BetQL Boost of the Day: Insights on Josh Allen & the Bills

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BetQL betting experts weigh in on where you should place your money on the upcoming NFL and MLB games

Transcript

00:00Welcome to the bet. QL daily boost. I'm Lucy verge of bet QL and I'm joined by Matt Horner

00:09and Kate Constable and we have a Monday night football odds boost for all of you today.

00:14There's double header tonight, but this one is on the bills. This is on the bills to win

00:18and Josh Allen to have over 249 and a half passing yards boosted two plus two 65 at teasers.

00:26What do you think of this one? I like this one so far. Josh Allen has not gotten over

00:31this passing yard number so far this season, but that's okay. I mean, he's played the Cardinals

00:37and the Dolphins fine teams. The Jags tonight. The reason I think you can get over this is just

00:43because the Jags secondary is not all that great. I mean, you, if you look at on PFF,

00:48their cornerbacks and safeties, those two position groups are bottom third in PFF rating.

00:54So they've struggled so far. They allowed 338 yards to Tua and the Dolphins just what was that

01:02last, last time they played last week in week two. I think that was the Thursday night game.

01:07Um, so giving up a ton of yards there. I mean, they faced the Browns earlier to Sean Watson.

01:12I'm not going to put any stock in that. I mean, Sean Watson only threw 186 yards,

01:16but that's the Sean Watson. So what are we even doing here? Um, and if Josh Allen has a big,

01:21a big game like this and he's able to go over top and, you know, hit some receivers deep for a bunch

01:26of big chunk yardage plays, they're probably fine in the end zone a couple of times. And that likely

01:30means a win for the bills. So, um, you're getting some good value here, Matt. I think, uh, this is

01:35worth it at plus two 65. Yeah, I think, uh, it depends on what you like in this game. If you're,

01:40if you like the bills in this game, obviously I think it's worth a sprinkle there, half the

01:44unit or so. Um, me, I'm probably going to be on the Jaguars. I said, there's a, there's quite a

01:49high chance. I'll be on the Jaguars in this game tonight. Uh, if you take a look at the total here,

01:5456% of the bets and 83% of the money last I see is on the over in this game, which makes me think

02:00it could go under. So it's quite a bit of a risk, uh, when I'm taking a look at it here, but if you

02:05like the bills, I don't mind it. If you want to put something small down on this, I love that.

02:10And on this boost plus two 65 at Caesars and take advantage of our offer from bet MGM,

02:16bet $10, get up to $1,500 back in bonus bets. If your first bet does not hit by entering code Lucy,

02:22when you sign up for a new bet MGM account now and head to odyssey.com slash bet QL for everything

02:28you need to bet on tonight's double header and everything this NFL season from all of us at

02:33bet QL also follow us on Twitter at sharp underscore side underscore and at Kate Constable

02:39and at Lucille Burge. We have our favorite bets for today as well. I'm going to baseball. Baseball

02:44is still happening and I am taking very simple bet. It's Tristan Casas to get a hit. It's a

02:50exciting bet after all of these NFL bets, just a simple baseball bet and one to one guy to get a

02:57hit just to great stuff. Tristan Casas is three home runs in the first game of the double header

03:02yesterday. Very exciting. Uh, it really tore people away from the football games was to watch

03:07Tristan Casas and the team that's not going to make playoffs hit three home runs in one game.

03:11Uh, he had seven hits in his last 10 games as well. Three of them were in that game,

03:15but against Chris Bassett, he has one home run in four at bat. So he has hit a home run off of him.

03:20So who's to say he can't get one, just one hit off of him today. Chris Bassett has also allowed 21

03:26hits over his last three starts to bring his ERA up to over four. So I think Tristan Casas can just

03:32get at least one hit today, maybe three home runs again, but just one hit that's minus one 60 at

03:37bottom jam. So it's not so crazy for Tristan Casas to get a hit. I like it, Lucy. I'm going to go

03:42back to, uh, this Thursday night, Thursday night. I don't even know what day it is. Monday night

03:47football tonight. We would have a weekend coming up. It's a really good point. We have a week

03:54ahead of us. It's Thursday somewhere. Um, but I'm going to go bangles, uh, and commanders

04:02tonight. And I'm going to take Jamar chase to have a touchdown. Um, this price is not great

04:08for a, a anytime touchdown bet. Like you're looking at like plus one 15, but Hey, plus money,

04:13plus money. Right. Um, and Jamar Chase has not found the end zone at all this season.

04:18I think he can do that tonight. Like if, if Jamar Chase is a player that hasn't scored at all,

04:23you'd think this number would be a whole lot better, but it's because the books feel like

04:26he's getting in the end zone tonight. T Higgins is back for the Bengals as well. And that's going

04:30to open things up in the past game a little, just because Jamar Chase isn't going to be, you know,

04:35doubled the entire game. Also, this is a commander's defense. That is like the worst in

04:40the league. I talked about the Jaguar secondary, not being very good. The commander secondary is

04:44awful, awful, awful, awful. So take Jamar Chase to have a touchdown, maybe take him to have two.

04:49If you want to get a better price, I think we see a very big Jamar Chase game coming in. He's been

04:54quiet this year, 62 yards, uh, in, in the first game of the season, 35 in week two and no touchdown.

05:00So I think he's going to go off tonight, especially Bengals. They start the season slow,

05:05right? They've lost their last two games or their first two games in each of their last two years.

05:10They get going week three. I think tonight is the night that we see them really get going here.

05:14Yeah, I don't mind that at all. You take a look here, only 23% of bets and 30% of money is on the

05:20over in that game. So everybody's betting me under, it's just hugely popular. Now this is an

05:26updated betting splits, which I'll be looking out for tonight. Just for everybody to know,

05:31follow me on X. You'll have my official plays. I'll post them there closer to kickoff because

05:35money comes in all the time. And I like to look at the latest betting splits, but right now,

05:40very much looks like I'm going to be in the over on the, uh, the Bengals game tonight. Like I said,

05:45only 23% of bets on the over. I think it might go over just because nobody wants to bet that.

05:51And of course the commanders, I knew this pretty much all week. I'm going to be betting the

05:55commanders. It's going to make me throw up, obviously betting on the commanders. Nobody

06:00wants to take them 40% of bets. 35% of money is on the commanders plus seven. Uh, so I'm going to

06:06take the touchdown most like with, with the commanders tonight, the other game, the Jaguars

06:10and the bills kind of a toss up for me. Uh, people just really seem to love the bills. So I'm probably

06:16going to take the Jags. They might win this game outright. And of course, probably going to be on

06:21the under as well. Take a look at the betting splits closer to game time, but that's my thoughts

06:26right now. Very nice. Get in on all of our bets and the odds boost plus two 65 at Caesars and

06:32subscribe to the bet. QL daily boost wherever you get your podcast.

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