🌍 Escalating Crisis: Iran's MASSIVE Escalation Dominance  That Could Wreck Global Economy 💥 – World Affairs In Context | Forbidden News - video Dailymotion

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Iran is demonstrating a new level of escalation dominance in the Middle East, launching retaliatory strikes and expanding its regional influence with precision and power 🇮🇷🔥. This bold posture is sending shockwaves through global markets, with energy prices spiking and investors fearing a prolonged conflict that could cripple the global economy 📉🛢️. As Western powers scramble to contain the fallout, the world watches anxiously — wondering if a wider war is inevitable. World Affairs In Context delivers sharp analysis on the potential collapse of geopolitical stability as Iran asserts its might.  #IranEscalation #GlobalCrisis #MiddleEastConflict #EscalationDominance #ForbiddenNews #WorldAffairsInContext #EnergyShock #OilPricesSurge #EconomicFallout #IranIsraelTensions #USIranConfrontation #WW3Warning #GeopoliticalRisk #GlobalMarketsCrash #MiddleEastWar #StrategicStandoff #BreakingNews #MilitaryTensions #UncensoredNews #StayInformed

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00:00Welcome back everyone. Thank you for joining me today. The Strait of Harbuz is a narrow strip of

00:05water just 33 kilometers wide at its tightest point. But don't let that size fool you. This

00:12waterway may be the single most important piece of maritime real estate on earth. Following Israel's

00:20unprovoked and illegal, according to international law, aggression against Iran, Iran has the right

00:26to defend itself. And so it launched a response in retaliation. According to reports, and one of

00:33them is Al Jazeera, an Iranian lawmaker now says that Tehran may be considering shutting down the

00:39Strait of Harbuz. Could that actually happen? And if it did, what would be the consequences not just

00:45for the Middle East, but for the entire world? Let's break it down. The Strait of Harbuz lies between

00:52Iran to the north and Oman and the United Arab Emirates to the south. It connects the Persian

00:58Gulf to the Gulf of Oman and the Arabian Sea, and from there to the wider Indian Ocean. The Strait

01:06is the only maritime gateway into the Persian Gulf. And of course, that makes it an essential choke

01:13point for global trade, especially for energy trade. And of course, I'm referring to crude oil

01:20transport. According to the U.S. Energy Information Administration, roughly 20% of the world's oil

01:27consumption passes through the Strait of Hormuz every single day. That is about 17 million barrels

01:34of oil per day, 20% of global consumption on a daily basis. That's about 17 million barrels of oil

01:41daily. No other waterway on the planet plays a bigger role in the global energy supply.

01:48At its narrowest, the Strait of Hormuz is only about 21 miles wide, as I mentioned earlier. But the

01:55actual shipping lanes that vessels use are even smaller than that, just two miles wide in each

02:02direction, and they are separated by a two-mile buffer. That means large oil tankers pass through

02:09a very confined space, which makes it easier, of course, to close, to blockade in unforeseen

02:17circumstances. In a time of conflict, that is a serious vulnerability. These waters are already

02:25heavily patrolled, and the risks of attack, seizure, or blockade are real, and they are escalating.

02:32We've seen it happen before. During the Iran-Iraq war in the 1980s, and by the way, many of you might

02:38remember that the United States supplied chemical weapons to the Iraqi regime at the time to wage

02:44war on Iran. But during that war, both sides targeted oil tankers and cargo ships in what became

02:52known as the Tanker War. Despite the attacks, the Strait of Hormuz was never completely shut down.

02:59More recently, in 2019, four ships were attacked near the Strait off the coast of Fujairah in the UAE.

03:08The United States blamed Iran for the attacks, and Tehran pointed to the Western interests in that

03:15event. But tensions, of course, ran high, as they typically do in the region, and global markets

03:21trembled after the attack and the impact that it had on the supply and the shipment of crude oil.

03:28Now, five years later, last year, in April of 2024, as conflict between Israel and Iran intensified,

03:36fears once again escalated that Hormuz could become another issue. Now, if Iran were to close

03:44the Strait of Hormuz, the global oil market would be thrown into a complete and utter chaos. However,

03:50it should be said that the Strait of Hormuz is a legitimate card for Iran to play in the worst-case

03:56scenario. It's part of economic leverage that Iran can and arguably should use to help aggressors

04:05understand the broader implications of waging attacks on Iran and declining to practice diplomacy.

04:14Oil prices, of course, would spike, possibly overnight. Even countries that don't really import oil directly

04:20from the Persian Gulf would feel the shock, without a doubt, because oil is traded on the global market

04:26and a supply disruption anywhere affects prices everywhere. So this will have global implications.

04:34This wouldn't just raise gas prices. It would drive up shipping costs. It would drive up energy bills and,

04:40of course, inflation worldwide. And crucially, there's really no alternative route for maritime exports

04:47from the Persian Gulf. If Hormuz closes, Gulf nations like Saudi Arabia, Kuwait, Qatar, and the UAE

04:55wouldn't really be able to get their oil by sea. The supply chain bottleneck would be immediate and it

05:02would be extremely severe. This brings us to a critical question. Could Iran actually pull it off?

05:08Well, technically, given the geographical details and given how narrow the Strait is in certain points,

05:16Iran would be successful. Its navy and Revolutionary Guard can block commercial vessels in the Strait

05:22using such resources as drones, as speedboats, and other means. But a full closure of the Strait

05:29would be viewed as a major escalation and Washington would be very much against it. It would likely invite

05:36military retaliation, and not just from Israel, but from the United States too. The U.S. Fifth Fleet,

05:42which is headquartered in Bahrain, maintains a very strong naval presence in the region and previously

05:49issued multiple warnings effectively threatening Iran in the event of a closure of the Strait of

05:57Hormuz, saying that it would be considered a red line by the United States. Now, this threat may not

06:03be as strong of an argument as the harm that the closure of the Strait of Hormuz would inflict on

06:10Iran's energy trade partners, primarily on China. And this may serve as a major reason not to go

06:19through with using this leverage. Now, according to Iranian lawmaker Ismail Khosari, Tehran is, quote,

06:27seriously considering it in response to escalating attacks from Israel. This could be, of course,

06:33just an idea that was verbalized during an interview, or it could be a warning. But if

06:39ships can avoid the Red Sea by rerouting around Africa, of course, it's longer, but it's possible

06:47to do that in the event of a blockade of the Red Sea. But the Strait of Hormuz is a different story.

06:53There's no plan B. What we are seeing now is a dangerous dance of escalation. Israel has launched

07:01unprovoked and illegal deep strikes into Iranian territory, including attacks on military and

07:07nuclear facilities, which, by the way, is an act of terrorism under the international law. Iran has

07:13responded with missiles, but the United States provides U.S. military personnel to defend Israel

07:20against a response to its own aggression. So, needless to say, the situation has escalated

07:26quickly, and there is a lot of room for further escalation. But closing Hormuz would change the

07:34equation. It would directly impact American consumers and likely force Donald Trump to reconsider his

07:41involvement in a, what appears to be, an escalating conflict that may very well spiral into a third

07:48world war. Right now, Iran hasn't closed the Strait of Hormuz, and it's unclear if it ever will. It can

07:57if it chooses to. But the very fact that it is on the table at this time, and it is publicly discussed

08:03by lawmakers, shows how high the stakes have become as Iran's sovereignty is being threatened. This isn't

08:12just about Israel and Iran anymore. It's about the global economy, energy security, and the thin blue

08:18lines that keep oil flowing and ships sailing through the Strait of Hormuz. As the world watches,

08:27one of the smallest waterways on Earth may hold the power to unleash some of the biggest consequences

08:34in this escalating, escalating story. Thank you very much for watching. Please remember to show

08:41your support. Like, subscribe, and share. It goes a long way. Support my work. You can do so by joining

08:48my Patreon, and you can do so by becoming a member on my YouTube channel, as well as a subscriber on

08:54Substack. You will find those links in the description below. Thanks so much for watching, and I will see you

09:00back here tomorrow. Bye for now.

🌍 Escalating Crisis: Iran's MASSIVE Escalation Dominance That Could Wreck Global Economy 💥 – World Affairs In Context | Forbidden News

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