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How to bet the top of the NBA Draft
BetMGM Network
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6/26/2024
Nick, Ryan, and Trysta break down different strategies to bet the NBA Draft and come to the conclusion that the books are squeezing bettors with the top handful of picks
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00:00
But, whoever the Hawks don't draft, the Wizards are likely taking with the number two pick.
00:06
So, if you want to take Sar 1, Reese's Shade 2, god you have broken me, broken me, and
00:12
then Reed Shepard 3, that's 9-1, and there's also a 12-1 that's out there too.
00:15
Well that's interesting because think about this, so say you have a $30 bet, right, and
00:21
you were gonna do that exact result, and it's 9-1, so whatever that number is, do some math
00:28
or just say we have $100, right, and $900, or you're gonna put $33 on each number, like
00:37
each pick, exactly. So, Sar 1, Reese's Shade 2, and then, who's the third? Reed Shepard,
00:46
and Reed Shepard's minus money, right? I think you can still get better value if you take
00:53
those individually than the exact result. I think the money, because you're getting
00:58
7-1, 7-1. If Sar, for Sar 1 though, you're saying. Sar 1, Reese's Shade 2, because that's
01:03
7-1, 7-1. Yeah. So, I'm a little confused as to how you end up getting 9, how they end
01:09
up giving us 9-1 with two 7-1s back to back, like the odds of that, we're getting squeezed
01:15
essentially. Right. And that's not a BetMGM conversation, this is just like an all book
01:19
We're getting squeezed. We're getting squeezed. There's some shenanigans afoot. Yeah, well,
01:24
I mean, if you really just want it, you're right, there's another option there where
01:27
you can just go that, and I mean, you know though, most likely, if you don't hit the
01:33
number 1 overall pick and it's not Sar, then he's going number 2, so the number 2 pick
01:38
also loses, so that's the same as doing that top 3, and then you just at least got to hope
01:42
Reed Shepard goes, but you have some insurance with him going number 3, and you got at least
01:45
something back. Something to think about, yeah. That's another way to look at it, too.
01:50
It's interesting to see how some of these things are priced. You know how this is though
01:52
with the draft we saw with the NFL, right, where there's, books have very, very different
01:56
numbers and it's also just what you're getting offered, too, and this stuff gets moved so,
02:01
so quickly. Yeah, man, Sar's minus 700 to go second overall. Reed Shepard's only minus
02:07
190. Plus 700. No, it's minus 700 now. Oh, to go 700. To go second. Yeah, to go second.
02:13
And then, that's kind of what scares me a little bit about this big Reed Shepard bet
02:16
that I just put in, under three and a half, he's only minus 190 to go third overall. That's
02:22
kind of weird, right? Yeah. Well, I think the concern is that the Rockets are going
02:26
to trade that pick, and then... And the question is, to who, and what do they want? To who
02:30
and what do they want, exactly, and in this draft, that's a lot of names, and it might
02:33
end up being Donovan Clingan. What teams are looking to move up in this draft, you know,
02:37
and why? Memphis. Memphis needs a rim protector. Yeah. Who else? Maybe... San Antonio. San
02:46
Antonio. San Antonio, for sure. Packaging four and eight together, they could move up
02:49
to three, and then if you're the Rockets, you go down one, and maybe you get... Maybe
02:52
the Thunder. Yeah. Maybe they want a big man to give, to pair with Chet. Yeah, they also
02:59
need another guard now. Yeah, they do. Well, I guess not, though. I guess not. I mean,
03:04
they could use one. Yeah. I would just say that. Right now, the Athletic is mocking the
03:09
Thunder, and listen, like, anything that you mock, like, I think is probably not happening
03:14
when it comes to the Thunder, because they just keep everything super tight. Yeah. But
03:17
the Athletic is mocking the Thunder to take Bub Harrington out of Pittsburgh. Yeah, so
03:22
that's... He's somebody to at least consider, and look around at some of his different...
03:28
his different prices.
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