Tropical development possible in the coming days

AccuWeather

We've gone more than half a month with no named storms in the Atlantic, despite nearing the peak of hurricane season, but forecasters warn the quiet stretch is coming to an end.

Transcript

00:00Really, as we look at the big picture, eerily quiet, no active storms at the moment.

00:04We do have strong wind shear that has been lowering the threat near the U.S. into the

00:09weekend.

00:10I'll point out a couple of areas where the wind shear is stronger, kind of acting as

00:14roadblocks more or less.

00:15But we are watching the Gulf of Mexico into next week.

00:18How quiet has it been?

00:19Well, we had no new named storms form since Ernesto that was back on August 12th.

00:24So from August 13th to September 3rd, today the 4th.

00:28Last time we have had this kind of a stretch without a new named storm between those two

00:32benchmarks or in between those dates was back in 1968.

00:37This was the first Labor Day weekend with no storms active in the Atlantic, no named

00:41entities in 27 years.

00:43The quiet stretch will continue for a little bit.

00:46We do have some action out there with a couple of tropical waves.

00:48We've had some heavy rain into places near Jamaica, a couple of stronger tropical waves

00:52there.

00:53But there is a tropical wave there that's a little bit stronger.

00:56But as we get into the remainder of the month here, we're approximately here, again, approaching

01:02September 10th.

01:03There's still a lot of hurricane season to go.

01:05We're not quite at the full halfway point.

01:07We've had five named storms.

01:08We're still forecasting between about 11 and 15 more storms.

01:14So we're expecting to see 16 to 20, as you heard there from Alex Da Silva.

01:18There's a moderate chance that this disturbance near Jamaica will move west after crossing

01:24some land.

01:25This is an area of strong wind shear, also more strong wind shear with these deep purple

01:29zones here.

01:30After it crosses the landmass, we've got warm water over the Gulf.

01:33That's been present the whole season.

01:35We do expect to see some organization here.

01:37So there's a medium chance next week in the Bay of Campeche, also into the east-central

01:43Atlantic.

01:44Moderate chance of development in those areas.

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