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  • 4 days ago
Transcript
00:009-11, 9-12 on the rotation. It's a 1-35 start. That's the Rays and the Red Sox
00:04overnight. Roughly a pick-em this morning, waking up. We're back at minus 1-20 or so price
00:08heading towards Boston. The line opened up at nine overnight. Eight and a half at most outlets
00:13here. Still some nines are showing. It's Pepeo. It's Bayo. Nice weather conditions in Boston.
00:18And this is one of those games, Tom, I ask you about as well. We'll handicap it. But how much
00:22do you put in the teams absolutely on fire? Yeah, you have to put some stock into them,
00:28especially with their hitters, what the Red Sox are doing. They're scoring runs early.
00:32They're scoring runs late. Doesn't matter if it's a walk-off. They're putting up runs consistently,
00:36hits consistently. A little spoiler, I kind of do like the Royals, the Rays in this game.
00:41You know, both pitchers have been solid overall. When we're looking at Pepeo and we see, you know,
00:45a decent strikeout rate. I'm not going to say like it's overwhelming this season. It's 24.6%. The
00:50walks are fine. Home runs are a slight issue for him, which can be a bad, you know, downgrade at a
00:56field like Fenway. But man, Ryan Bayo has been pretty darn solid. We have a 28% ground ball rate
01:01from him and a 20%, 28% hard contact rate. He's not allowing home runs. He doesn't strike out a
01:06whole ton of hitters overall. But I see this as a spot for the Rays to get right before the first
01:12half of the season ends. No matter how hot the Red Sox have been, I don't expect too many at least
01:17halfway decent teams to get swept. I like the Rays today.

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