Analyzing Athletics vs. Rays: Key Stats and Predictions

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00:00Today, Tampa minus 180 against the Athletics over understands at 8.

00:06DRS tonight in Tampa.

00:07What's the play?

00:09Well, I don't know if we should get a price point of that high here.

00:11I'm going to tell you why.

00:12Look, a minus 196 favorites.

00:14Tampa better than the Sacramento A's?

00:16Yes, they are.

00:16But understand this.

00:17Jacob Lopez's last 30 days, Ben, how about an 84 XFIP minus,

00:21which, again, 100 is the baseline.

00:23That's very good.

00:24How about an ERA if you like that?

00:251.98 over the past month.

00:27How about an XFIP number?

00:28Very manageable at 3.45.

00:31You take a look at Lopez coming in.

00:32He is a strikeout guy.

00:34His last 30 days and 113 batters faced.

00:37How about a K rate of 34%?

00:38Lefty on lefty, that's 43% here.

00:41You have a talented lineup.

00:42It's going to be a ton of right-handed batters,

00:45and that's where you want to focus.

00:46So say usually lefties will struggle with righties?

00:48Not the case, Ben.

00:49His last 92 at-bats that he's, or batters that he's faced from the right side,

00:52a 150 ISO, above average.

00:54A weighted on base percentage, 302 for a pitcher.

00:56That's above average.

00:57A K rate of 32%.

00:59You love to see that here.

01:00So for me, I want to take a swing at the athletics tonight.

01:03I'll take that huge plus money price and at least put me in the ballpark

01:08through five innings with a chance to win,

01:10even though they're not the better team.