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Week Ahead – A wet start to summer 03/06/19
Met Office
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14/10/2024
It’s a wet start to summer with several periods of prolonged rain this week, interspersed by heavy showers. Met Office meteorologist Aidan McGivern has the soggy details.
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00:00
Hello, it's time for the Met Office forecast for the week ahead.
00:04
It's the first week of the meteorological summer, but for some, this week will feel
00:07
more like the start of the rainy season.
00:10
In one word, this week is going to be wet.
00:12
At least three spells of persistent rainfall between now and the weekend, interspersed
00:17
by yes, some warm sunshine, but also some heavy downpours.
00:20
The heat of the weekend that some parts of Britain experienced has now been firmly pushed
00:25
into the continent by a plunging jet stream.
00:28
That jet stream you can see diving to the south of the UK over the next few days.
00:33
And that means we're on the cool and relatively unsettled side of the jet stream.
00:38
Now the jet stream of course also picks up areas of low pressure and moves them our way.
00:43
And if we go back to Monday, you can see it doing just that over the next few days into
00:49
Tuesday and then Wednesday, it brings these low pressure systems into the UK.
00:53
And another thing that is important to note is that there's hot air over the continent
00:57
and that will sometimes interact with these low pressure systems as they dive to the south
01:02
and then north again, picking up the increased humidity.
01:06
We're not going to experience increased temperatures, but we are going to experience that high humidity
01:10
and that will translate to some very wet weather, particularly across southern and eastern parts
01:15
of Britain by the end of the week.
01:17
It's actually the west on Tuesday morning that we start off with some heavy rainfall.
01:20
Showers or longer spells of rain, you can see the patchy nature of the blues and oranges
01:26
travelling across the country.
01:27
After a dry start in the far north and the east, we'll see showers here as well.
01:31
Now brighter colours there in the far south-east and the south-west, you could see some thundery
01:35
downpours, otherwise it's just outbreaks of rain on and off and a good deal of cloud cover.
01:40
A lot of cloud to start off Wednesday, but the wet weather becomes more confined to central
01:45
and southern and south-western Scotland.
01:49
Elsewhere, it's a case of sunny spells, but a few heavy showers developing through the day.
01:54
So it's not a washout for many places on Wednesday.
01:57
There will be some brighter weather for a time, but later on Wednesday, another system
02:01
moves up from the continent and again it's interacting with some very humid air over
02:06
the continent, some thunderstorms, and that leads to uncertainty in terms of where exactly
02:11
the rainfall will end up in terms of its east-west distribution on Thursday.
02:15
But it looks likely that across eastern parts of the country it's a wet start and then
02:19
that rain tumbles into central and northern Scotland through the day.
02:23
Further south, across England, Wales, Northern Ireland, sunny spells, but also scattered
02:27
heavy thundery downpours, perhaps even some hail thrown in, and temperatures typically high teens.
02:35
As we say goodbye to that system, the next one turns up from the south.
02:39
Again, it's coming up from the south, it's picking up increased humidity over the continent
02:44
and it's going to bring some substantial rainfall.
02:47
And once again, because of its interaction with thunderstorms over the continent, there's
02:51
some uncertainty in terms of its exact location and timing, but it looks likely that Friday
02:55
will start off particularly wet across southern Britain, perhaps 50 millimetres of rainfall
03:00
or so in the south-east before that all moves northwards through the day.
03:04
Of course we do need some rainfall in the south, so it's not all bad news, but not a
03:09
pleasant week of weather.
03:11
And for northern Britain, well we don't really need the rainfall, and another day on Saturday
03:16
of some very wet weather across Scotland and Northern Ireland, we could start to see
03:20
some problems.
03:21
So you get the idea by now, more rain or showers heading into the weekend, there will be some
03:26
sunshine away from the bouts of wet weather, but it won't be prolonged, it won't be particularly
03:32
warm either, temperatures on the cooler side.
03:35
So we all want to stay up to date with the weather over the next few days, keep track
03:39
of the rainfall, but also keep track of where we get any drier and brighter weather because
03:43
there will be some fine interludes.
03:46
So you can find all the latest via the Met Office app and via the Met Office social media
03:50
channels.
03:51
Bye bye.
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1:15
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