BetQL Boost of the Day: Insights on Pete Alonso & J.D. Martinez

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BetQL betting experts weigh in on where you should place your money on the upcoming MLB and NCAAF games

Transcript

00:00Welcome to the Beck UL Daily Boost.

00:06I'm Lucy Burge of Beck UL and I'm joined by Matt Horner and we have a Mets Odds Boost

00:12for all of you today on Pete Alonso and JD Martinez to each hit a home run tonight.

00:17This is boosted to plus 2000 at Caesars.

00:19Matt, what do you think of this boost?

00:22Yeah, well, don't mind this at all.

00:24They're going up against the team that I am wearing a hat for currently, which is the

00:28Chicago White Sox.

00:29That's 104 losses on the season.

00:32We have now out of they're getting swept by the Texas Rangers.

00:35It's the worst record in baseball history at this point through this many games.

00:40Baseball has been around since before cars.

00:42I don't know if you know that, but this is true.

00:44This is an absolutely historically terrible team.

00:48They're going up against Jonathan Cannon tonight.

00:49Cannon hasn't been that bad.

00:51I'd say he's an average to below average pitcher.

00:54You look at his advanced metrics.

00:57What I would be more concerned of is the White Sox bullpen.

01:01These guys can definitely tee off on the White Sox bullpen because the White Sox bullpen,

01:06our entire starting bullpen when we started the season has been DFA.

01:11It's been that bad that we have completely changed our entire bullpen from the start

01:16of the season because they're so horrible.

01:18They're the worst bullpen in the league by a mile.

01:21So yeah, you're giving me 20 to one odds for these guys to do damage against the White

01:25Sox.

01:26I'll take it.

01:27Put a little sprinkle in there.

01:28Don't mind that at all.

01:30Love that.

01:31Pete Alonso, too, hit a home run yesterday, was the only bet I hit yesterday.

01:35So all night through two sports, college football and baseball, only Pete Alonso stood strong

01:40and won.

01:41You had Colorado, right?

01:42You talked about Colorado.

01:43Matt, I thought about you the entire time.

01:45I was like, Matt was right.

01:46Matt was right.

01:47So yeah.

01:48You are right.

01:49Listen to Matt, guys.

01:50Everybody listen to Matt when it comes to everything and get in on those odds moves

01:57plus 2000 at Caesars and take advantage of our offer from BetMGM.

02:00Bet $10.

02:01Get up to $1500 back in bonus bets if your first bet does not hit by entering code Lucy

02:06when you sign up for a new BetMGM account now and head to betql.com and check out our

02:12exclusive sports book offers there as well.

02:14And of course, follow us on Twitter at sharp underscore side underscore and at Lucio Merge.

02:20Our favorite bets today.

02:21I'm sticking with New York and I'm going with Jazz Chisholm to hit a home run against

02:26the Cardinals.

02:27This is plus 520 575 at BetMGM.

02:30He hit a home run yesterday.

02:31He's got two home runs in his last three games.

02:34He's got four in his last 1013 this whole season.

02:37So he's been hitting a few of his home runs lately and against Eric Fetty.

02:42He has two home runs and also two singles.

02:45So he's been hot against him and I think he can be hot again tonight and hit a home run.

02:49Eric Fetty, former White Sox.

02:52This is very true, Matt.

02:54Lots of home runs.

02:55Eddie Walker players are former players today.

02:57We're rooting for it.

02:58We love it.

02:59All right.

03:00I am going to go.

03:01We're going to take the Dodgers money line tonight going up against Arizona Diamondbacks.

03:06I don't particularly love backing Clayton Kershaw.

03:09His fastball velocity is under 90 miles per hour.

03:13That is just never going to get it done in Major League Baseball.

03:17He's 36 years old, so, you know, it's really starting to get to him.

03:20But his curveball and his slider have still been quite effective when he uses it.

03:25And I anticipate that he will be using them quite a bit tonight against the Diamondbacks

03:30who crush lefties.

03:32But if he sticks to those, I think he can have relative success.

03:353.81 expected ERA.

03:37That's still not that bad.

03:38So if he utilizes those, which I anticipate he will, I think he can have a little bit

03:42of success.

03:43More so, I'm fading Zach Gallin, who's on the mound for the Diamondbacks tonight.

03:47The guy, after his injury stint, has had serious issues with command.

03:53He has generated a walk rate of almost 5.0 walks through 9, which is insane.

04:01He's just been walking everybody.

04:02He's struggling to find the zone right now.

04:04And that is a guy I typically want to fade.

04:06When he's walking a lot of people, that means more runs are going to be scoring on him.

04:10Going against the Dodgers lineup, which is starting to get healthy, they're starting

04:12to hit again.

04:14I just think the Dodgers, at this type of price, around minus 115, minus 120, is way

04:18too low.

04:19And they just have too much talent.

04:21And I just want to fade Gallin.

04:22So give me the Dodgers on the money line here.

04:25And then I'm also going to give out some college football bets real quick.

04:30Texas A&M this weekend against my Notre Dame Fighting Irish.

04:33I got them minus 2.5.

04:35Anything under 3, so Texas A&M money line or whatever, under 3, I think they're going

04:39to win the game.

04:40So I would take them for sure.

04:42Notre Dame at plus 3 or anything above a field goal, I'd probably lean towards their side.

04:48But overall in this game, we've seen reverse line movement.

04:50We've seen the public.

04:51We've seen all this money flowing in on Notre Dame.

04:53They're the 7th ranked team in the country.

04:55They're the higher ranked team and they're getting points.

04:58The public absolutely loves teams like that, so they're going to be taking the plus money.

05:01They're going to be taking the plus points all over Notre Dame, the higher ranked team.

05:05And yet we've seen the line continue to move towards Texas A&M.

05:09So all this money's going towards one side, but the line's moving the other side.

05:13Reverse line movement, that means the pros are all over Texas A&M here.

05:18I think Texas A&M's going to win the game, but I think this is going to be a defensive

05:21type of matchup.

05:23Both defenses are great.

05:25Some of the best in the country.

05:26And if you're giving me 3 points or 3.5, I'd probably take that with the Irish if it moves

05:30that far too much.

05:32But Texas A&M I think is going to win the game.

05:34So give me the Aggies there as my best college football bet of the weekend.

05:40Very nice.

05:41Get in on all of our bets and the Odds Boost plus 2,000 ad teasers and subscribe to the

05:45BetQL Daily Boost wherever you get your podcasts.

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