BetQL Boost of the Day: Insights on Patrick Mahomes & Baker Mayfield

BetMGM Network

BetQL betting experts weigh in on where you should place your money on the upcoming NFL games

Transcript

00:00Welcome to the bet. QL daily boost. I'm Lucy Burge of bet QL and I'm joined by Matt Horner

00:09and Kate Constable and we have a Monday night football odds boost for all of you today on

00:14Patrick Mahomes and Baker Mayfield to each have over 249 and a half passing yards boosted

00:21to plus 275 at Caesars. What do we think of this one?

00:24I like this one. Baker has been throwing into the 300s consistently. His last three games

00:30has gone over 300 passing yards over 300 in four of his last five. Only what three games

00:37this year he stayed under this mark of 249 and a half. So Baker feels like he will be

00:43going up against a Steve Spagnola defense, which is going to be a step up from what he

00:48has seen this year. But I still think he's going to be needing to throw the ball quite

00:54a bit, especially if they are going to be down, which this line at Chiefs minus nine

00:59kind of projects that the Bucs might be playing from behind a little bit. Mahomes, I mean,

01:03not consistently getting over this number. He did last game, but he is playing against

01:09a Bucs defense that is 29th in passing. They're allowing over 255 passing yards per game.

01:16So I mean, the numbers say, yeah, this is, I mean, the defense is going up when he's

01:22done. Decent little bet for a Monday night football sprinkle. Yeah, you pretty much said

01:29everything that I was going to. The Bucs here are huge nine point underdogs. So the lines

01:35telling you that Baker Mayfield might have to throw a lot to catch up. Plus they don't

01:39really have that much of a running game to begin with Kansas City. If I'm looking at

01:44this, I might be taking the Buccaneers tonight to cover the nine. So it's possible that the

01:48Chiefs could lose this game. I mean, you're going to have a lot of people tied into Moneyline

01:51parlays here with Kansas City Chiefs and Mahomes. I mean, his wide receiver core is like

01:56terrible, but at the same time, you know, it's Patrick Mahomes going up against the Bucs defense

02:00that has been shredded quite often this season through the air. So yeah, 250 yards for both

02:06these guys. I mean, quarter unit, maybe something like that. I wouldn't mind it.

02:10Love that getting on this boost plus 275 at Caesars and take advantage of our offer from

02:15that MGM bet. Ten dollars get up to fifteen hundred dollars back in bonus bets if your

02:20first bet does not hit by entering code Lucy when you sign up for a new bet MGM account now.

02:26And of course, head to odyssey dot com slash QL for everything you need to bet on this game and

02:32every game this NFL season, everything you could possibly want from all of us at that. Well,

02:36and NBA and NHL and every sport going right now, every sport starts today. That's right.

02:45Illinois is facing Eastern Illinois. What a great game that's going to be.

02:50And you should bet on it. And yeah, Electric, get your info at odyssey dot com slash QL.

02:55This is very exciting. What a fantastic day. Get in on that. Go there immediately

03:00and get everything you need. And of course, follow us on Twitter at Kate Constable at

03:05chart underscore side underscore and at the seal bird with we always post all the things that we're

03:10working on as well. So you can find us everything that you need to bet there as well. We also have

03:15our favorite basketball today. I'm taking the Buccaneers to cover Buccaneers plus nine against

03:20the Chiefs. I think the Buccaneers have what it takes to keep this close against the Chiefs.

03:25Not that they will win. I'm not taking them to win specifically, but just to cover nine points,

03:29flawed points when it comes to these two teams. I feel like the Buccaneers can keep it closer.

03:34The Chiefs did fail to cover against the Raiders when Vegas lost by only a touchdown. And the

03:39Buccaneers are two and one against the spread on the road this season. So I see the Buccaneers

03:43covering this bit of a bigger spread on Monday night. Love it, Lucy. I am also going to stick

03:48with this Monday night football game. I'm going to go Kate Otten the Bucs tight end to go over his

03:53receiving prop. It's bumped up to 52 and a half. I still think that that's a very playable number

03:58with Chris Godwin and Mike Evans out for the Bucs. Otten is going to continue to see plenty

04:04of targets. He's combined for 17 catches, 20 targets, 181 yards in his last two games. And so

04:10getting over this mark of 52 and a half, considering that the Chiefs have allowed the most

04:16yards to tight ends this season, just gave up 58 to Breck Bowers in week eight, 92 to George Kittle

04:21in week seven. So I think Otten is going to have a big night tonight and go over 52 and a half

04:27receiving yards. There you go. Love that. I'm going to go to the same game here. I'm not going

04:32to give a college basketball, I guess today, although I will say Texas ranked team tonight

04:37is only a two point favorite at home against Ohio state and unranked team. So that's a little

04:42curious of a spreading college, Paul, if you're looking there. Going to the Monday night football

04:46game tonight, don't really have a solid pick on the side yet. 56% of the bets are on the Bucs,

04:51so they are the public side, but only 48% of the handle, 52% of the handle right now going to the

04:57Kansas City Chiefs over at BetMGM. But again, like I said, they're going to be tied to a lot of

05:02money line parlay. So the book is almost certainly going to want the Bucs here to definitely went

05:07out right, if not cover. But I'm more solidly on the under for this game. 45 and a half right now

05:12was 46. Only 22% of the money is on the under. Everybody's slamming the over for this game.

05:18They are at multiple sports books. DraftKings has it like 74% of the money is on the over. So

05:24and plus public money comes in later towards game time. And it's almost always in these island games,

05:30almost always going to be towards the over. So the books are going to be under in this one.

05:34I'd actually wait. It's 45 and a half right now. More money, like I said, is going to come in on

05:37the over. You might be able to get a 46 again, 46 and a half. I don't know how far that public

05:42money will push it, but the under is going to be my bet in this game. 45 and a half, 46,

05:46whatever the best number you can get for it. Love that. Get in on our bets and the odds boost plus

05:52275 at Caesars and subscribe to the bet. QL daily boost wherever you get your podcast.

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