Week Ahead 17/02/2025 – Warming up! - video Dailymotion

Met Office

This is the Met Office UK Weather forecast for the week ahead 17/02/2025. It is going to get warmer this week, but for many it’s also going to get wetter. Bringing you this week’s weather forecast is Alex Deakin.

Transcript

00:00Welcome to your Met Office weather for the week ahead.

00:03If you're on half term this week, well, you'll probably be pleased to know that it is going

00:08to get a little warmer.

00:09But for many of us, it is also going to get a little bit wetter.

00:13Now, for quite some time, we've had high pressure sitting to the east of us.

00:17It's generated a lot of cold and cloudy weather.

00:21Out west, however, there's been low pressure, and these two have kind of been having a bit

00:26of a scrap over recent days.

00:28The low has been nudging in a little bit over recent days, but generally, the high

00:32pressure is still holding sway.

00:34However, this week, the low is kind of bringing together a few of its mates, and eventually,

00:40they will push away that area of high pressure.

00:43The low pressure wins out.

00:45These weather fronts will be providing cloud and rain.

00:47The isobars are squidging together, telling us it's going to get windier.

00:52But crucially, the wind direction means it is also going to get warmer.

00:56We're switching to a southwesterly wind, so bringing in milder air from the warmer

01:02seas, whereas we're starting the week with the high pressure close by and the winds drawing

01:07in the colder conditions from the near continent.

01:10So still cold enough for some wintry weather.

01:12On Tuesday, Met Office warnings for ice and snow across parts of central and southern

01:17Scotland as this area of wet weather creeps in.

01:21We could see some freezing rain, particularly in southwest Scotland, but also some snow

01:24flurries, mostly over hills.

01:25But even at low levels, there could even be a centimetre or two.

01:29So the potential for a little bit of disruption.

01:31A damp start with rain and drizzle for Northern Ireland.

01:33That should ease off, but it will be quite windy here.

01:36Windy for Wales and southwest England as well.

01:39And the rain and hill snow also petering out across Scotland.

01:42Brighter skies over central and eastern parts of England.

01:45Some hazy, weak sunshine on offer here, but we've still got that air feeding in from the

01:50continent.

01:51So it is going to be a cold one.

01:52We'll start with a touch of frost and temperatures struggling four or five degrees Celsius, maybe

01:56nine, perhaps 10 in the Isles of Scilly by the afternoon as that milder air just starts

02:01to creep in once more.

02:03But it's going to be a slow old process.

02:06These weather fronts, the low pressures just continuing to nudge away that area of high

02:10pressure on Wednesday.

02:12This weather front's got a bit more about it.

02:14It'll have some thickening cloud and outbreaks of rain creeping into the southwest, West

02:19Wales and Northern Ireland.

02:20So a damp day for Northern Ireland.

02:22Some of that rain just trickling into southwest Scotland, maybe northwest England by the end

02:26of the day.

02:27Again, though, much of eastern England will be dry.

02:30Still single digits here, but it is turning a little milder, seven, eight degrees Celsius.

02:35And more widely across the south, double figures likely, particularly if it does brighten up

02:40across the southwest for Wednesday afternoon.

02:43Notice, though, there is more wind and rain just knocking on the door out west from another

02:48weather system.

02:49So rain will build up in western areas.

02:51That's what this graphic is showing, the 24 hour rainfall accumulations through Wednesday

02:55and Thursday and Friday.

02:57Notice, not much at all getting to the east.

03:00So it will be a largely dry week here.

03:02But in the west, the rain really building up a little bit through Thursday and Friday,

03:07especially when the rain could be heavy, particularly over the hills.

03:10So the hills of south Wales, north Wales, northwest England, southwest Scotland and

03:14across Northern Ireland.

03:16So it is turning wetter through the second half of the week.

03:18Why?

03:19Well, it's all to do with what's going on high in the sky, low levels.

03:22We've got low pressure, but the jet stream is getting a bit of a kick to it.

03:28It's getting a bit of welly as it pushes in across central parts of the Atlantic.

03:32And that's going to develop areas of low pressure that will whiz our way, bringing the moisture

03:38and bringing the outbreaks of rain and that southwesterly wind, which will lift the temperatures

03:43everywhere by the time we get to Thursday.

03:45But it will also bring outbreaks of rain, particularly for Northern Ireland, western

03:49Scotland and spells of rain on those weather fronts as they come into England and Wales.

03:54Always fizzling out there.

03:55So, as I said, not much rain getting to the east and look at the numbers by the time we

03:58get to Thursday with a bit of sunshine, 13, 14, maybe even 15 degrees Celsius.

04:04That will feel very different to how it has done for most of February.

04:08So far, Friday is a similar picture with another fairly active area of low pressure depending

04:13on how that interacts with the jet stream.

04:15It could really spin up into quite a deep area of low pressure.

04:18The ice is squidging together further.

04:20So Friday could be very windy in these western parts and also pretty wet also.

04:26So that does need watching as we go towards the end of the week where this weather front

04:30lies.

04:31Quite a soggy day on Friday, most likely over western parts of England and Wales.

04:36But as always, at this kind of range, it could be a little further east.

04:39It could be a little further west where we see some brightness, though, again, temperatures

04:42getting into the teens, 15, 16 is a possibility on Friday where we do see some sunshine, even

04:49when it's raining all day, 12 or 13 is a lot milder than it has been.

04:53That weather front should be out of the way for the weekend.

04:56Low pressure still nearby, looking fairly showery into Saturday.

04:59But notice way out in the Atlantic, the jet streams still looking pretty powerful as we

05:04head into the weekend and indeed into next week.

05:06So potentially spinning up more areas of low pressure.

05:09Want to keep a close eye on.

05:11We will, of course, be doing that.

05:12And you, of course, can keep up to date yourself with the weather throughout this week by subscribing

05:17to our YouTube channel and following us right across social media.

Week Ahead 17/02/2025 – Warming up!

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