Minnesota weather: Rain chances through Sunday, then summer heat

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Definitely not talking about washouts, but rain chances exist daily through the weekend before Minnesota warms up and dries out.

Transcript

00:00Well, we have another pleasant day for the Twin Cities in southeastern Minnesota.

00:03Still a little unsettled weather for northern and western Minnesota,

00:06and we all head into an unsettled pattern with spotty showers and storms into the weekend.

00:24So, temperatures will be close to 80 this afternoon in the Twin Cities in southeastern

00:29Minnesota, where we'll see the most sun.

00:30We've got some clouds popping up in the western part of the state,

00:33some instability generating some pop-up showers and thunderstorms,

00:36but a more organized cluster of activity out of South Dakota that is headed east-northeast

00:41into the region for tonight into tomorrow morning.

00:43So, expect showers overnight tonight, later in the night, into the early morning hours tomorrow.

00:48But this afternoon, northern and western Minnesota, some pop-up showers,

00:51but that more organized cluster of showers.

00:54Here's 4 a.m. Friday, probably some showers left for the morning commute.

00:57And then that'll move out, we'll see clouds decrease,

00:59and then maybe some pop-up showers again later in the afternoon,

01:03as we see a little sunshine in the midday and early afternoon.

01:05That's going to keep temperatures down tomorrow, too.

01:07Low 70s for highs, but upper 70s in the northwest corner of the state,

01:10where we'll see more stable conditions and a little more sunshine.

01:14But we've got a bunch of minor disturbances kind of lined up to the west.

01:17All these little Xs, those are little vorticity areas,

01:20or little troughs aloft, essentially, what we call these short waves.

01:24They're just essentially little pools of cool air in the middle atmosphere that generate instability.

01:29So, they're going to create, basically every 12 hours, a chance of some spotty showers and thunderstorms.

01:34The next more significant one after tonight will come Saturday night.

01:37Cool front comes through along with this upper-level low,

01:39and then some lingering cool air aloft Sunday and Monday will generate some spotty showers and thunderstorms.

01:44So, already late Saturday.

01:46Again, some convective potential activity here, some pop-up showers and storms,

01:49and then that more organized wave ahead of a cool front Saturday night.

01:53But then again, Sunday afternoon, especially for the northern half of the state,

01:56could see some pop-up showers and thunderstorms,

01:57because we will see some sunshine each of these days, too,

02:00generating some of that instability with the cooler air aloft.

02:03But in total, we're not talking a ton of rain here over the next several days.

02:07And actually, this could line up well for northern Minnesota.

02:10You might see a half inch to an inch of rain, and they need it.

02:13These are the areas that are getting pretty dry here.

02:15They're abnormally dry in yellow and orange.

02:18We still have moderate drought hanging out in north-central Minnesota.

02:21So, while we've seen one to two inches of rain in the last seven days,

02:24northeastern Minnesota in particular has only seen nothing to only as much as a tenth or two-tenths of an inch of some rainfall.

02:31So, this cool air aloft, that unsettled weather for the weekend,

02:35and keeping temperatures slightly below normal.

02:38But then as we head into next week, we're going to gradually move into this upper-level ridge pattern.

02:41That means hotter, drier conditions midweek into the end of next week.

02:45And in fact, by Wednesday, we should be in the 80s.

02:47Thursday, here's just a sample of temperatures we'll see later next week.

02:51Mid, maybe even some upper 80s.

02:53I don't see quite 90, but it is going to be above normal.

02:56Normal highs in the upper 70s next week.

02:58So, we're going to be at least 5, 10, maybe 15 degrees above that.

03:02Close to that 80-degree mark today, though.

03:04Again, some spotty showers this afternoon north and west.

03:07And then we get our chance tonight, after midnight, and then into tomorrow morning, some scattered showers.

03:12Decreasing clouds then, 73, and then an isolated pop-up shower later in the afternoon.

03:17Some pop-up showers possible Saturday with that better chance Saturday night ahead of that cool front.

03:22Most of that will clear us Sunday morning.

03:24And then just some isolated showers popping up again both Sunday and Monday afternoons.

03:28A little cooler those days, too.

03:29But brighter and warming up here as we head into Tuesday, and especially Wednesday with highs back into the 80s.

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