BetQL Boost of the Day: Insights on Paul Skenes and the Pirates

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BetQL betting experts weigh in on where you should place your money on the upcoming MLB and WNBA games

Transcript

00:00Welcome to the BetQL Daily Boost. I'm Lucy Burge of BetQL and I am joined by

00:08Matt Horner and Kate Constable and we have an MLB Haunts boost for all of you

00:13today on a guy you may have heard of, Paul Skeens. To record 10 or more

00:17strikeouts and the Pirates to win against the Reds this is boosted to plus

00:22450 at Bet Rivers. What do you think of this boost? I mean this one like it's

00:27great because it goes hand-in-hand. If Paul Skeens is striking out 10 batters

00:30Pirates are most likely going to win right so that just kind of makes sense

00:34and Paul Skeens has only struck out 10 I believe once this season but he's gotten

00:40close plenty of times finished with 8 K's 9 K's on various occasions actually

00:44you know he has gotten to that 10 mark twice struck out 11 batters in both of

00:48those games. Tonight I mean right now he has an expected opponent batting

00:54average of 198 which is extremely good and a 31.8 strikeout percentage so

01:00Skeens one of the best arms right now even though he is a rookie in baseball

01:04again like we always say a little coffee money little sprinkle because these two

01:08go so well hand-in-hand together it's not like you're asking two guys on

01:12separate teams to hit home runs like this is if Paul Skeens strikes out 10

01:16Pirates are most likely going to win. Right Matt? Am I wrong? Yep no I pretty

01:20much agree exactly Skeens we all know how good he is at striking guys out he's

01:24taking on a Reds team tonight with a 25% strikeout rate against right-handed

01:29pitching which is the fourth highest in all of baseball against righties plus

01:32they're terrible against right-handers with only a 91 WRC plus taking a look at

01:37the other side the Pirates actually have a better offense against left-handers

01:40Nick Lodolo going for the Cincinnati Reds tonight they have an 82 WRC plus

01:45against righties the Pirates but that skyrockets all the way up to a 96

01:50against left-handers so they have a much better offense against left-handers like

01:53Lodolo overall here I don't mind this at all I think this is definitely worth a

01:57bet. Very nice get in on this odds boost plus $4.50 at Bet Rivers and take

02:02advantage of our offer from Bet MGM bet $10 get up to $1,500 back in bonus bets

02:08if your first bet does not hit by entering code Lucy when you sign up for

02:12a new Bet MGM account now and head to betql.com check out our exclusive

02:17sportsbook offers there as well and of course follow us on Twitter at

02:21kateconstable at sharp underscore side underscore and at LucilleBird favorite

02:27bets for today I'm going back to Francisco Lindor I feel like I take

02:30Francisco a lot and have been lately but he has been pretty hot lately so I'm

02:34taking him over one and a half total bases this is plus $1.35 at Bet MGM if

02:39you can still find it at that price I think that's pretty good he has hit this

02:42in his last two games with a home run yesterday he has hit this in four of his

02:46last six games as well and he also has two home runs in those last six games

02:51and against Dylan Cease he has three hits all of them home runs which you

02:56could go over this with a home run so I think he can go over at least go over

02:59one and a half roll bases tonight love that Lucy I'm gonna go back to the WNBA

03:03we've been hitting those dogs pretty hard and they've been winning outright I

03:08don't think this dog's gonna win outright tonight but I'm gonna take the

03:10Dallas Wings plus 14 they're playing the New York Liberty again tonight who they

03:15who Matt's like I don't bet the WNBA you're the expert here that's just a

03:21huge spread that's what I know the Liberty just beats the Wings by 20

03:27though two nights ago so they're playing again little mini series here but when

03:30the Liberty have played these back-to-back series with opponents

03:33they've blown them out in the first game and then I mean still won pretty

03:38handily in the second game but not by as much back when they played Atlanta they

03:42won the first game by 21 the next game by 6 against Indiana the first game by

03:4736 the next game by 11 so New York tents have let it put up the gas a little bit

03:52against teams on the second leg of those mini series and Sabrina Nescu she is

03:57game time decision tonight but the line is indicating she's going to be back I

04:01kind of feel like even though she's one of their best players and that would

04:04make sense that okay she's back on the floor they play even better sometimes

04:08getting a star back some of the role players kind of take their foot off the

04:11gas a little bit and so I think that could happen tonight especially after

04:14you just beat a team by 20 so I'm gonna take the Wings a little bold pick here

04:18but take them plus 14 tonight there you go love it WNBA going back to the

04:23diamond for me I'm going to take the Astros on the money line tonight plus

04:27136 over at Fandor getting some good plus money against the Baltimore Orioles

04:32take a look at the starting pitchers you've got Spencer Argetty another

04:36Italian dude going for the Astros tonight 5.20 ERA but he's been due for

04:43positive regression pretty much all year 396 expected ERA 408 expected FIP in his

04:49last nine starts three of those he's had over double-digit strikeouts in the

04:54second half he's been a far better pitcher than he was in the first half of

04:57the season the one issue with him is command but he does have a 10.90

05:01strikeout through nine rates and a 330 Babbitt which is just insanely high

05:07that's going to come down for him so I expect some good performances moving

05:10forward on the other side Corbin Burns is going the ace of the Baltimore staff

05:14I honestly am NOT that high on Burns like he's still an above-average arm but

05:19you can see from some of his stats he has a 310 ERA in his last game he had a

05:24271 ERA heading in against the Red Sox and he got blasted for eight earned runs

05:28and four innings got completely destroyed 310 ERA now still some room

05:32for regression 324 expected ERA 355 expected FIP his strikeout to walk ratio

05:39has declined dramatically over the past couple years 2021 is Cy Young season he

05:44had a 30% strikeout to walk ratio which is insane that's down to 17% this year

05:50far worse he's just been declining quite honestly and if you take a look at the

05:54two offenses pretty similar against right-handers Baltimore 116 WRC plus

05:59Houston with a 111 WRC plus so both top 10 against right-handed pitching then in

06:04the bullpen I expect Houston to have the advantage not only are they a better

06:07bullpen but they're more well-rested than Baltimore I don't think Baltimore

06:11is gonna have Sayonara Perez I don't think either going to have Craig

06:15Kimbrell and I also don't see them having Sir Anthony Dominguez Sir Anthony

06:19I love that name all three of those guys have been working quite extensively

06:23recently three out of the last four days so without them I think we'll have

06:27a reduced bullpen for Baltimore so overall I love getting plus money on the

06:31Astros here I know that was a lot but I love the plus 136 what fan bill for the

06:36Astros no one thing about Arrighetti is when he was in the minors some of his

06:40teammates made t-shirts that said spaghetti and meatballs whenever he was

06:44pitching I don't know why like wouldn't you say like a play on his name like

06:48Arrighetti and spaghetti but they just said spaghetti and meatballs I don't I

06:52don't know why but they don't sell them anywhere either I was just checking they

06:54don't sell them I think would be a great shirt but yeah Arrighetti yes

07:02yep spaghetti and spaghetti for Arrighetti I think we should get those

07:06shirts and wear them on the daily boost so get in on all of our bets especially

07:11that one and the odds booze plus 450 at that rivers and subscribe to the bet QL

07:16daily boost wherever you get your podcast

07:22you

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