BetQL Boost of the Day: Insights on Aaron Judge and Juan Soto

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BetQL betting experts weigh in on where you should place your money on the upcoming MLB games

Transcript

00:00Welcome to the Beck QL Daily Boost.

00:06I'm Lucy Burge of Beck QL and I am joined by Matt Horner and we have a home run parlay

00:13boost on two New York Yankees for tonight.

00:16This is on Aaron Judge and Juan Soto to each hit a home run boosted to plus 1000 at Caesars.

00:23Matt, what do you think of this boost?

00:25Yeah, don't mind this at all.

00:27I mean, they're both superstars.

00:28I guess the only problem with it is they're taking on a left hander tonight, Bradford.

00:33But Bradford, you know, he's not that great.

00:35He's pretty much an average starting pitcher, really.

00:38But he is a lefty.

00:39And for some reason, neither of these guys hit well against.

00:43Well, they both hit.

00:44Well, don't get me wrong.

00:45They don't hit as well, I guess you'd say, against lefties.

00:48But they're both superstars.

00:49Judge is hitting 275 off lefty.

00:52Soto is hitting 303 still against lefty.

00:54So they're still hitting them quite well.

00:56And yeah, if you're getting 10 to 1 odds on these guys to do so, I don't mind it.

01:01Plus, it's, you know, in Yankee Stadium at home.

01:03So, yeah, 10 to 1, a little bit of a sprinkle.

01:06Don't mind that.

01:07Very nice.

01:07Get in on this boost at plus 1000 at Caesars and take advantage of our offer from BetMGM.

01:14Bet $10.

01:14Get up to $1,500 back in bonus bets if your first bet does not hit by entering code

01:20Lucy when you sign up for a new BetMGM account now and head to BetQL.com

01:26check out our exclusive sports book offers there as well.

01:29And of course, follow us on Twitter at sharp underscore inside underscore

01:33and at Lucille Burge, a lot of winners lately.

01:36So you got to keep up with them.

01:37Oh, no, that's Matt's Twitter.

01:39You will see a lot of winners.

01:41So definitely give them a follow if you haven't already,

01:43because what are you even doing if you haven't?

01:45Because we find a lot of winners, especially lately.

01:49I've been seeing we have more bets for today, as we always do.

01:53Mine is Joey Otani to hit a home run.

01:55So I'm just adding if you want to even parlay all three of these,

01:58they boost and then parlay a lot of home run bets today.

02:01Joey Otani to hit a home run.

02:03He has one home run in his last three games and three in his last ten.

02:07So it's a little bit low for him.

02:08I feel like I feel like he's due to increase his number of home runs.

02:12He's got 34 this season.

02:14He will be facing Mitch Keller against whom he has hit a home run before.

02:17And Keller has given up four home runs over his last six starts, which isn't zero.

02:22So I think Joey Otani has a really good chance.

02:25Friday night seemed to be very good, not just for home runs,

02:27but for Joey Otani to hit a home run.

02:29So I like this very much for Joey Otani to hit a home run.

02:32He likes heading into the weekend.

02:34What can I say? He just loves it.

02:37Yeah, I'm going to go to Seattle.

02:39Going to go to one of the late games tonight.

02:42The Mets are taking on the Mariners here.

02:45I'm going to take the Seattle first five innings money line

02:48and combine that with over seven and a half in the game.

02:52Taking it over in Seattle.

02:53Very risky. A lot of games in Seattle are extremely low scoring,

02:57but I have reason to believe that it could be a little higher scoring here.

03:00Seven and a half, I just think is a little too low.

03:02Jose Quintana is on the mound for the Mets.

03:04One of the luckiest guys on planet Earth.

03:06I say this about some of these pitchers like Tyler Anderson and such.

03:09Quintana also extraordinarily lucky this year.

03:12395 ERA.

03:14Take a look at these advanced stats.

03:16504 expected ERA.

03:18452 expected FIP.

03:200.260 BABIP, which is just really insanely low.

03:2579.2% strand rate.

03:27He walks a lot of people.

03:283.35 walks through nine and he allows a lot of hard contact.

03:331.37 home runs through nine.

03:35The guy stinks.

03:36He's been really lucky to have a 395 ERA.

03:40Take a look. The other side, Bryce Miller.

03:42He also is kind of a regression candidate.

03:44362 ERA. 420 expected ERA.

03:47399 expected FIP.

03:49A 254 BABIP, which is just insane.

03:52That's never going to be sustainable.

03:54114 home runs through nine.

03:55But the reason why I like Seattle in the first five, one fading Quintana.

03:59Miller also has a couple of things that indicate he's better.

04:0271.9% strand rate, which is pretty much the league average there in strand rate.

04:07And he doesn't walk people.

04:082.13 walks through nine, too.

04:10So he stays away from the walk.

04:12So I like Seattle in the first five fading Quintana.

04:15And the over seven and a half regression due for both of these guys.

04:18So, yeah, that's going to be my bet.

04:19It's plus 196 over at DraftKings.

04:22If you want to parlay that together or if you want to play these separately,

04:26like I always say, that's fine as well.

04:27Don't mind it.

04:28Just Seattle first five and the over seven and a half.

04:30Very nice. Get in on our bets and the odds boost.

04:34Plus 1000 at Caesars and subscribe to the BetQL Daily Boost

04:38wherever you get your podcasts.

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