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Weekend weather - Storm Dennis arrives making flooding likely 13/02/20
Met Office
Follow
14/10/2024
The winds from this storm system are not expected to be as strong as last weekend however, the heavy rain from Dennis is expected to be more widespread than from Ciara and there is a greater risk of flooding over larger areas. Alex Deakin explains.
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00:00
Hello. Welcome to your weekend update from the Met Office.
00:03
Another weekend where we're talking about a storm.
00:05
Last weekend, it was Storm Kira.
00:07
This weekend, Storm Dennis arrives.
00:10
It's similar to Storm Kira in some ways,
00:12
but there are important differences.
00:14
The main one being that the winds associated with Storm
00:17
Dennis are expected to be a little bit less than those
00:21
from Storm Kira.
00:22
However, Storm Dennis is likely to bring
00:25
more widespread heavy rainfall and therefore
00:28
a greater risk of further flooding.
00:31
Now, again, Storm Dennis is an area of low pressure,
00:34
which, like Storm Kira, is developing way out
00:37
of the eastern seaboard of the United States,
00:40
intensifying during Friday as it crosses the Atlantic.
00:44
The ice is squeezing together, so yes, it will be windy.
00:47
But a slight difference track of Dennis
00:49
as it pushes a bit further north will
00:51
allow warmer air to push up across parts of the south.
00:54
And that's crucial because warmer air
00:57
brings more moisture with it.
00:58
And that is one of the reasons why the rainfall with Dennis
01:01
is likely to be heavier more widely across the UK.
01:04
And that's why there's a greater risk of more widespread
01:07
flooding from Dennis.
01:08
Having said that, it will still be a very windy weekend.
01:11
We start off with patchy rain across parts of the south.
01:15
And then this band of heavy rain tracks into Scotland
01:18
and Northern Ireland.
01:19
Parts of northeast England may not see too much rain
01:21
until Saturday afternoon.
01:23
But look at this.
01:24
By the end of Saturday, much of the UK
01:26
will be experiencing heavy rain and strong and gusty winds.
01:31
Those winds likely to reach 50 miles an hour inland,
01:33
60 to 70 miles an hour around coast.
01:35
So again, a notch down from Keir at last weekend,
01:38
but still with the potential to cause damage and disruption.
01:43
It is milder air, so temperatures
01:44
likely to get into double digits,
01:46
maybe even into the teens.
01:47
But of course, it won't feel all that pleasant.
01:50
Storm Dennis then hangs around through Saturday night
01:53
into Sunday.
01:54
Again, a lot of isobars on the chart.
01:55
This weather front pushes southwards, bringing rain.
01:58
And then it kind of wriggles and ripples.
02:00
And it's this waving weather front
02:02
that continues to bring rain across parts of the south.
02:05
So again, that is why we're particularly
02:07
concerned about rainfall amounts really starting to build up
02:10
through the weekend.
02:12
Just look across the south.
02:13
It is a very soggy Sunday indeed.
02:15
Further north, it may turn a bit drier and brighter.
02:18
But there'll still be a lot of showers packing in.
02:20
And still windy.
02:21
And again, after Storm Keir and after what
02:24
has been a very lively week of weather,
02:26
trees and structures may well have been weakened.
02:29
So although the winds may not be quite as strong as Keir,
02:31
they could still cause damage and disruption.
02:34
Temperature wise, again, on Sunday across the south,
02:37
it will technically be quite mild,
02:38
with highs perhaps getting into the teens, that milder air
02:42
that Dennis is bringing.
02:43
Further north, though, it will be turning a little bit cooler,
02:46
but perhaps not quite as wet on Sunday,
02:48
with some brighter spells in between those showers.
02:52
So just a reminder, there are warnings in force
02:54
for Storm Dennis this weekend.
02:55
Amber warnings for rainfall.
02:57
And many yellow warnings for both wind and rain.
03:01
Please make sure you stay up to date.
03:02
See if your area is going to be affected
03:04
by these weather warnings.
03:06
Best way to do that, visit our website, download our app.
03:08
Or of course, the very latest updates throughout the weekend
03:11
will be on our social media channels.
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4:48
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