Insight on Keeneland Horse Races: Key Contenders & Odds

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00:00Let's talk through our ticket, Alexa.

00:04Let's start in race number six.

00:06We have an optional $100,000 claimer.

00:09It just shows you how much money is up for grabs at Keeneland.

00:11It's a $130,000 purse.

00:13You're going to talk about the horse

00:15that we have to start things out in race number six.

00:17Yeah, we like the three Bromley, four and a half to one.

00:20He's had seven months off and then came back last month

00:23to run fastest race ever.

00:25He didn't win, but got second.

00:26And his trainer is really, really good with horses

00:29at this part in their form cycle.

00:31When they're on their second start off of a long layoff

00:33like that, he wins 32% of the time with over a $2 ROI.

00:36So that's a great stat.

00:37Also the number four, Giant Mischief.

00:40This should be the favorite in here.

00:41A little more than even money and has hit the board

00:45six out of seven lifetime starts.

00:47Most recently ran in the grade one Malibu

00:49and got third place.

00:51Whenever they've put him in graded stakes,

00:52it's been a little over his head,

00:54but he'll be very competitive in here.

00:56He's not run since last December.

00:58So huge layoff, but he's got fast workouts

01:01and trainer Brad Cox is good at having them ready

01:03for their first outs after these long layoffs.

01:07He also won on debut and won first

01:10after a seven month layoff before.

01:11So we know he can be ready to run after a break.

01:14In the Brad Cox barn in the last month,

01:16they're hitting at 32%, which is good even for them.

01:19Like everything they're sending out at every track

01:22has been live all over the place.

01:24The six Lofty Adjudicator has some speed

01:26and there's not that much early speed in here

01:29that we imagine Giant Mischief

01:30will probably be forwardly placed,

01:31but we're gonna throw the six in just because

01:34a horse that actually has that ability to sit close

01:36and not have to worry about coming from too far out of it.

01:39So we're gonna use three, four, and six

01:42in the first leg of our pick five sequence 3D

01:44to try to make it through race number six.

01:47Alexa, let's turn the page to race number seven.

01:50This one is a maiden special eight

01:51for two year old fillies going six furlongs on the dirt.

01:55Start us out and talk to us about some of the horses

01:57you like in this race.

01:59Yeah, I like the two a lot.

02:00Contemplate eight to one odds.

02:01She's an early pace horse and improved a lot

02:03from her first start to her second start.

02:05She set the pace in both races,

02:07but faded a lot in the first and then last month

02:10just barely got caught at the end.

02:12Her trainer's good with two year olds

02:13winning 23% of the time.

02:15And I do think she will be able to set the pace again today

02:18and can hopefully improve that stamina.

02:21The number 12, My Lil' Punky, fun name,

02:24five to one odds is the other big pace horse in here.

02:27She's fast early and of the horses that have run before

02:30has the fastest speed figures.

02:32She got second in her last start by seven and a half lengths

02:35but the horse that beat her by seven and a half lengths

02:38was Mujima, I think is how you pronounce it,

02:40Mujima, who was the first time starting that

02:42they purchased for over $700,000.

02:44So no shade at all for her losing that last start.

02:47I think she'll have a pretty good chance here.

02:49Shout out to Brewster, my favorite of the punkies.

02:52I also think that the four and the six

02:54are super logical horses.

02:55Alexa gave you a couple more of the prices.

02:57I'll give you two more of the horses

02:58that are probably gonna be shorter prices.

03:00Taverna could sit a really nice trip.

03:02She's gonna make her third career start.

03:04Her debut was great.

03:05She finished second.

03:06And then in her second start,

03:07she had to deal with a sloppy track.

03:08So maybe getting back to a fast track could really help her.

03:11The six keepsake, another horse for that Brad Cox barn

03:14that we just talked about, who's so hot right now.

03:16Like Hansel, this is a horse who's a first time starter

03:19though, who's training really well in the mornings.

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