Week ahead - Rain then sunshine then uncertainty 30/09/19 - video Dailymotion

Met Office

Lots going on with the weather this week. We start with further rain, then turn cold and bright before the remnants of a hurricane bring uncertainty to the forecast at the end of the working week. Alex Deakin has more.

Transcript

00:00Hello, welcome to your weather for the

00:02week ahead from the Met Office.

00:04There's an awful lot going on over

00:06the next five to seven days.

00:07It kind of breaks down into three

00:09with more wet weather to come over

00:11the next day or two.

00:13There are warnings in force.

00:15If you're after some sunshine this

00:16week, then Wednesday is your best

00:18bet, generally looking dry and

00:20bright. But it is going to be

00:22quite a cold start to the day

00:24with some places seeing a touch

00:26of frost.

00:27And then at the end of the week,

00:28well, there's a lot of uncertainty

00:30thanks to what is currently

00:32a hurricane, Hurricane Lorenzo.

00:35Now, this storm is a long,

00:37long way from the UK at the moment.

00:39It is a pretty powerful storm.

00:41Nonetheless, it will be drifting its

00:42way northwards as it does so

00:44as it approaches the UK.

00:46It will no longer be a hurricane,

00:48but it could throw some wet and

00:49windy weather our way.

00:51Even before that, we do have plenty

00:53of wet and windy weather over the

00:54next couple of days.

00:55As I mentioned, an area of low

00:56pressure bringing rain across the

00:58country during Monday and Tuesday.

01:00And there are warnings in force

01:02really reaching northern Scotland.

01:04Here, it'll be a bright but cold

01:06start to Tuesday, some heavy

01:08showers in the far north, a dull

01:10damp day over parts of northern

01:11England, particularly east of the

01:12Pennines in the south.

01:14It's all about heavy showers

01:15breaking out and

01:17they could cause some problems.

01:19We've had a lot of rain recently.

01:21There'll be a lot of spray and

01:22surface water on the roads where

01:23those showers break out,

01:24particularly through the evening

01:26rush hour. So there may be some

01:28travel disruption.

01:29We do have a yellow warning in

01:30force for that.

01:31Should brighten up in southern

01:32Scotland and Northern Ireland

01:33through the day, get some afternoon

01:35sunshine here, but it won't be warm

01:37temperatures struggling to get into

01:38the teens, particularly chilly

01:40in northern Scotland.

01:41Whereas in the south, if we get a

01:42bit of brightness, actually we could

01:44see highs of 18 or 19

01:46Celsius, but there will be heavy

01:48showers never too far

01:50away.

01:51Now, that low pressure bringing the

01:52showery rain does ebb away on

01:54Tuesday evening and then the winds

01:55start to come down from the north.

01:56That's going to bring a real chill

01:58right across the country on

02:00Wednesday morning.

02:01We will see some pockets of frost

02:03in rural areas anywhere from

02:05northern England northwards.

02:06But even in the south, it's going to

02:07be a lot colder on Wednesday morning

02:09than recent mornings.

02:10Still quite blustery across the

02:12northeast and down the east coast

02:13generally.

02:14A small chance of one or two

02:15showers, but for most places

02:17looking dry and fine on Wednesday,

02:19we should see a fair bit of

02:20sunshine and

02:22yes, as I say, the best chance of

02:24some sunshine through the course of

02:25this week. But look at the

02:26temperatures.

02:27We're only struggling into the

02:28teens in many places.

02:29So that's going to feel quite a lot

02:31fresher on Wednesday.

02:33Then what happens after that?

02:35Well, as I say, there's still quite

02:36a bit of uncertainty about exactly

02:38how Lorenzo changes from

02:40a hurricane into a normal area of

02:42low pressure.

02:43That'll probably happen during

02:44Wednesday or into Thursday.

02:46But even though it's not a

02:47hurricane anymore, you can still

02:49see there's a lot of isobars of

02:50that chart. It could be very windy

02:51and it will be bringing a lot of

02:53moisture and a lot of rain.

02:54But where exactly?

02:56That is still open to some doubt.

02:59At the moment, it looks like

03:00Western areas will see a bit of

03:01that rain coming in on Thursday

03:03and we could also start to see the

03:04winds picking up as well.

03:06But for many, Thursday, again,

03:07looking dry and bright, certainly

03:08to start with, just a question of

03:10how quickly this rain spreads in

03:12associated with that

03:14old storm.

03:15Now, it's not unusual for there to

03:17be this much uncertainty about the

03:18position of something like this

03:20at this stage because it's

03:22highly energetic.

03:23It affects the atmosphere and it

03:25does create more uncertainty.

03:26But this low could drift to the

03:28north and maybe even bend back

03:30round towards Greenland.

03:31It could move more across central

03:33parts of the UK or it could drive

03:35down to the southwest.

03:37And the exact position intensity

03:39of the low will really have enough

03:41impact and effect on the exact

03:43weather that we see across the UK.

03:45It is uncertain at this stage.

03:47So the best thing to do is to keep

03:48up to date. Stay tuned to the

03:50forecast. There is the potential

03:52for a wet and windy spell.

03:53But details will be uncertain

03:55for the next couple of days, at

03:57least. But as I say, keep up to

03:58date. That's the best message at

04:00this stage.

04:01Best way to do that is to follow

04:02us on social media, go to

04:04YouTube, follow us on Twitter and

04:06Facebook.

04:07Or, of course, you can download our

04:09app or visit our website.

Week ahead - Rain then sunshine then uncertainty 30/09/19

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