Tuesday Afternoon forecast 31/1023

Met Office

31 October National weather forecast presented by Alex Deakin.

Transcript

00:00Storm Ciarán is on its way. It's going to bring some very wet and very, very

00:05windy weather later this week. This morning we've issued amber wind

00:09warnings across parts of the south. We'll look at those in just a moment. This

00:14weather system is arriving though in the shorter term. That isn't the storm but it

00:18will still bring a spell of wet and windy weather during Tuesday and

00:21Wednesday. Here is the storm really just forming over the past 24 hours. Not much

00:27to look at at this stage but as we run through the next 24 to 36 hours it

00:32really will start to intensify. Particularly as we get through the early

00:35hours of Wednesday morning the ice bars start popping out of it. It turns into a

00:40pretty powerful storm and then heads its way up across parts of the UK during

00:45Wednesday night and into Thursday. It's going to bring some very strong winds

00:49and some heavy rain. It hasn't yet fully formed so still a bit of uncertainty. It

00:53could be a hundred kilometres further north or further south. So the exact

00:57intensity of the winds will be firming up on over the next couple of days. But

01:02we are concerned about the strength of the wind particularly across southern

01:05England and parts of South Wales as that storm system moves in. And as well as the

01:09strong winds it will be bringing more rain falling onto saturated ground

01:12likely to cause further flooding issues. But let's deal with the winds first of

01:17all. As the storm system approaches the southwest the winds really start to pick

01:21up on Wednesday evening across the southwest and spreading right along the

01:25south coast. But it's really during Thursday early hours of Thursday morning

01:29as the storm itself heads across parts of southern England south Wales. As I say

01:33it could be a little further north could be a little further south. But it's on

01:35this southwestern quarter of the storm that we'll see the strongest winds. Parts of

01:41southwest Wales and southwest England especially and particularly across the

01:44the Channel Isles too. And then extending as the storm moves its way a little

01:50further north the strongest winds transferring along the south coast

01:54towards the southeast of England. By Thursday afternoon the winds actually in

01:57the southwest and south Wales should be starting to ease. So let's take a look at

02:01the wind warnings we have in place. Amber warnings issued on Tuesday morning

02:06particularly between dawn and lunchtime in southwest England and southwest

02:11Wales. Gusts of 70 to 80 miles an hour. Possibly a little more than that in

02:16really exposed areas. We also have a broader yellow warning area where gusts

02:21of 50 to 60 miles an hour are likely. But again could be more than that on coasts

02:26and on hills. And then the strong winds as we've seen will be moving along the

02:30south coast. That amber warning in place here throughout Thursday. There is a bit

02:35of uncertainty about the exact track. So again stay tuned for more updates

02:39because we'll continue to look at these weather warnings. But either way we are

02:45expecting problems with flying debris. The potential for damaging gusts of wind.

02:49So problems with buildings. Potential trees coming down as well. All likely to

02:54cause transport issues and large waves will be an extra hazard along the coast

02:58also. As well as the strong winds this storm system will be bringing rain

03:02falling onto saturated ground. So we have a number of Met Office yellow rain

03:06warnings in place. Please check out our website and our app for full details of

03:11the weather warnings to see if you will be affected. And while you're on our

03:16website why don't you check out the latest you can do to prepare your house

03:20and your livelihood for this incoming storm system. Lots of advice there about

03:26how to prepare for winter weather in general and autumn storms. Even before

03:32Storm Kieran arrives. More wet weather coming into the southwest on Tuesday

03:36evening. Ahead of that though the heavy rain we saw overnight is easing across

03:41Northern Ireland. Just a few showers here and across parts of Northern England and

03:44East Anglia. Much of Scotland having a fine day. But it is on the chilly side

03:47despite some sunny spells. A few showers coming into the far north. Single digits

03:51here in the south. Bit of brightness could see 14 or 15 degrees. But any

03:55brightness disappearing in the southwest as this wet and windy weather comes in.

03:59That's significant of heading out this evening for Halloween. Not just

04:01southwest England but spreading into south Wales. More central parts of

04:04southern England during the evening as well. Getting into the southeast and

04:08across Northern Ireland where it has been so very wet. More rain here tonight

04:12means we have another Met Office yellow warning in place. The potential for

04:16further disruption and flooding. Heavy showers following on behind. Quite a mild

04:21night with all the wind and the rain. But northern Scotland perhaps not quite as

04:25cold as last night. But still not far of freezing in some locations. As we go

04:30through tomorrow it'll be a much wetter day across Scotland. So the rain arrives

04:33here overnight and then spreads slowly northwards during the course of the day.

04:37Then there'll be some heavy showers. Particularly in the southeast in the

04:40morning. That could make a lot of spray and surface water up for the morning

04:43rush hour. Then it brightens up. We'll see some sunshine and then we'll see a lot of

04:47showers developing through the course of the afternoon. They'll tend to zip through

04:50because it will be turning increasingly windy. But there'll be some sunny spells

04:54during Wednesday afternoon. During which time temperatures may well creep into

04:58the teens. Technically a milder day across Scotland. 10 or 11 degrees. But it

05:02won't feel any milder because it's going to be wet and windy. And then

05:06speaking of wet and windy weather. Here is the first real signs of storm Curran

05:11coming in on Wednesday evening. Spreading its way steadily northwards. And the

05:16winds really picking up as we've already seen. Please as I say do keep up to date

05:21with the very latest. Best way to do that is to follow us on social media. And if

05:25you're not already subscribed to our YouTube channel. Please do do that. Check

05:29out our website as I say for the details of those warnings and advice on how to

05:32help you prepare.

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