How to bet the top of the NBA Draft

BetMGM Network

Nick, Ryan, and Trysta break down different strategies to bet the NBA Draft and come to the conclusion that the books are squeezing bettors with the top handful of picks

Transcript

00:00But, whoever the Hawks don't draft, the Wizards are likely taking with the number two pick.

00:06So, if you want to take Sar 1, Reese's Shade 2, god you have broken me, broken me, and

00:12then Reed Shepard 3, that's 9-1, and there's also a 12-1 that's out there too.

00:15Well that's interesting because think about this, so say you have a $30 bet, right, and

00:21you were gonna do that exact result, and it's 9-1, so whatever that number is, do some math

00:28or just say we have $100, right, and $900, or you're gonna put $33 on each number, like

00:37each pick, exactly. So, Sar 1, Reese's Shade 2, and then, who's the third? Reed Shepard,

00:46and Reed Shepard's minus money, right? I think you can still get better value if you take

00:53those individually than the exact result. I think the money, because you're getting

00:587-1, 7-1. If Sar, for Sar 1 though, you're saying. Sar 1, Reese's Shade 2, because that's

01:037-1, 7-1. Yeah. So, I'm a little confused as to how you end up getting 9, how they end

01:09up giving us 9-1 with two 7-1s back to back, like the odds of that, we're getting squeezed

01:15essentially. Right. And that's not a BetMGM conversation, this is just like an all book

01:19We're getting squeezed. We're getting squeezed. There's some shenanigans afoot. Yeah, well,

01:24I mean, if you really just want it, you're right, there's another option there where

01:27you can just go that, and I mean, you know though, most likely, if you don't hit the

01:33number 1 overall pick and it's not Sar, then he's going number 2, so the number 2 pick

01:38also loses, so that's the same as doing that top 3, and then you just at least got to hope

01:42Reed Shepard goes, but you have some insurance with him going number 3, and you got at least

01:45something back. Something to think about, yeah. That's another way to look at it, too.

01:50It's interesting to see how some of these things are priced. You know how this is though

01:52with the draft we saw with the NFL, right, where there's, books have very, very different

01:56numbers and it's also just what you're getting offered, too, and this stuff gets moved so,

02:01so quickly. Yeah, man, Sar's minus 700 to go second overall. Reed Shepard's only minus

02:07190. Plus 700. No, it's minus 700 now. Oh, to go 700. To go second. Yeah, to go second.

02:13And then, that's kind of what scares me a little bit about this big Reed Shepard bet

02:16that I just put in, under three and a half, he's only minus 190 to go third overall. That's

02:22kind of weird, right? Yeah. Well, I think the concern is that the Rockets are going

02:26to trade that pick, and then... And the question is, to who, and what do they want? To who

02:30and what do they want, exactly, and in this draft, that's a lot of names, and it might

02:33end up being Donovan Clingan. What teams are looking to move up in this draft, you know,

02:37and why? Memphis. Memphis needs a rim protector. Yeah. Who else? Maybe... San Antonio. San

02:46Antonio. San Antonio, for sure. Packaging four and eight together, they could move up

02:49to three, and then if you're the Rockets, you go down one, and maybe you get... Maybe

02:52the Thunder. Yeah. Maybe they want a big man to give, to pair with Chet. Yeah, they also

02:59need another guard now. Yeah, they do. Well, I guess not, though. I guess not. I mean,

03:04they could use one. Yeah. I would just say that. Right now, the Athletic is mocking the

03:09Thunder, and listen, like, anything that you mock, like, I think is probably not happening

03:14when it comes to the Thunder, because they just keep everything super tight. Yeah. But

03:17the Athletic is mocking the Thunder to take Bub Harrington out of Pittsburgh. Yeah, so

03:22that's... He's somebody to at least consider, and look around at some of his different...

03:28his different prices.

Category

Transcript

Recommended