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2025 Mexico Open Preview: Key Players and Course Analysis
SportsGrid
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2/19/2025
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🥇
Sports
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00:00
The Mexico Open, Vidanta, fourth year that we have been here.
00:04
We've had, of course, the first couple of years, Ram and Tony Finau, and some big names.
00:09
Not that many big names here this year, Keith.
00:14
Before we get into it, give me the particulars.
00:16
Anything different about the course and not going to be any weather problems in Mexico.
00:21
I know we don't have to go that far this week.
00:23
No, you know, quick commute from San Diego, even shorter than L.A. and years before from
00:28
the Genesis when they were at Riviera, right down the coast.
00:32
They're down there in Puerta Vallarta, right, in Vidanta, Vallarta.
00:35
You got to love this place.
00:36
I mean, the golf course itself, it's set aside.
00:39
You might as well be like, this could be the Dubai Desert Classic for all we know.
00:42
I mean, the setting, it's right there on the sea.
00:45
You know, you really don't see anything, a couple of buildings in the background.
00:48
Par 71, long golf course, though, long golf course, 7,400 plus yards, and kind of a unique
00:54
scorecard.
00:55
So, as I get into Keith's Keys, the third one is where the uniqueness comes out.
00:59
The first thing is, this has been a bomber's paradise.
01:01
The first couple of years, we had Houston, Finau, and Rob, but those guys, they moved
01:06
the ball with some ball speed, and it's certainly an advantage.
01:09
It's the type of place where if you can really, really gain off the tee with your driver,
01:14
then it sets you apart.
01:15
The second thing is that over 40% of your approach shots, they come from over 200 yards.
01:20
So, again, the longer you are off the tee, the less of those you're hitting, or maybe
01:24
some of those are at 205 and not 215.
01:27
So, certainly some length and great long iron acumen.
01:30
And then the third thing is the par threes.
01:32
There's five of them this week, and a bunch of them are long, so it goes back to number
01:36
two, the long iron acumen, but it also just shows you that 28% of the holes you're going
01:41
to play this week, you get a perfect lie on approach.
01:44
You better be a good par three scorer.
01:46
Those three winners, Jake Knapp, Finau, and Rob, those guys gained an average of over
01:50
four and a half strokes on the par threes in the year that they won.
01:54
Now, most weeks when I look at that number, it's in the one and a half to two zone that
01:58
the guys gain in the week that they won on any other golf course.
02:02
That's pretty special.
02:03
The extra par three makes a difference.
02:05
Those three keys is what I'm looking at when I came up with my betting card.
02:09
Yeah, and you just mentioned it, Jake Afternoon Knapp, the defending champion after his win
02:15
year.
02:17
He's actually been playing pretty good lately as well, going into this.
02:22
That might be a guy that we want to keep our eyes on as well as we get here.
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2:56
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