BetQL Boost of the Day: Insights on the Mariners & Yankees

BetMGM Network

BetQL betting experts weigh in on where you should place your money on the upcoming MLB games!

Transcript

00:00Welcome to the Beck QL Daily Boost.

00:05I'm Lucy Burge of Beck QL, and I'm joined by Matt Horner and Kate Constable.

00:10And we have an MLB odds boost for all of you today on the Mariners to win and Randy Rosaraña

00:17to hit a home run.

00:19And this is boosted to plus 950 at Caesars.

00:22What do we think of this boost?

00:24I like this one.

00:26You look at the Mariners this year, like what's been their bread and butter.

00:29It's been their pitching all season long.

00:31That's what's kind of carried them throughout the year.

00:34And I like Brandon Wu more so than I do Gavin Stone.

00:37Wu's 5-1, ERA just over 2.

00:40So I think he can have some success tonight against this Dodgers lineup.

00:44My concern is Rosaraña getting a home run tonight.

00:47Dodger, very pitcher-friendly park, and Rosaraña, I mean, he's really kind of struggled lately.

00:53He doesn't have a home run at all in the month of August.

00:56He's hitting just .208, slugging just .292.

00:59So the concern here more so about a Rosaraña hitting a home run than it would be the Mariners

01:05winning outright.

01:06But again, as we always say, just a little sprinkle, a little coffee money on this.

01:11You're getting some really good value.

01:13So Matt, I would definitely consider taking it.

01:16Yeah, I mean, that's why you're getting 9.5-1 here because Rosaraña, you know, he's been

01:20struggling real hard lately.

01:22I do like it though, if you're just going to put a little bit down, because I just like

01:26fading Mr. Stone, who's going for the Dodgers, .363 ERA, but due for some regression, as

01:32I always say, .408 expected ERA, .420 expected FIP, has a high strand rate, and just everything

01:38you look for in a guy who's going to get a bad outing very soon.

01:42So if you're going to fade him, 9.5-1, I think you could do much worse than that.

01:47So if you want to put a little sprinkle in this, I don't mind it at all.

01:50Very nice.

01:51Get in on this odds boost, plus 9.50 at Caesars, and take advantage of our offer from BetMGM.

01:56Bet $10, get up to $1,500 back in bonus bets if your first bet does not hit by entering

02:02code LUCY when you sign up for a new BetMGM account now.

02:07And head to BetQL.com, get our exclusive sportsbook offers there as well.

02:11And follow us on Twitter, of course, at KateConstable, at sharp underscore, side underscore, and

02:16at LucilleBird.

02:18Your bets for today.

02:19I am going with a home run bet.

02:21It is in the Red Sox game.

02:22I think they can maybe win another game.

02:24This season, Masaaki Yoshida to hit a home run against the Astros.

02:27This will be very interesting, this game.

02:29It is plus 9.50 at BetMGM, but he has one home run in his last three games, two in his

02:35last nine games, eight home runs this season.

02:37So not that many, but he's got two in his last few games.

02:40He has six hits in his last three games, so he's been hot lately.

02:44And against Yusei Kikuchi, he is batting .500 with a single and a home run.

02:48He's hit a home run off of him before, and I think he can do it again tonight, plus 9.50

02:53at BetMGM.

02:54Oh, lovely.

02:55I haven't been on the show in a while, so apparently I forget what goes on here.

03:00I'm sorry.

03:01I should have said, Kate, what is your best bet tonight?

03:03No, you know, you shouldn't have.

03:04I shouldn't have.

03:05I realize, you know what?

03:06I should be saying that.

03:07On the TV in front of me, it says, which quarterback does Caleb Williams remind you of most?

03:15I was locked in on that.

03:16They're talking, you know, Caleb Williams, Patrick Mahomes.

03:19Joe Montana, I think.

03:20Probably.

03:21Yeah, maybe.

03:22Hey, Lucy, maybe.

03:23Yes, yes.

03:24All right.

03:25For my best bet, I'm going to go Mets Moneyline against the Orioles, minus 130.

03:30Both teams throwing lefties on the mound today.

03:33Trevor Rodgers is starting for the Orioles, and I just kind of want to fade Trevor Rodgers.

03:36David Peterson going for the Mets.

03:38The Orioles have actually been pretty decent against left-handed pitchers lately.

03:42They ranked 9th in OPS heading into today compared to the Mets, who are 22nd.

03:47But the pitching matchup, the better pitcher is Peterson tonight.

03:50He's 7-1 on the season.

03:52The Mets have won 10 of his last 12 starts, and over the last two starts, he has a 156

03:57ERA.

03:59Trevor Rodgers doesn't go deep into the games.

04:01He's only lasted about five innings in quite a few consecutive starts.

04:06So I'm going to back the Mets today at home.

04:09There you go.

04:10I don't understand why the Orioles got Rodgers.

04:13That seemed terrible to me.

04:14He's just not a good pitcher.

04:16And they created two of their top prospects for him, and I was like, what?

04:19What are you doing?

04:20It didn't make any sense to me.

04:21All right.

04:22I'm actually going to go with the future here today as my best bet.

04:24I don't do that typically, but I didn't really care much for a lot on this slate.

04:28So I'm going to go with the Yankees to win the AL East at minus 135.

04:33I think that's honestly some value over at FanDuel right now.

04:36If you take a look, these two teams, the Orioles and the Yankees, are both pretty much deadlocked

04:40Just take a look at their remaining schedule.

04:43Pretty much even 21st versus 22nd in difficulty.

04:46I've liked the Yankees all year.

04:48I gave them away as one of my favorite bets to win the World Series to start the season

04:51around 10 to 1 or so.

04:53Getting some value on that ticket now.

04:54Plus, if you look at some of these projections to some of these sites, Fangraphs are giving

04:58them a 60% chance to win the division, which is minus 150 implied odds.

05:02Pocota projections.

05:03A lot of people love Pocota.

05:05They're actually giving them a 75% chance to win the division, which is minus 300 implied,

05:11which I think is just crazy.

05:12So getting minus 135 here just seems like a lot of value to me.

05:16And plus, they're the team I like better anyway.

05:18So give me the Yankees to win the AL East at minus 135.

05:22We will see.

05:23Get it all in on all of our bets.

05:25No, I think, you know, that's a fair point, as much as it breaks my heart.

05:29Get it on all of our bets and the odds, plus 950 at Caesars, they'll definitely do it.

05:33Or the Orioles.

05:34The Yankees, I think that's a good bet.

05:36And subscribe, of course, to the QL Daily News for every January podcast.

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