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2025 Southern California Horse Racing Insight & Best Bets
SportsGrid
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4/27/2025
Category
🥇
Sports
Transcript
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00:00
We start out with the one, Public Assembly, who comes off of a nice win last time out.
00:04
This horse has won two of the last three.
00:06
That was actually the first start coming to Southern California.
00:09
And for Phil D'Amato, do you give this horse a shot in here?
00:13
Yeah, I mean, talented, you know, taking a bit of a step up in class.
00:16
And the distance is a little bit of a question because she's never gone this short of distance before.
00:20
I think she would need another move forward, but can definitely do so.
00:25
It's a really talented filly that's improving.
00:28
The next horse, number two, has some serious ability, Alexa.
00:32
This horse has raced three times, one of them in Ireland to start the career, and then two races in the U.S.
00:38
Each of her races, too, has been followed by a layoff.
00:41
She has won in different ways.
00:43
She has been incredibly impressive visually.
00:47
And it's a small thing where the naming of the horse, like raw ability, if I was going to name a horse raw ability,
00:53
I would wait for a horse that I thought was really good and had some raw ability.
00:57
I think that's the case with this one.
00:59
What do you think about the number two in here?
01:01
I love her.
01:02
You know, she's versatile.
01:03
She's got good running style.
01:05
She's able to close from the back of the pack.
01:08
This is a class test, but clearly talented.
01:11
I made her my top selection before I realized my friend owns this horse.
01:15
So now I'm really, really rooting her on.
01:19
So, I mean, the favorite in here is going to be tough.
01:21
We'll get to that.
01:22
But I do really like raw ability quite a bit.
01:25
Sneaker is the next one.
01:26
She's a California bred.
01:28
She's an honest horse, but a lot of her races have been facing, like, company that's not quite this good.
01:35
Exactly what I had to say.
01:36
You know, reliable, but is going to find this class level probably too much for the win.
01:40
The number four, Uncorked, actually won this race last year.
01:44
She's just not quite in the best form compared to last year.
01:47
She just seemed like she was doing a little bit better.
01:50
She's a horse who's going to come from the back of the pack, though.
01:52
She'll kind of drop back.
01:54
You see her in the early pace projection as the number four.
01:56
So, she'll be running late on the scene.
01:58
What do you think about this closer's chances in here?
02:01
I like her more than you do, Gino.
02:03
I mean, she has finished behind the number six.
02:06
Tirapati is the favorite in here in her last two starts.
02:09
But I think she looks pretty close to just as good as she's been last year.
02:14
So, I think she's a major player.
02:16
There'll be a fast pace in here.
02:18
She's that mid-pack closer.
02:20
So, should get a pace set up that she likes.
02:22
If you look at the time from US pace projector on the screen, it does have her winning.
02:26
The number five, Vengaza, has been running in really good form right now.
02:31
But her races have been going shorter.
02:34
Now, she's going to go a little bit longer.
02:35
So, I kind of have to wait and see a little bit with her.
02:38
I agree because she's 0 for 2 for going long distance.
02:41
The number six, Tirapati, is a really cool horse.
02:44
Especially for someone like you as an owner, Alexa.
02:45
Because this horse won for only $35,000 to break her maiden.
02:50
And then she was available to be claimed for only $25,000.
02:54
And now she's up winning graded stakes races.
02:57
The connections have done a fantastic job with her.
03:00
Yeah.
03:00
I mean, she's one of the top local turf milers probably out there on the West Coast.
03:07
So, there's no shade to be thrown at her.
03:08
She's really good.
03:09
She's versatile.
03:10
She's won from the lead.
03:11
She's won from coming eight lengths off the leader before.
03:15
So, she's also got a blazing work.
03:17
So, she's ready.
03:18
She'll be the one to beat.
03:19
The next couple we have.
03:21
Son of Hill, the seven, and the eight.
03:23
Mucho Macho Girl.
03:24
They're both 20 to one on the morning line.
03:27
Bigger prices.
03:28
I had a tough time making a case for either one of them.
03:31
Could you build a case for either of these long shots?
03:34
No, I'm passing on both of them.
03:35
So, the seven, Son of Hill, the eight, we couldn't really get to.
03:39
What about the nine, Eternal Rain?
03:40
This one I thought was a little bit interesting because her races recently, she was a winner.
03:45
She was second.
03:46
And then second again in the two races she lost when she was second.
03:50
She was only behind horses who went gate to wire.
03:53
They basically won on the lead all the way around.
03:56
Do you think she fits with this group?
03:58
Yeah, I have her as my fourth selection in here.
03:59
You know, she finished ahead of Tirapati on February 22nd.
04:05
So, she has beat her before.
04:06
She's got a bullet work this week.
04:08
She's looking fit and ready.
04:09
I think that she's a capable long shot.
04:12
The 10 and the 11, the next two, both of these horses will probably try to be forwardly placed.
04:17
I think they want to be close and in the race early on.
04:20
I thought Hamwood Flyer, or the two of them, was more of like the wild card who has some older races against really good company.
04:27
Any thoughts on those two?
04:28
I struggled to leave out Hamwood Flyer in my top selections.
04:32
I really, I didn't.
04:34
It was my fifth pick.
04:35
But she's good.
04:36
She's got fast works.
04:38
And she's running for the first time for her new trainer, Peter Yurton.
04:41
And he wins 35% of the time when horses debut for him.
04:45
So, I think if you like Hamwood Flyer, absolutely player at 10 to 1.
04:50
I couldn't get to the outside too.
04:52
And as we do get to those, we can pull up our selections for this race, Alexa.
04:57
Because I wasn't able to get with those outside too.
04:59
But you and I both like raw ability in here.
05:02
Yeah.
05:03
Yeah, we do.
05:03
I like her a lot.
05:05
I think she'll give that tough favorite a run for money.
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