Why are there no tropical storms happening right now?

AccuWeather

With all the warnings about how dangerous the 2024 hurricane season could be, you may be wondering where all the storms are. AccuWeather's Justin Povick explains what's going on.

Transcript

00:00It's that time to talk about the tropics and so far the season by the

00:05numbers, we've seen three named storms and the historical average day to see

00:10the first three named storms would be into early august. So we are running a

00:14little bit ahead of schedule, especially with regards to the first

00:17hurricane. Of course, we talked about powerful hurricane barrel again earlier

00:22on in the month and the typical again, a historical date for the first

00:27hurricane is not until the 11th of august. With that said, boy, is it quiet

00:31right now. Again, tropical waves here have little if any thunderstorms

00:35associated or tied with them. There's a lot of dry air right now going on

00:40throughout the open atlantic. It's hiding with some saharan dust coming

00:43off the coast of africa and that's even going to lead to some hazy skies

00:47into Bermuda as we go down the road. But tropical development here is not

00:51expected due to all the dry air and also the wind shear. The winds higher

00:56up in the atmosphere are working their way west to east as again, these

01:00tropical waves move east to west, so they are not going to be conducive for

01:05any organization. They will stay weak, but the water is warm here and again

01:09with the lesson is the lessening of the wind shear later on the season that has

01:13us concerned about a supercharged hurricane season, excuse me, with above

01:18the historical average amount of named storms, hurricanes and major

01:22hurricanes. In fact, we're looking at 20 to 25 named storms and that will

01:27put us in some very rare territory here. If in fact you were to look back

01:31through time, 25 named storms in itself will be the third most active atlantic

01:38hurricane seasons here on record. You think back to the very busy seasons of

01:432005 as well as 2020 when we saw 30 named storms.

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