Met Office Saturday Evening Forecast 16/11/24

Met Office

16 November - National weather forecast presented by Ellie Glaisyer.

Transcript

00:00Hello, welcome to your latest weather update from the Met Office. So, the north-south split

00:05across the UK does continue, but there are still some uncertainties in the forecast as

00:09we head into the new working week. Through the rest of the weekend, though, we've got

00:12a weather front just sinking its way southwards through the rest of Saturday. But it's this

00:16area of low pressure that moves in from the northwest as we go through Sunday and into

00:19Monday that's still causing us quite a few headaches. Some models are keeping this a

00:24little bit further north, some models keeping it still a little bit further south. But it's

00:27that boundary of cold and warm air with that weather front just bringing a risk of some

00:32sleet and snow that could be disruptive. Mostly, most of that sleet and snow will be falling

00:36over any high ground, but there is a risk that we could see some sleet and snow to some

00:40lower levels. What we do know with confidence, though, is that as we go through Monday evening

00:44and into Tuesday, that area of low pressure pushes away towards the east and towards the

00:48continent, leaving us northerly winds across much of the UK and towards the middle part

00:52of the week. So, turning widely much colder than we've seen through the start of November.

00:58Back to what we've got out there at the moment, though. That weather front continues just

01:01to sink its way southwards across much of England and Wales through the rest of Saturday

01:05and into the start of Sunday. For the northern half of the UK, a bit of a different story,

01:09though. Plenty of clear spells around, still plenty of showers pushing in from the west

01:12and across northern parts of Scotland. These are likely to turn to sleet and snow over

01:16the hills. And for eastern parts of Scotland, northern parts of England, plenty of clear

01:20skies to start the day on Sunday. So, that does mean it'll be quite a chilly start to

01:24the day. Quite a widespread frost in places here to start on Sunday morning. Perhaps even

01:28some icy stretches in places. Further south, not quite as cold, but still temperatures

01:33dropping down into the single figures. So, it will be quite a widely chilly start for

01:37many of us on Sunday morning. A little bit of a cloudier start across parts of Northern

01:42Ireland. Some showery rain pushing in from the northwest, spreading its way into parts

01:46of Wales, the Midlands, into northern parts of England as we head towards Sunday afternoon.

01:51Plenty of showers still piling in, particularly across northern parts of Scotland. And again,

01:55these are likely to turn to sleet and snow over any high ground. There will be some brighter

01:59spells across the very far south of England. Perhaps some sunshine in places. I'm feeling

02:03quite pleasant in that sunshine with light winds too. Temperatures here are round about

02:06average for the time of year, but still just holding on to that slightly milder air. So,

02:10maybe 11 or 12 degrees. However, further north, particularly across Northern Ireland, where

02:14we see that cloud, and for much of Scotland with those northerly winds, it will be feeling

02:17really quite chilly through the afternoon. Temperatures not reaching much above 4 or

02:215 degrees. As we then go through the rest of Sunday evening, we see that area of rain

02:26across parts of Northern Ireland continue to spread south and eastwards into parts of

02:30Wales, the Midlands and northern parts of England, perhaps turning heavy over any hills

02:33as well, and slowly spreading its way even into southern parts of England by the time

02:37we get to Monday morning. Further north though, those showers really do remain confined to

02:42the northern parts of Scotland. We could see up to 10 centimetres of snow just building

02:46up into the early hours of Monday morning, but under plenty of clear spells, it will

02:50be a much chillier night than a Saturday night. Temperatures widely dropping down around zero

02:55if not just below, particularly in some rural spots. So, quite a hard frost likely on Monday

02:59morning, and this could lead to some icy stretches. So, do take care during Monday morning's rush

03:04hour. Further south, it will still be quite a chilly start to the day on Monday, although

03:07not perhaps quite as cold as further north, with all that cloud and rain around to start

03:12on Monday morning. So, for much of England and Wales, a cloudy and damp start to the

03:17day. That area of rain continues to spread its way south and eastwards as we go in towards

03:21Monday afternoon. It's this area of rain then that's causing us those headaches, that area

03:26of low pressure spreading its way eastwards as we go through Monday afternoon, and it's

03:30on that boundary of that rain that we're likely to see some sleet and snow forming. As I mentioned,

03:35the sleet and snow most likely to be falling over any high ground. We could perhaps see

03:39up to 20 centimetres of snow across the Pennines, and at lower levels, it will mostly be falling

03:44as rain, but there is still a very small chance that we could see some sleet and snow, perhaps

03:48causing some disruption during Monday afternoon to lower levels. But for the most part, that

03:52sleet and snow remaining over the high ground. For parts of Scotland, a bit of hazy sunshine

03:57through the afternoon, and those sleet and snow showers do continue across the north

04:01of Scotland through the afternoon, perhaps feeling quite blustery at times here, and

04:04it will be feeling quite chilly with those blustery northerly winds. Temperatures again

04:08only reaching the low single figures as a maximum. Further south and to the south of

04:12that weather front, we will just be holding onto that slightly milder air. So again, temperatures

04:16a little bit above average on Monday, 12 to 14 degrees quite widely in the southwest,

04:21but definitely feeling chilly under that area of rain and cloud as we go through the afternoon.

04:26So there is still quite a bit of uncertainty on the location of this weather front, so

04:30do make sure you subscribe to our YouTube channel and keep an eye on our social media

04:33and website for any warning updates over the coming few days. Bye for now.

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