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BetQL Boost of the Day: Insights on Joe Burrow
BetMGM Network
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11/7/2024
BetQL betting experts weigh in on where you should place your money on the upcoming NFL games
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Sports
Transcript
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00:00
Welcome to the BetQL Daily Boost.
00:06
I'm Lucy Burge of BetQL, and I am joined by Matt Horner, and we have a Thursday night
00:10
football odds boost for all of you today on Joe Burrow, who have over 249 and a half passing
00:17
yards and over two and a half passing touchdowns, boosted to plus 280.
00:22
Matt, what do you think of this boost?
00:24
Well, we saw what happened last time that he faced the Baltimore Ravens.
00:27
He absolutely tore them up for like 300 yards.
00:29
He had, what, five touchdowns or something like that?
00:31
He absolutely went ham on the Ravens defense, but then again, that's no shock because the
00:36
Ravens defense this year has been forged by just about any quarterback they faced.
00:40
I mean, they are one of the worst passing defenses in the NFL, something that we're
00:44
not accustomed to seeing from the Ravens.
00:46
They usually have quite a solid defense, but man, they have been blasted this year by pretty
00:50
much everyone.
00:51
I wouldn't be totally shocked by this at all.
00:54
Joe Burrow is actually one of the best quarterbacks in the league this year.
00:57
I mean, you look at their record, the Bengals record isn't that great, but Burrow has been
01:01
forging people.
01:02
He has 20 touchdowns, just four interceptions, 2200 passing yards.
01:06
He has the second best QBR in the entire league, and they have a losing record, which tells
01:12
you something about their defense as well.
01:13
So I definitely think he can go over this no problem, maybe like a half unit, something
01:18
like that on these touchdowns.
01:19
Awesome.
01:21
Get in on the Sods boost plus 280 at Caesars and take advantage of our offer for Bet MGM.
01:26
Bet $10, get up to $1,500 back in bonus bets if your first bet does not hit by entering
01:32
code Lucy when you sign up for a new Bet MGM account now and head to odyssey.com slash
01:38
bet QL for everything you need to bet on this game and every game this NFL season and NBA
01:45
and college basketball, college football, everything that you are going to bet on.
01:50
Go to odyssey.com slash bet QL first and check out all of the info for everything.
01:55
And of course, follow us on Twitter at sharp underscore side underscore and at Lucille
02:00
Burge.
02:01
Our favorite bets for today.
02:03
I'm going with the Bengals in this game.
02:05
Bengals plus six against the Ravens to cover this.
02:08
They covered this number when these two faced off in October when the Ravens did win in
02:13
overtime, but it was 41-38.
02:15
That's covered this number.
02:16
Then the Bengals are also four and two against the spread in their last six games.
02:20
And the Ravens are allowing 7.4 yards per pass attempt.
02:25
So I'm comfortable taking the Bengals to cover here.
02:29
Yeah, this is a really tough one for me.
02:32
Looking at the betting splits right now and multiple sports books.
02:37
So I like to synchronize my bets in terms of overall what in general these recreational
02:42
sports books would need.
02:44
Taking a look at DraftKings and BetMGM, two of the biggest books that there are.
02:50
They have conflicting needs when it comes to the spread in this game.
02:54
So right now over at DraftKings, 55% of the money is on the Baltimore Ravens.
02:58
So they're going to want the Cincinnati Bengals right now to cover that line.
03:02
However, over at BetMGM, only 41% of the handle is on the Baltimore Ravens, which means they're
03:08
getting a lot of money on the Cincinnati Bengals.
03:10
So it's kind of conflicting there when it comes to the spread of what the books generally
03:14
are going to need, which usually means I'm going to stay away from it because I like
03:17
a consensus need from the sports books.
03:20
Now when it comes to the total here, I'm probably almost certainly going to be on the under
03:26
because the over is always a very popular bet in these primetime island games.
03:30
Right now it's close.
03:32
We got over at DraftKings, 51% of their handle is on the over.
03:37
And over at BetMGM, 61% of their handle is on the over.
03:40
It's close at DraftKings.
03:41
Like I said, it's 51-49, so it's like right there at that split, but they do have a lean
03:45
towards the over.
03:46
And I expect the public money to come in more to the over as we get closer to game time,
03:51
as it always does.
03:52
So my best bet right now I can get for this game is going to be the under 53.
03:56
I expect it to be very popular.
03:58
As I just talked about, both these defenses have been awful this year, so generally people
04:02
are going to want to bet the over.
04:03
But 53 is a lot of points and the books are probably going to want the under, so I'm going
04:08
to give that out.
04:09
Under 53 as my best bet tonight in Thursday Night Football.
04:12
Love that.
04:13
Get in on this odds boost, plus $2.80 at Caesars and our bets for this game.
04:18
Happy Thursday Night Football to all of you out there, and subscribe to the BetQL Daily
04:22
Boost wherever you get your podcasts.
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