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BetQL Boost of the Day: Insights on Shohei Ohtani & Manny Machado
BetMGM Network
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9/24/2024
BetQL betting experts weigh in on where you should place your money on the upcoming MLB, NCAAF & WNBA games
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Sports
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00:00
Welcome to the BetQL Daily Boost.
00:06
I'm Lucy Burge of BetQL, and I'm joined by Matt Horner and Kate Constable.
00:11
We have an MLB odds boost for all of you today on two guys to hit a home run each.
00:16
And those two guys are Shoai Otani and Manny Machado.
00:19
This is for them to each hit a home run boosted to plus 2,000.
00:24
At Caesars, what do you think of this boost?
00:25
I mean, with the way Shoai Otani is playing right now, I think anything including him
00:31
is something worth at least putting a little money down on.
00:34
I mean, he has been absolutely just unreal, 14 hits in his last four games.
00:39
He's got 13 RBIs, five home runs, like he's just absolutely playing out of his mind.
00:46
So right now is the time to jump on Shoai Otani, but you're not going to get a great
00:50
number on him just by himself.
00:52
So pairing this with Manny Machado, I think that that is a decent bet right there.
00:57
Machado, 22 homers, 22 of his 29 against righties, and he is facing Landon Mack today for the
01:04
Dodgers, a rookie pitcher.
01:08
This year, his first year in the big leagues, he's given up quite a few home runs, four
01:12
home runs in his last five games.
01:14
And Machado has had nine homers in his last 30 games.
01:17
So he's playing really well right now, hits the ball really well.
01:19
Matt, I like this at the number that we're getting it at.
01:22
Yeah, I don't mind at all.
01:23
I mean, anything with Shoai Otani.
01:24
I mean, the guy is just unbelievable.
01:26
It doesn't matter who he's facing.
01:28
It doesn't matter left, right hand.
01:29
It doesn't matter.
01:30
He's unbelievable.
01:31
It doesn't really even matter who he's facing.
01:34
Michael King going for the Padres today.
01:36
He's due for a little bit of regression, 304 ERA, 3.50 expected FIPS.
01:41
So he's not quite as good as his ERA says.
01:44
Nack on the other side, 339 ERA, but a 4.17 expected FIPS.
01:49
So definitely some regression coming his way for Machado, which is the one we're worried
01:52
about here, right?
01:53
Like Otani, you know, he could hit a homer every night.
01:56
There's really almost no analysis you need to give into it.
01:58
He's that good.
01:59
Machado is the one that you'd have to worry about, you would think here.
02:03
Going against Nack, like I said, due for some regression.
02:05
So I don't mind this if you just want a little sprinkle on it.
02:07
Love that.
02:08
Getting on this odds boost plus 2000 at Caesars and take advantage of our offer from BetMGM.
02:14
At $10, get up to $1,500 back in bonus bets.
02:17
If your first bet does not hit by entering code LUCY when you sign up for a new BetMGM
02:23
account right now and head to odyssey.com slash betql for everything you need to bet
02:28
on everything, every day, NFL, MLB from all of us at betql.
02:33
And also follow us on Twitter, of course, at sharp underscore side underscore and at
02:37
Kate Constable and at Lucille Burge favorite bets for today.
02:41
I'm going with another guy who tends to hit home runs, but I am taking him to go over
02:45
one and a half bases.
02:46
It is Aaron Judge.
02:48
So he just hit his 55th home run the other night.
02:51
And so he's gone over this in his last two games with a home run in each of those.
02:55
But he's also gone over this in six of his last nine games against Dean Kramer.
02:59
He's batting 308 with three home runs off him and a single.
03:03
So I think he can at least go over one and a half total bases.
03:06
Love it, Lucy.
03:07
I'm going to go over to the NBA.
03:10
We have playoffs going on right now.
03:12
I'm going to take the Liberty minus twelve and a half against the dream.
03:14
They beat the dream in game one of the series the other night, beat them by 14.
03:19
The Liberty have also held the dream under 20 percent from three in two of their three
03:22
regular season wins against them and again in that first playoff game on Sunday when
03:28
they played.
03:29
So dream do not shoot very well against this Liberty defense, especially from deep and
03:34
the Liberty if they move on, which I'm assuming they will being I like them to cover this
03:38
big number.
03:39
They'll play either the Aces or Storm next.
03:42
I would venture to guess the Aces are going to come out of that series.
03:44
They're already up one, nothing on the storm, but that one's a little bit more competitive,
03:47
I think, than this Liberty and dream series.
03:49
So if the Liberty can get past the dream early, they'll have a little bit of extra time to
03:53
rest, assuming that the Aces and Storm potentially go full the full length of the series, which
03:59
would be three games and against the two time defending champs, you're going to need all
04:02
the rest that you can get going into that.
04:05
So I think the Liberty make an effort to take care of business tonight, close out the series
04:09
and I like them to win big at covering a 12 and a half.
04:13
There you go.
04:14
Love that.
04:15
I actually bet the WNBA the other day.
04:16
I don't bet it very often, but it was Caitlin Clarke's first playoff game against the Sun.
04:23
You absolutely know everybody was betting the fever.
04:26
You were betting the fever, Caitlin Clarke, Sun minus six and a half was a whale.
04:31
I was going to say.
04:32
Absolutely cashed.
04:33
You bet the Sun.
04:34
Yeah.
04:35
Definitely bet the Sun 100%.
04:37
They won by like a million.
04:38
It wasn't even close.
04:39
So that was an easy cash for me.
04:41
I had to do it.
04:42
I just had to go into the the college football slate coming up this weekend.
04:49
You've got I like Baylor here.
04:51
Minus three.
04:52
You can get it at MGM and minus three everywhere else.
04:54
It's three and a half.
04:55
Now it opened at minus two and a half for Baylor.
04:58
So that line is moving towards Baylor here.
05:00
Baylor, as we know, blew it against Colorado this last weekend.
05:04
They had that game in hand and they lost on that Hail Mary again.
05:07
You know, overtime, all that crap.
05:09
So the perception of Baylor probably going to be a little lower this week.
05:12
And they're taking on BYU at home here at Baylor.
05:15
They're taking on BYU, a team that just destroyed Kansas State in every way you could possibly
05:21
imagine a ranked team in Kansas State and BYU destroyed them.
05:24
Now BYU is ranked.
05:25
So the public perception of them is going to be quite high after they just destroyed
05:28
a ranked team.
05:29
They're ranked now, taking on a Baylor team that just lost.
05:31
Why is Baylor favorite here?
05:33
The public's going to be on BYU.
05:35
Baylor is going to win this game.
05:36
So give me Baylor minus three over at MDM.
05:39
Absolutely love that play.
05:40
Everybody, the White Sox are going for the record tonight.
05:43
Everybody out there, please watch this game.
05:44
It is absolutely hilarious.
05:46
Jonathan Cannon on the mound for the White Sox.
05:49
Will he be able to avoid the record?
05:52
Will he give a good performance against Jack Kukoniewicz?
05:57
Whatever.
05:58
Is that just Kukoniewicz or something?
06:00
I always mess that one up.
06:02
Yeah.
06:03
I have no idea.
06:04
He's terrible.
06:05
But we're going for the record.
06:06
Everybody tune into this.
06:07
See, this is what should have been the Netflix documentary.
06:11
They're doing one on the Red Sox this year, which I don't know how they're going to wrap
06:14
that up because it's kind of a sad ending, I guess, if they don't make playoffs.
06:17
They should have done it on the White Sox because, as you said, it's funny and it should
06:21
have been the White Sox.
06:22
So much more drama, too.
06:24
Exactly.
06:25
I would rather watch that.
06:26
It would be an absolute disaster.
06:27
Yeah.
06:28
Pedro Gafal.
06:29
Could you imagine them doing this documentary with Pedro Gafal and the amount of toxicity
06:34
with the front office and all that?
06:35
Oh, my God.
06:36
It would be great television.
06:37
They just missed opportunity.
06:39
They picked the wrong socks is what they did because the Red Sox are not having a historic
06:44
season.
06:45
The White Sox are.
06:46
So I would watch that.
06:48
I might just watch the season over again if you really want to, since there's no documentary
06:52
on it.
06:53
But it's very interesting to follow, I think, because I think things like this are more
06:56
entertaining.
06:57
Well, a good team is good, but either be really bad or really good.
07:02
That's entertaining.
07:03
Yeah.
07:04
And the bad is also just as entertaining.
07:05
So good point.
07:06
Watch out for that.
07:08
Very exciting.
07:09
Megamax whale tonight.
07:10
This OzBoost plus $2,000 at Caesars.
07:13
Get in on that at our bets and subscribe to the BetQL Daily Boost wherever you get your
07:17
podcasts.
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