Tampa Bay Rays vs. Arizona Diamondbacks Game Preview

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Transcript

00:00Let's take it out to the Tropicana field, the Denver Bay Rays playing host to the Arizona

00:08Diamondbacks.

00:09The Diamondbacks have been playing some fantastic baseball, rattled off five of the last five

00:14there.

00:15They're booked.

00:16Well, it's close to a pick-em here with a low total set for this one, Donnie, at eight

00:19over at the Fandled Sportsbook.

00:21Wren Nelson gets the start there for the Diamondbacks with a 4-5-1 ERA.

00:26What do we expect for the Rays looking to roll at home?

00:29Boy, Dubs, isn't it hard to go against the Diamondbacks?

00:32Sometimes you do have to ride out streaks and give those teams the benefit of the doubt.

00:35There are no freebies in Major League Baseball or in sports handicapping, but sometimes you

00:38take a look at price points and go, hmm, that looks a little bit off.

00:41Yes, the Diamondbacks are on the road.

00:42It's not the greatest environment to play the Tampa Bay Rays in that dome.

00:45And Pepeo is coming back to the mound here for those Rays.

00:48He actually had a pretty good start to the season, 352 batters he's faced, a low iso

00:52and a low weighted on base percentage against them.

00:55We'll see how he does.

00:56You just look at that Diamondbacks lineup.

00:58Like I always use Dubs like weighted on base percentage and iso power numbers to tell me

01:02what's going on.

01:03And particularly, I like to focus on the last 30 days, how hot have those batters been.

01:07Outside of Blaze Alexander, who's only had five at bats in the past 30 days against right-handed

01:12pitching, if you remove him from the equation, all eight of the other batters, monster high

01:17iso power numbers, monster high weighted on base percentages here.

01:20They should be able to hit.

01:21And the question is, can Tampa Bay keep up?

01:24It's not a great offense.

01:26If you look at Ryan Nelson, one of those pitchers coming into the season, you probably feel

01:28like, you know what?

01:29You can fade this guy on a day-to-day basis.

01:31Not the case anymore.

01:32Dubs, his last 121 batters he's faced over the past 30 days, an iso power number of 118

01:37and a weighted on base percentage of 273 against.

01:40That's spectacular.

01:41And conversely, we just saw the Diamondbacks lineup and how potent it looks.

01:44It's the opposite for the Rays.

01:46You have Brandon Lowe and Josh, excuse me, Brandon Lowe and Josh Lowe in the lineup.

01:52Ridiculous.

01:53The only two batters that are above average on iso and weighted on base percentages, everybody

01:58else is below.

01:59I got to go with Arizona today, Dubsy.