BetQL Boost of the Day: Insights on Lamar Jackson & Baker Mayfield

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BetQL betting experts weigh in on where you should place your money on the upcoming NFL games

Transcript

00:00Welcome to the BetQL Daily Boost.

00:06I'm Lucy Burge of BetQL and I am joined by Kate Constable and Matt Horner and we have

00:11a Monday Night Football odds boost for all of you today on Lamar Jackson and Baker Mayfield

00:16to each have over 224 and a half passing yards boosted to plus 150 at Caesars.

00:22What do we think of this one?

00:24I really like this one actually because I'm on some Baker Mayfield props this afternoon

00:29or this evening because of how terrible that the Ravens pass defense is.

00:35Their run defense, best in the league.

00:37They can stop the run, they cannot stop the pass.

00:40So I think Baker's just going to have a huge game through the air.

00:44He's going to be able to kind of throw all over this defense.

00:48He's coming off a game of 325 yards against the Saints, not that that necessarily will

00:52correlate to a high yardage game against this Ravens team just because of what he did last

00:57week.

00:58But the Ravens defense has allowed teams to throw quite a bit on them and then Lamar Jackson

01:03as well.

01:04I mean, his last two games against four defenses in the Bengals and the Commanders, he's thrown

01:09for over 320 yards.

01:11And if you look at the, excuse me, the Bucs defense, 29th in pass defense.

01:17So they're also, they're giving up 252 yards through the air.

01:20The Ravens are 31st in pass defense, 275 yards through the air.

01:24So I think both of these quarterbacks are going to be able to, as much as Lamar Jackson's

01:30great at using his legs, I think the ball is going to be traveling quite a bit through

01:33the air today.

01:34And so I like this boost, Matt.

01:37Yeah.

01:38You pretty much said it all there.

01:39Both of these defenses are worse against the pass than they are the run.

01:43And that usually correlates to more passing yards being racked up.

01:46And I hardly have anything to add to that.

01:48So as I always say, with these boosts, quarter unit, half unit, I wouldn't mind it, especially

01:52against these defenses.

01:54Exactly.

01:55And why not?

01:56But yes, especially against these defenses, this is a very good boost.

02:00Plus 150 at Caesars.

02:01Get in on this and take advantage of our offer from BetMGM.

02:04Bet $10.

02:05Get up to $1,500 back in bonus bets if your first bet does not hit by entering code Lucy

02:11when you sign up for a new BetMGM account now and head to betql.com or odyssey.com slash

02:16betql for everything you need to bet on this game and every NFL game this season, everything

02:22and the World Series and NBA, which is coming up.

02:25So everything you need to bet on everything all the time, odyssey.com slash betql.

02:30And of course, follow us on Twitter at Kate Constable at sharp underscore side underscore

02:34and at Lucille Burge, we have our favorite bets for today as well.

02:39And football is really the only thing going.

02:40So I am going football Buccaneers plus three and a half against the Ravens is what I'm

02:45taking in this game.

02:46Buccaneers are the underdog at home on a Monday night, which is a great spot for them, I think,

02:51cover the Ravens are 31st in the league in passing defense.

02:55Buccaneers are right behind only the Lions in scoring with 29.7 points per game.

03:00Baker Mayfield is averaging 248.2 passing yards per game, 70.9% completion percentage.

03:07So I like the Buccaneers here as a kind of under the radar, really good team to cover

03:13against another really good team in the Ravens plus three.

03:16Yeah, the Bucs don't feel like they're getting quite as much respect as they deserve because

03:22it's Baker Mayfield, right?

03:23Is he really that good?

03:24Well, he really has been that good this year.

03:26So I like that, Lucy, I would be on that side as well if I were to bet aside, I'm going

03:30to take Baker Mayfield over his passing completions number, which is 23 and a half.

03:36Like I mentioned, with this boost, I think he's going to be able to throw all over this

03:39Ravens defense.

03:40That's really poor against the pass in his last three of his last four games, he's gone

03:44over this mark.

03:45And I mean, just barely in a couple of them, but he's still reaching this mark against

03:49a poor passing defense and the Ravens have given up at least in their last, I mean, 30

03:54completions to Joe Burrow, 25, 24, actually, so just barely getting over this to Jane Daniels.

04:01So opposing quarterbacks are throwing all over him.

04:05I mean, 35 attempts for Jane Daniels, 39 for Joe Burrow.

04:09So I think the attempts will be there.

04:10He's got a great receiving core, Mike Evans is likely going to be playing tonight.

04:14Chris Godwin has been awesome this year.

04:16So I like Baker Mayfield over 23 and a half completions.

04:19There you go.

04:21Love that.

04:22We have another one of the double headers tonight, the Monday Night Football, which

04:25I hate.

04:26I can't stand them when they have these double headers.

04:27It just, I want to be able to watch the game and not have to switch channels back and forth

04:32or picture and picture and all that junk.

04:34My bets tonight, going with the Buccaneers plus three and a half.

04:37Sharps hit this, it opened four and a half and immediately got bet.

04:40Now it's down to three and a half.

04:42That's despite 59% of the cash in this game being on the Ravens.

04:45Obviously the public is going to be on Baltimore because they have Lamar Jackson.

04:49People still don't entirely trust Baker Mayfield.

04:51That's the obvious sharp play is going to be Tampa Bay.

04:54The under 15 and a half, also the sharp play here, a whopping 74% of the cash in this game

04:59is on the over to hit.

05:01As we just talked about, both these defenses looked, they've looked terrible pretty much

05:05most of this year.

05:07The Saints racked up points against Tampa Bay last week.

05:09The Ravens defense has not been as great as it has been.

05:12So people are betting the over.

05:13I'm going to take the under at 15 and a half.

05:15I think that's too many points.

05:16In the other game, just a quick synopsis here.

05:1857% of the cash is actually on the underdog Cardinals tonight against the Los Angeles

05:23Chargers.

05:24And then everybody is betting the over.

05:26It's only 44 and a half.

05:28It's a lower total.

05:2980% of the cash is on the over.

05:31So in that game, it's looking like I'm going to be on the Chargers and the under.

05:35And those are the betting splits.

05:37Those are my bets.

05:38Tampa Bay, the under and the Chargers and the under in the other game.

05:41I like that.

05:42What they should do is have it back to back.

05:44Have one game start at like five and one game start at like eight or start three hours apart.

05:49Like I don't, I don't get it.

05:50Or you know what would be really insane?

05:51Manning cast of both games so that you're watching two games, but you're not even watching

05:56them.

05:57You're listening to them talk about two games.

05:58You can't even watch either one.

05:59So I think that would be interesting as well.

06:01So just some ideas, you know, for the NFL going forward, it was just, I was just like,

06:04oh, that would be really fun for thought.

06:06Yeah.

06:07At the NFL who's, you know, listening to this and like, oh yeah, that's a good idea.

06:12Change.

06:13Yeah.

06:14Change the double header times or, you know, their broadcast schedule.

06:15So just an idea.

06:17Get in on that and the odds booze plus 150 at Caesars and our bets and subscribe to the

06:22BetQL daily boosts wherever you get.

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