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  • 7/13/2025
Transcript
00:00921, 922 on the rotation. That's Miami and Baltimore.
00:03Yuri Perez on the mound for the Marlins going up against Baltimore's.
00:06Mr. Young out here, 135 p.m. start.
00:10And if we look at the side, 135 is overnight, Tom, dropping a little bit,
00:13mostly around that minus 120 price across the marketplace.
00:16Nines across the board today, Miami and Baltimore.
00:19How are we looking here?
00:21You know, this game, I want to say Young is going to be a better pitcher
00:25than he currently is, like a 6.14 ERA through 22 innings.
00:30It's not good.
00:30But, of course, ERA doesn't tell the full story.
00:32A 4.23 XFIP, we've got to say, like, that's not amazing,
00:37but it is better than 6.14.
00:39He's not a big strikeout pitcher.
00:40Their home runs are a little bit of an issue.
00:42You know, Yuri Perez has put up some really solid games as a player,
00:44obviously a pitcher that's dealt with a ton of injuries over the past few years.
00:48He also has some decent strikeout stuff.
00:50The walks are a little bit of an issue for him.
00:52Not really home run issues.
00:54I see this as a clear under game.
00:56Both pitchers, I think, are actually pretty solid.
00:58And I know the hitting has come around in a big way for the Orioles as of late
01:01with a lot of their players having slow starts to the season.
01:04But Yuri Perez, if we have a 21% hard contact rate allowed for him,
01:08he does not do the thing that the Orioles excel at.
01:11He actually can negate all of that and keep the ball in the park,
01:15keep the ball down, and that would sap the power away from the Orioles.
01:18So I almost like the Marlins to come away with the win.
01:21I'm not sold on it, but I like the under more than anything.
01:23I'm not sold on it.

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