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BetQL Boost of the Day: Insights on Aaron Judge, Giancarlo Stanton & Jazz Chisholm Jr.
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8/6/2024
BetQL betting experts weigh in on where you should place your money on the upcoming MLB games
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Sports
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00:00
Welcome to the Beck UL Daily Boost.
00:06
I'm Lucy Burge of Beck UL and I'm joined by Matt Horner and we have an odds boost on
00:12
a trio of New York Yankees for tonight.
00:15
This is on Aaron Judge, Giancarlo Stanton, and Jazz Chisholm Jr. to each record a hit.
00:20
Just a hit.
00:21
Just a hit for each of these three guys plus 225 at Caesars.
00:24
Matt, what do you think of this boost?
00:26
Yeah, I don't mind it at all.
00:28
They've pretty much all been fantastic.
00:29
I mean, obviously Stanton would be the most risky one here.
00:32
Chisholm's been great since coming over from the Miami Marlins.
00:36
He's been crushing the ball.
00:38
Aaron Judge is Aaron Judge as we know.
00:40
Stanton, he's the one that would give you an issue because the guy's just pretty much
00:43
a home run guy.
00:44
Doesn't like to make contact, so he's either going to go 0 for 4 with four strikeouts or
00:47
he's going to hit two bombs.
00:49
That's pretty much the way he goes with Stanton, but I don't mind this at all with this type
00:52
of boost off of Davis Daniel.
00:54
Daniel is due for positive regression, I'll admit that, but at the same time, they are
00:58
just so good against right handers.
01:00
I don't think it's really going to matter for poor Davis.
01:03
So yeah, I don't mind this at this type of odds boost, put a little bit of a sprinkle
01:07
on it.
01:08
Exactly.
01:09
Love that.
01:10
Plus 225 at Caesars.
01:11
Get in on that boost and take advantage of our offer from BetMGM.
01:16
Bet $10.
01:17
Get up to $1,500 back in bonus bets if your first bet does not hit by entering code Lucy
01:23
when you sign up for a new BetMGM account now.
01:27
And head to bet2l.com.
01:28
Check out our exclusive sports book offers there as well.
01:31
And of course, follow us on Twitter at sharp underscore side underscore and at Lucille
01:36
Verge.
01:37
Favorite bets for today.
01:38
I am going with Gunner Henderson and going with Gunner Henderson to have over one and
01:42
a half hits runs RBI.
01:45
Did this with Rafael Devers yesterday.
01:47
That was my bet for our BetQL.com article and that did hit.
01:51
He went over this and I think Gunner Henderson can do the same because he's been pretty good
01:54
lately.
01:55
Pretty, pretty good.
01:56
He has a hit in seven of his last eight games, hit this in seven of his last eight games.
02:01
Three hits alone, including a home run yesterday.
02:05
He's got 12 hits, 11 runs and five RBI in his last seven games.
02:09
And when facing Chris Bassett, he is batting 571 with two home runs and two singles.
02:16
And Bassett has an ERA of 4.02 and he just gave up nine hits in his last start.
02:21
So I think this is a really good spot for Gunner Henderson to just go over one and a
02:24
half hits runs RBI.
02:25
Yes.
02:26
I love fading Chris Bassett.
02:27
There you go.
02:28
One of those guys I've been fading quite a bit because he gets, he gets a lot of luck.
02:33
Chris Bassett does.
02:34
He's pretty much a below average arm at this point.
02:36
So I don't mind that at all.
02:38
I'm going to go to the Phillies game here and we're going to take the Phillies first
02:43
five money line game parlay.
02:45
We took this yesterday with the Rangers.
02:47
The first five was a tie and the Rangers ended up winning the game.
02:50
So overall it paid out just for the money line here.
02:53
You can put these, uh, as I said, put a half unit on the first five and put a half unit
02:58
on the full game.
02:59
You don't have to play the game parlay, but I just give it out there.
03:02
Either way.
03:03
I like the Phillies in the first five and for the full game reason why Christopher Sanchez
03:07
is on the mound today for the Phillies 3.36 ERA, but he has a 369 expected ERA and 319
03:15
expected FIP.
03:16
He's pretty much pitching the expectations right now going up against the Dodgers offense.
03:20
That is number one in the league against lefties.
03:22
But at the same time, I think he can get it done because he is due for a little bit
03:26
of positive regression, especially when you look at some of these advanced 69.4% strand
03:31
rate, three 25 Babbitt, both of those are due for some positive regression there.
03:35
Plus I love the fact that the guy just doesn't let up home runs at all.
03:39
Point 30 home runs through nine.
03:41
I've never seen anything like it.
03:43
The guy never lets up home runs.
03:45
It's crazy.
03:46
The Dodgers live off the long ball a lot, so I love that match up there on the other
03:49
side.
03:50
I love the way the fastball is going for the Dodgers.
03:52
Just not the same guy used to be just.
03:54
He has been awful.
03:55
His first two starts.
03:56
His fastball is averaging eighty nine point six miles per hour.
04:00
That's not going to get it done.
04:01
The baby.
04:02
He is just not going to get it done.
04:04
I don't know.
04:05
Injuries have taken their toll or whatever.
04:06
He's 36 years old now.
04:08
He's just not the same pitcher he used to be.
04:10
Four point fifty one expected ERA for ninety three expected FIP.
04:14
That's a below average arm at very best.
04:16
The Phillies have been crushing left handers.
04:20
Plus, they're actually tied with the Dodgers for best in baseball against lefties.
04:24
Sanchez is just the superior pitcher at this point than Kershaw is looking at the bullpens.
04:29
Phillies top five and one of the best bullpens in the league.
04:33
So honestly, everything here just points to the Phillies being the better team, the better
04:37
starting pitcher, the better offense, pretty much everything.
04:40
So give me the Phillies here tonight in the first five and the money line.
04:43
If you want to play the parlay separately, whatever.
04:45
Just give me the Phillies.
04:46
Very nice.
04:47
Love that.
04:48
Thanks for joining us on this OzBoost plus two twenty five at Caesars and our best bets
04:53
and subscribe to the Beck QL Daily Boost wherever you get your podcast.
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