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No tropical storms expected for at least another week, but a busy season still ahead
AccuWeather
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7/18/2024
AccuWeather forecasters say none of the tropical waves in the Atlantic right now will develop into storms, but we're already ahead of average for the hurricane season with a lot worse expected in the months ahead.
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00:00
let's talk all things tropics and so far during this 2024 hurricane season.
00:06
Here's a look by the numbers where we would be from a historical average
00:10
standpoint. The first three storms typically right around the third of
00:14
august. Well we've already seen three named systems of course a lot again of
00:20
time spent on barrel as it made its way throughout again several 1000 miles of
00:26
stretch of water eventually making landfall along the texas coastline and
00:30
causing in lots of damage and lots of flooding as well as severe weather.
00:34
We're not anticipating tropical development here this week and here's
00:38
why we talk about three primary ingredients for the formation of
00:41
tropical systems warm sea surface water temperatures moisture and a lack of
00:46
wind shear. We have warm sea surface water temperatures but we do not have a
00:50
lot of moisture instead we have dry dusty air and we have strong wind shear
00:54
the winds higher up in the atmosphere. So even our tropical waves here are not
00:58
really packing that much moisture in place but like I said we do have a lot
01:03
of warm water and that's going to be fuel for a very active season. In fact
01:08
it's supercharged hurricane season where we're calling for an above historical
01:12
average number of named storms hurricanes and major hurricanes. Here's
01:17
the actual numbers your exclusive accuweather forecast 20 to 25 named
01:21
storms 8 to 12 of those hurricanes and 4 to 7 of those becoming major hurricanes
01:27
and again 25 named storms in itself here in the atlantic basin would be the third
01:32
most active atlantic hurricane season on record. So that would be in some very
01:38
rare territory if you think back to the year 2020 when we exhausted the alphabet
01:44
here we saw 30 named systems.
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