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  • 13/06/2025
13 June - national forecast presented by Aidan McGivern.
Transcript
00:00Hi there.
00:01The heat and humidity continues to rise during the rest of the day, and that could spark
00:05some very severe weather overnight.
00:08The Met Office have issued an amber warning for thunderstorms across parts of eastern
00:12England.
00:13But ahead of those thunderstorms, actually long spells of sunshine for much of England
00:17and Wales, and for Scotland and Northern Ireland also some bright spells, although showers
00:22will occur on and off here, and there'll be cloudier skies in general across much of Scotland
00:27and Northern Ireland.
00:28The cloud then thickens across Wales and southwest England, with heavy rain moving in here by
00:33the evening rush hour.
00:35But before the thunderstorms arrive in the east and southeast, it is going to be very
00:39warm, if not hot.
00:40Temperature is peaking at 29 Celsius.
00:43Here's the system that's likely to bring some lively weather overnight, and it's these frontal
00:48systems that'll bring some heavy rain and some thunderstorms to many parts of the UK.
00:53But within these frontal systems, within this plume of heat and humidity emanating from northern
01:00France, that's likely to destabilise, and that's where the most severe thunderstorms
01:07are likely to occur across parts of the east and southeast of England.
01:12So, initially during the evening, it's dry towards the southeast, but we'll be watching developments
01:17over northern France very closely, because that's where these thunderstorms are likely
01:21to develop and drift northeastwards.
01:23As always, there's an element of uncertainty in terms of the exact track of these systems.
01:28We won't know the finer details precisely until it starts to take place.
01:33But the signals are that it's across east Anglia and the far southeast of England, so Kent, Essex,
01:39Suffolk, Norfolk, where we're likely to see the greatest risk of impacts from the torrential
01:46rain, large hail, one, two centimetres in diameter, frequent lightning, and gusty winds, 50 mile
01:54per hour wind gusts, perhaps more with some of the most lively thunderstorms.
01:59And so, all of those elements could cause impacts across parts of east Anglia and the southeast
02:04in particular during the hours of darkness.
02:07But of course, the amber thunderstorm warning reflects the fact that it's a risk of these
02:14impacts occurring, not a guarantee, because we'll have to keep an eye on developments across
02:19northern France and see exactly where they're going to end up as they drift northwards.
02:23And even if you're not in the amber zone, there are yellow warnings in force for thunderstorms
02:28across many other parts of the UK.
02:30Areas of heavy rain and thundery showers drifting north across parts of western England, Wales,
02:35and then into Scotland and Northern Ireland by the end of the night.
02:38Meanwhile, later in the night, anything that does develop across the southeastern quarter
02:43tends to drift into the North Sea as an area of heavy rain.
02:47And it's going to be a muggy night wherever you are, whether you've got the thundery rain
02:50or any clear spells that happen to continue.
02:53Temperatures not drifting much below 16 or 17 Celsius.
02:58We start off Saturday with areas of heavy rain, thundery showers, and some very wet weather
03:03in places.
03:04Not everywhere will be affected, but you can see how messy it becomes during Saturday morning,
03:08with an area of low pressure in place across the UK.
03:11Persistent rain for Scotland and Northern Ireland.
03:13Some thundery showers for northern and central England.
03:16Brighter skies developing across the south and southeast.
03:20By the end of the afternoon, it's largely dry and sunny towards East Anglia and the southeast,
03:25with temperatures still reaching the mid-twenties in places.
03:27We've still got relatively warm and humid air here.
03:30Then later Saturday, any rain and thundery downpours tend to slowly ease, but we do still
03:36have a wet end to the day across parts of Scotland as well as Northern England.
03:41Higher towards the south with clear spells, and that's a sign of a change on the way for
03:46later the week in the weekend.
03:47We've got higher pressure starting to build towards the south, and so a fine day in the
03:52south on Sunday, and the more settled weather develops more widely across the UK as we go
03:57into next week.

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