Rays vs. Twins: Breakdown of the Epic Pitching Duel Today

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00:00Go up here to the Twin Cities.

00:01The Minnesota Twins taking on the Tampa Bay Rays.

00:03Rasmussen versus Ryan on the mound today.

00:06961, 962 rotation.

00:08210 is the start.

00:10How about this number?

00:10Overnight around that minus 135 price point.

00:13Still sitting around the 130s right now as a favorite towards the Minnesota Twins.

00:17A total which opened up at 8, still sits at 8.

00:19Tom, if I check the weather conditions here quickly in Minnesota,

00:23we have, let's see, 82 degrees.

00:26Wind blowing from left field to right field.

00:28Not bad conditions.

00:29What do you think of the target field today?

00:31What's going on?

00:32You know, I'm thinking that this is, it's an under.

00:35And that's what it looks like.

00:36We have two pretty good pitchers on the mound today.

00:37Me too.

00:38And we're looking at some pretty good pitchers across the board.

00:41We'll get to Skeens and Kirby coming up in the next segment or two.

00:44But this is a really, really good pitching matchup.

00:46And when we're just looking at it from a top-level perspective,

00:50Joe Ryan, 28% strikeout rate, 5.2% walk rate is absolutely phenomenal.

00:54Only 1.01 home runs per nine.

00:56Rasmussen on the other side.

00:57He's got 22% strikeout rate, 6.2% walk rate.

01:00He's got 0.93 home runs per nine allowed.

01:03Not a fly ball pitcher.

01:04They keep the ball down.

01:05They limit the damage.

01:06The lineups are good.

01:07And especially the Rays.

01:08They had been hot.

01:09They kind of cooled down over the past games.

01:10But they had been hot in June.

01:12And the Twins, I would say, are situationally very good.

01:16I just don't see this as a matchup where we're going to be seeing a ton of runs.

01:18When you look at the isos for players, Yandy Diaz, Brandon Lau, Danny Jansen, Caminero, Josh Lola, these are good hitters.

01:26But they're not going to come through versus a pitcher like Joe Ryan.

01:29And the same thing can be said about the Twins lineup where I think Byron Buxton is awesome.

01:34But there's also a lot of strikeouts in this lineup.

01:36Walner, Castro, Clemens, Larnik, Vasquez, Bader, Correa, and Lee all have strikeouts at 20% or higher.

01:44I don't see a ton of runs.

01:45I see either team winning this game 4-2, 3-2 kind of situation.

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