Predicting Winners at the Waste Management Phoenix Open 2025

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00:00Let's do some outrights for you and look we know that some big names have won this event in the past

00:05But we've also had some long shots like Nick Taylor who's our defending champion here this year

00:10You have some lengthier choices on your list as well this week

00:15Well, I'll tell you what Carver real quick. I have to tell you this because you love this stuff

00:19Here's the trend of the week

00:20There's 19 guys that can win the WM Phoenix Open and here's why nine of the last ten winners have finished top seven

00:28Prior to winning in this tournament

00:31And the second thing is is that 13 of the 14 last most recent winners have finished top 10 in one of their previous five

00:38Starts you take those two trends and you put them together you come up with 19 names and each of my guys are on that

00:44List because hey

00:45This is the third most predictive course on the PGA Tour first guy near the bottom of the board plus 2200

00:50I'm going sung JM in four starts this year

00:53He has two top fours and he's 49 under par in those four starts

00:57The second guy Billy Horschel 66 to 1 Billy. Oh, he loves showtime. He loves TGL. He loves the arena on 16

01:04Well, guess what? He's made 10 straight cuts here

01:06He'd be a good one and done pick this week right against the cut field and he plays good at Memorial great

01:13Comp course for TPC Scottsdale and last week

01:15He was great in the bad weather good on approach and good with the putter

01:19Which is a recipe for success here and the last one we need a bomb right 90 to 1 plus 9,000 Andrew Novak

01:26Yes, he fills both those criteria. He was t8 last year here. Remember he opened up with about 130 was like 65 65

01:34Everybody's like who is this guy?

01:35Well, he bangs the ball off the tee and he can score in the desert and then guess what?

01:39He was third at the Farmers a couple weeks ago

01:41He backed that up with a 13th in the signature field there at Pebble Beach

01:46Little Nova Kane on the card this week. We love it. Andrew Novak gotta have it some good bombs their placements

01:53We do have a bunch of guys who have played very well here in the past and have played very well recently, man

01:59I thought Seppi had a chance to do it again at Pebble this past weekend struck has been on fire

02:06Struck has been absolutely on fire and I'm throwing him in as a top 20

02:09He's got four top 15s in his last five starts. I mean that qualifies, right?

02:15I he basically he's back in the desert where he won less than a month ago

02:19He feels good plus 175 for a top 20 my other top 20

02:22How do you not play Nick Taylor here? He's already won this year. He's the defending champion and the year before that

02:28He was the runner-up you could get over two to one on him to finish top 20 with 20 places Nick Taylor

02:33Everyone says this guy's a dog. The guy owns a kennel up in Canada. You kidding me?

02:37This guy's totally a closer give him 20 places and the two-to-one. Hey top 10 JT

02:44Everyone loves the course history here

02:46I don't think he can win but I'll take the 10 places and I'll go plus 150 on him in 10 starts

02:51He's got four top tens and then further down the board top 40

02:54I mean my kids five to nine is gonna be called Lee Hodges

02:57I mean this guy every single week six straight top 35s. We're betting up top 40

03:03Of course, we are at plus 125 Nikki Dunlop back in the desert where he won a year ago

03:07I've seen some nice things up there at Pebble Beach

03:10I like where he's at with his approach game and with his putter and then the last one Oh

03:15Jake Nat baby right now

03:17He played pretty well last week in Pebble and this is the type of place much like Mexico last year a top 40 a plus

03:23225 he was doing things last week at Pebble that didn't really fit but they fit perfect here. I love the flowing locks

03:30I love myself a little nap time come Sunday afternoon when he cashes that top 40

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