having a 50 cent ticket.
06:30
So we cut that thing right in half.
06:31
It's $54 in the first leg of the sequence, one, two, 10 and 11.
06:37
Alexa, we've given us ourselves some chance for some prices there, but we also have the
06:41
logicals. We went all through race number nine with the one, two and six.
06:45
Again, I think we have the real logicals in there in the 10th race is where maybe we get
06:49
a little bit outside of the box, I think with the one, four and eight and then closing
06:54
things out with the one, eight and 11.
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