Skip to player
Skip to main content
Skip to footer
Search
Connect
Watch fullscreen
Like
Comments
Bookmark
Share
Add to Playlist
Report
Breeders' Cup Race 7 Analysis: Key Horses and Strategies
SportsGrid
Follow
10/30/2024
Category
🥇
Sports
Transcript
Display full video transcript
00:00
But yeah, this is a very exciting race, this one.
00:05
I'm going to talk about the first couple of horses, Saitono Carnaval on the inside.
00:09
The Japanese bred undefeated, but we haven't seen this horse since July.
00:13
So I have some questions and also we'll be stretching out.
00:15
We have not seen him go the mile on the grass.
00:18
Dreamon's a little interesting because he was third in the summer, but he just moved
00:21
a little bit early and it was his first start going long.
00:24
The horse has some ability, so maybe one to keep an eye on and at least underneath price
00:28
because it could give you a good run for your money with some early speed.
00:31
Noble Confessor, actually still a maiden, was behind a major player in here, Zulu Kingdom,
00:37
last time out.
00:38
Those are the inside three.
00:39
Alexa, why don't you pick it up here with the number four?
00:41
Yeah, the four is Alcudra with Charles Appleby from his barn, who actually won this at Delmar
00:46
the last time with Modern Games.
00:49
And Alcudra and New Century have just been duking it out in their last two starts.
00:52
Alcudra lost last out second behind New Century, who's the 11 in this race.
00:56
Seven wide, bumping down the stretch, put up a strong buyer's figure that race and has
01:01
had improving timeform ratings.
01:03
So definitely a major contender.
01:05
Zulu Kingdom from Chad Brown's barn, undefeated, but you got to look at who's he beat, right?
01:11
And he beat Tenacious Leader and Noble Confessor, who are two in here, but they're two I don't
01:14
really favor.
01:15
So he only beat them by a neck.
01:17
I'm not a huge fan of Zulu Kingdom.
01:19
The six is Ironman Cow from Phil D'Amato's barn.
01:23
For me, the numbers don't quite add up for him to make it in here.
01:26
He did win the grade three Zuma, but it was due to disqualification.
01:29
Will, Seagulls 11 is an Irish-bred runner who was in the Dewhurst last time out.
01:33
Anything you want to mention about the next three horses in here?
01:35
Yeah.
01:36
So, yeah, my heart is with Seagulls 11 and the Wacko Kids.
01:38
Seagulls 11 is owned by some Brighton Premiership footballers, so it'd be good to keep them
01:42
in the ownership game.
01:43
He's a mega strong, tough-looking horse, came fourth in the Dewhurst on ground that didn't
01:48
suit him particularly well.
01:49
His individual statistics don't really sing out, though.
01:52
I'll try and contribute to the discussion of Al Kudra and New Century.
01:57
That Woodbine race, effectively Al Kudra ran a more impressive race than New Century, apart
02:02
from not winning.
02:03
He got checked.
02:04
He was run every furlong.
02:05
He ran faster.
02:06
He was faster to break.
02:07
He has a longer stride.
02:08
He has a higher stride frequency than New Century, and he beat New Century on his first
02:11
two starts.
02:12
So kind of all the data, and you were saying, sort of points to the fact that he can upgrade
02:17
that performance.
02:18
It would be great to see New Century win for the new first season sire, Kamiko, who won
02:22
the English Guineas a few years ago.
02:24
But yeah, Al Kudra looks to be the one to beat based upon those stats.
02:27
But as I say, I'd love to see for my old trainer, Hugo Palmer, Seagulls 11 and the Wacko Kid,
02:32
the Wacko Kid owned by the founder of Betfair, they're pretty interesting.
02:35
But look, it's Al Kudra for me.
02:38
Zulu Kingdom is interesting.
02:40
Broke about half a second faster than a lot of these horses at Belmont at the Big A last
02:45
time.
02:46
But based upon his predicted average speed in the race, we've got him coming out top.
02:49
So yeah, I think he could be pretty good.
02:51
And Chad Brown's pretty effective on the turf.
02:53
So I'll mention a couple of the others that we didn't hit.
02:56
Minaret Station, the eight comes out of a grade two win in the Bourbon was 39 to one
03:00
came rolling that day.
03:02
Or so I think it's a little bit interesting is the 10 Menti who's going to be stretching
03:05
out because this horse is quick and might be able to show some of that speed.
03:09
We're talking about how the speed can maybe be an equalizer.
03:12
There are probably some classier horses overseas that have a little more foundation going long
03:17
on the turf.
03:18
Maybe the horses over here who have a little more speed.
03:19
That's where you can see things maybe separate.
03:22
So Menti has the highest stride frequency, effectively ranking number one here.
03:26
Yeah, he's and that's that's an outlier.
03:28
So he might make this a kind of ferocious test of pace, which may suit him or not.
03:32
What does he draw?
03:33
He's drawn 10.
03:34
So he might get to the front.
03:35
He may not catch him.
03:36
But yeah, he's an outlier in that he has a he has a way of racing, which is more like
03:39
a kind of five, six foot long sprinter than a miler.
03:41
We talked a little bit about the one of the horses to beat in here.
03:45
New Century, Omori City and Henri Matisse, unfortunately, the outside draws once you
03:51
start getting that far out, it's just the post positions.
03:54
You have like lack of options out there and Tenacious Leader.
03:58
We just found out was a late scratch just a little bit earlier.
04:01
Dave Granite had just posted that from DRF.
04:03
So just something to keep an eye on there before we get to the selections.
04:09
Want to remind everybody Breeders' Cup packages at shop.drf.com.
04:14
Everything you need there.
04:15
Will, moment of truth time, give us your selections in the Juvenile Turf.
04:19
So I'm going to go for number four, Alcudra to beat number five, Zulu Kingdom with New
04:26
Century third and Seagulls 11 fourth, number seven.
04:30
Alexa, how about for you?
04:31
I agree with Alcudra on top.
04:33
Behind that, I have New Century, Menti and Dreamon.
04:37
And for me, I'm going to put the 10, Menti on top.
04:39
I'll go 10, 11, 5.
04:41
The two Dreamon is horse, so I think has some tactical speed, might be able to save ground
04:45
down there.
04:46
If you're at least looking for horses to use on the bottom of your exotics, that might
04:49
be a fun one.
Recommended
1:06
|
Up next
Could tropical development be in the forecast for the Atlantic?
AccuWeather
2 days ago
6:49
Race Analysis: Key Horses and Strategies For Winning
SportsGrid
1/10/2025
5:04
Philly and Mare Sprint: In-Depth Horse-by-Horse Analysis
SportsGrid
10/30/2024
4:33
Breakdown of Breeders' Cup Race 11 Runners and Betting Tips
SportsGrid
10/30/2024
3:46
Insight into Santa Anita's Key Horse Races and Strategies
SportsGrid
9/27/2024
1:31
Governor Sam: Speed Analysis for the Breeders' Cup
SportsGrid
10/30/2024
5:15
Preview of Race 9 at Aqueduct: Gazelle Stakes Insights
SportsGrid
4/2/2025
4:19
Breeders' Cup Big Race: $7 Million Prize and Top Contenders
SportsGrid
10/30/2024
7:04
Strategic Horse Racing Bets & Insights for Optimal Wins
SportsGrid
1/3/2025
4:35
Top Picks for Breeders' Cup Classic & Other Key Races
SportsGrid
10/30/2024
7:53
Expert Analysis: Upcoming Graded Stakes Horse Races
SportsGrid
11/8/2024
6:58
Top Horse Racing Picks for Upcoming Races: An Analysis
SportsGrid
11/15/2024
2:14
Forever Young: Top Contender in the Iconic Breeders 8th Race
SportsGrid
10/31/2024
6:58
Insightful Analysis of Upcoming Horse Race Strategies
SportsGrid
10/25/2024
0:34
Race 8 Strategy: Funtastic Again's Plan to Win at Kentucky
SportsGrid
9/6/2024
7:41
Exploring the Raven Run Race: Key Contenders & Strategies
SportsGrid
10/18/2024
2:07
Top Horse Racing Picks & Analysis for Keeneland & Belmont
SportsGrid
10/18/2024
1:05
Final Racing Weekend At Del Mar: Horse Racing Previews & Picks
SportsGrid
9/6/2024
5:05
Exciting Overview of the Breeders' Cup Turf Sprint
SportsGrid
10/30/2024
4:32
In-Depth Analysis: 2024 Breeders' Cup Distaff Race
SportsGrid
10/30/2024
8:11
Churchill Downs Race Preview: Graded Stakes Analysis
SportsGrid
11/22/2024
5:21
Kentucky Downs Racing: Big Purses & Top Horse Picks
SportsGrid
9/18/2024
4:25
A Look at Race 8 Turf: Lake Victoria Could Dominate
SportsGrid
10/30/2024
1:08
Del Mar Weekend Preview: Key Insights & Top Betting Picks
SportsGrid
8/30/2024
1:12
Keeneland Closing Day Picks: Key Races, Horses, & Best Bets
SportsGrid
10/25/2024