2025 US Open Best Bets: Preview and Analysis from Oakmont

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00:00U.S. Open week in the world of golf.

00:03The 2025 United States Open, our national championship,

00:07the 125th playing of this major.

00:10This year in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania at Oakmont Country Club.

00:15It is set to be an absolute beaut, but it's also going to be an absolute brute.

00:22It is the toughest test in golf.

00:25We're not exactly sure what that finishing score could potentially be.

00:28Even around even par could be successful this week at the U.S. Open.

00:34DRS Keith Stewart will be here throughout the week on TEL

00:38to break down the action that we are seeing.

00:40And, of course, tomorrow to set the stage for this week.

00:44But any time that Scotty Scheffler is in the field at any PGA Tour event,

00:48certainly at major championships, his price is going to be incredibly short.

00:52That is the case this week, plus $2.80.

00:55It is more than $4 shorter than anybody else on this list.

01:01Scheffler, plus $2.80.

01:02The reigning United States Open champ, Bryson DeChambeau,

01:06who won last year at Pinehurst, a 7-1 number.

01:10And Rory McIlroy, who completed the career Grand Slam earlier in the year at Augusta,

01:15a 12-1 number alongside Jon Rahm.

01:18Yeah, it's good stuff here.

01:19I mean, the superstars come out for the big events and none bigger,

01:21obviously, than the U.S. Open here.

01:23It should be a great test of golf, but understand this.

01:25Players that have won it in the past, that have won majors,

01:28they pop up on the leaderboard because it's, hey, anybody can,

01:31yeah, we understand anybody can win it.

01:33But, my goodness, if you're in your spot for a first championship,

01:37it's probably not going to be the U.S. Open at that point

01:39because how tough it is to handle the rough

01:41and handle all the pressure down the stretch it goes.

01:43But it just, it's wild.

01:44Like, we're going to talk about how tough this golf course is this week

01:47and the way it sets up, which means, Ben, you should have, like, 25 guys

01:51all stacked up on top of each other saying,

01:54well, I don't know who's going to win because of how hard that golf course is

01:57and how good these players are.

01:58And yet, there's Scotty Scheffler in a U.S. Open at a plus 280 price

02:03and the next competitor is Bryson DeChambeau, who won it last year at a 7-1 price.

02:09It's always crazy.

02:10And then I say, well, all right, that's the price I don't want to,

02:12well, who do you want to take outside of Scotty Scheffler

02:14when you know he's going to be there when it's all said and done

02:17with a legitimate chance to win this.

02:19But the price, plus 280 in a major, insanity,

02:24and probably Scotty Scheffler will win it again.

02:28DRS, from what I am seeing here,

02:29I believe that Oakmont is playing at a par 70,

02:33which means it's not your normal par 72,

02:37not nearly as many par fives,

02:39which are the scoring holes for these guys out there on the PGA Tour.

02:44There are some tournament specials that kind of go to the idea

02:47of what that winning score is going to be.

02:51Par 70, four rounds, 70 times four, 280 in total,

02:56under 278.5 for that winning score.

03:00The total amount of strokes taken is minus 145.

03:05If we were to stay under 278.5, 278 would be two under par.

03:10But notice it's not 265 or even 270.

03:14If you're a couple under par, a couple in those red figures,

03:18you are going to have a chance to be crowned a major champion

03:21in when the United States Open.

03:23To your point, DRS, at the toughest test in golf.

03:26Again, it's not that Scotty Scheffler is just a short favorite

03:29in comparison to the entirety of the rest of the field.

03:33It is shorter than $3.

03:34It is plus 280.

03:36DeChambeau, that second best number at 7-1, of course,

03:39was in contention at the opening two majors this year.

03:43Now, Rory McIlroy completed the career Grand Slam

03:46at the Masters, of course, back in April,

03:49winning his first career green jacket

03:51and completing that career Grand Slam after 11 years.

03:56But he has not been great since.

03:58Was pretty bad at the PGA Championship.

04:00At Quill Holloway Golf Course, he has had a lot of success at.

04:05Skipped out on the Memorial Tournament at Jack's Place.

04:08Did not meet with the media after any of his four rounds

04:11at the PGA Championship.

04:13And last week, DRS, at the RBC Canadian Open, missed the cut.

04:18He shot a 78 on Friday.

04:21One of his worst rounds in his PGA Tour career

04:25in a non-major championship.

04:28Rory is not entering the toughest test in golf

04:31in really the best of his form.

04:34Yeah, exactly.

04:34And it's when we take a look at Major League Baseball and Equate,

04:37it's like, hey, I don't really care what you did

04:38in the last week of March or first couple weeks of April.

04:41Give me the 30-day statistics.

04:43How are you coming into this tournament?

04:44Are you playing great golf?

04:45Did you break in a new driver?

04:46Are you having problems with your 8-iron?

04:48Is your putter, you know, absolutely going bare?

04:50Maybe that's the case for him.

04:52But you're still talking about a price point

04:53in the top three at 12-1 for him to win this

04:56and shooting a 78 in a tournament

04:58that wasn't all that tough

05:00with a lot of pressure in Canada.

05:02Now, things can turn around quickly

05:03and maybe your head wasn't in the game that week

05:05and you fixed a couple things on Monday, Tuesday, and Wednesday

05:07and you're ready to go here for Thursday's true test of golf.

05:10But that's not something I look forward to.

05:11Like, I'm not one of those type of handy guys.

05:13Like, okay, ebbs and flows in golf.

05:15He'll eventually get it back.

05:16Like, oh, I love the fact,

05:18I want to take a three-point shot in the NBA, Ben,

05:19for a guy that went two of 12 the night before.

05:21No, you know what I want to take?

05:23The guy went seven of eight

05:24because I know he's ready to go

05:25saying every shot that he attempts,

05:27he believes it's going in.

05:29It's the same thing with Rory.

05:30The last thing you want on a golf course

05:31where if you're spraying your driver just a little bit,

05:34not hitting fairways,

05:35good luck with that at the Open.

05:36Tough for me to get on Rory's bandwagon this week, Ben.

05:40Yeah, DRS.

05:41And again, one of the reasons that Scotty Scheffler

05:43is such a short favorite

05:44is not just because he is Scotty Scheffler,

05:46but what he has done here as of late.

05:49Finished fourth at the Masters,

05:50then a T8 the following week at the RBC Heritage.

05:54Then he won the CJ Cup Byron Nelson,

05:56won the PGA Championship,

05:58his first major title not at Augusta,

06:01finished top five at the Charles Schwab at Colonial,

06:04and of course last week won the Memorial.

06:06He has three wins in his last four starts.

06:09He has seven consecutive top tens

06:12on the PGA Tour as well.

06:14He is in brilliant form

06:15entering the United States Open this week.

06:18Of course, some other golfers, DRS,

06:20that we expect to be in consideration.

06:23Ludwig Oberg is a big game hunter, 27 to 1.

06:26Joaquin Neiman has a great outlook.

06:29He's been great this year on live.

06:3130 to 1, Tommy Fleetwood, Justin Thomas,

06:33a winner this year already at 40 to 1 as well.

06:37Keith Stewart will be here

06:38to give you the early leans on the early line,

06:41I believe, tomorrow.

06:42DRS, any golfers that you want to get down with

06:45early on this week?

06:46You know what, I've got to take a look

06:49because I didn't do the research.

06:50Now on the golf course, we know it's tough, Ben,

06:51but as we know, if you're a scorer,

06:53what are the conditions you like?

06:54Hey, is it going to rain a little bit,

06:55soften up those greens?

06:56Are they going to cut down and trim the rough here?

06:58So I need a little bit more information,

06:59so I would like to talk to Keith and say,

07:01how is it playing, who looks like they're in a spot,

07:03and also the expectations for the tournament,

07:06not for the players' perspective, Ben,

07:07just for the course itself for me.

07:09Pretty beautiful weather in the opening two rounds

07:12at Oakmont, but Saturday and Sunday,

07:14the potential of some showers.

07:16MLB Breakdown, now.

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