Week Ahead - Changeable 09/12/19 - video Dailymotion

Met Office

The weather this wee remains highly changeable with wet and windy spells interspersed by cold and showery interludes. Aidan McGivern has the forecast

Transcript

00:00Hello and welcome to the Metal Fist forecast for the week ahead.

00:03Apart from, say, a heatwave, I think we've got most weather conditions covered for the

00:08upcoming seven days.

00:10It's highly changeable, a strong jet stream bringing with it areas of low pressure and

00:16that means wet and windy spells interspersed by cold, showery interludes.

00:22It's a cold start, albeit a bright start in the southeast on Tuesday.

00:27And before all of this arrives, wind and rain coming in from the Atlantic, particularly

00:31wet for Scotland, Northern Ireland, Western and Northern parts of England as well as Wales.

00:36In some places, raining all day, raining heavily all day.

00:39And for Western Scotland in particular, 40mm through the day and in some exposed spots,

00:4460mm.

00:45That could cause localised flooding, rain warning in force.

00:48It's not just the rain, it's the wind strengthening in many areas, but particularly eastern Scotland,

00:53southern Scotland, northern England, parts of Northern Ireland and parts of Wales.

00:5760mph wind gusts around higher ground and downwind of higher ground and around coasts

01:03there's the risk of 70mph gusts and a wind warning in force in these areas.

01:09The outbreaks of rain continue to move through during the afternoon.

01:13The wind does ease a little behind the heaviest of the rain and in the southeast, well, here

01:18the wind and the rain only eventually turning up towards the end of the afternoon, staying

01:22cold here.

01:23And where it's raining and windy all day, temperatures technically mild, 12 or 13 Celsius,

01:28although understandably not feeling particularly pleasant.

01:32In the southeast, having seen a largely dry start to the day, we see the wind and rain

01:35turn up for the evening.

01:37Eventually it clears away and then clearing skies for many, but we keep a blustery breeze

01:41from the Atlantic and we're going to see further and further showers coming in from the west

01:46and the north-west and these blues indicate it's turning colder again after that brief

01:51milder interlude.

01:52So we'll start off with some sunshine for the Midlands, southern and eastern England,

01:57but elsewhere frequent blustery showers moving through, icy patches to begin the day across

02:01parts of Scotland because of those showers and because of the cold air.

02:05And these showers are going to be particularly lively, northern and western Scotland, hail,

02:08thunder, lightning and over the higher ground, any hills in Scotland, sleet and snow and

02:14even over the Welsh mountains, the Pennines as well, we'll see some snow.

02:17As we're on the cold side of the jet stream on Wednesday, but looking to the west, a very

02:22active limb of the jet stream will bring in further lows to end the week, deepening these

02:27lows and sending them in a straight line towards the UK.

02:30So this is Thursday's low pressure and that means after a dry start to the day in the

02:34east of the UK, rain soon sets in, outbreaks of rain for many through the day, a keen wind

02:40as well and with cold air in place in the north, there's likely to be some sleet and

02:44snow over the hills or perhaps to lower levels for a short time.

02:49And temperatures 4 or 5 in the north, we're looking at 10 or 11 in the south.

02:53Now later Thursday this pulls away and eventually the showers associated with it will ease away.

02:59We keep a strong wind, we keep relatively cold conditions across the country on Friday.

03:04So a showery start to the day with further hills, snow in the north but the showers become

03:09fewer and further between.

03:11A drier, brighter interlude sets in for many places, an improving picture through Friday,

03:166 to 8 degrees in much of the country.

03:20But you can see the wind and rain, well it returns later on Friday in the southwest and

03:25it's this system that we're keeping a close eye on.

03:28Some uncertainty at the moment in terms of its track exactly and that makes a big difference

03:32because there'll be strong winds associated with this that could affect the far south

03:36of the country heading into the start of the weekend.

03:39And as this pushes into cold air, there's the risk of snow mainly over northern hills

03:44but something we certainly need to keep a close eye on.

03:47And look at the jet stream snaking its way all the way across the Atlantic, likely to

03:51bring in more areas of low pressure through the weekend.

03:54So the weekend, well it stays windy for much of the country and for much of the time it

03:59will stay cold.

04:00We're going to be on that cold side of the jet stream and there'll be further showers

04:04or longer spells of wet weather, whether that's rain, sleet or in some places, mainly

04:09northern hills, snow.

04:12Like I say, virtually every weather type to be expected over the next seven days, typical

04:17mid-December changeable weather.

04:19And of course you can follow all the very latest on social media.

04:22Bye bye.

Week Ahead - Changeable 09/12/19

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