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Forecasters concerned about widespread, catastrophic damage from Hurricane Helene
AccuWeather
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9/27/2024
AccuWeather forecasters break down what they're expecting from Hurricane Helene's imminent landfall.
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News
Transcript
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00:00
I want to bring in our AccuWeather hurricane expert, meteorologist Dan DePodwin, and Dan,
00:05
we want to give the latest here of the conditions that we're looking at here with Hurricane
00:11
Helene.
00:12
Yeah, Bernie, the concern obviously continues to increase as Helene begins its approach
00:18
to the Florida Big Bend, a Category 4 hurricane, as we've been talking about for the last couple
00:22
of days, that we were the first to predict that, and we've held that forecast consistently,
00:25
also with an AccuWeather real impact of four.
00:28
That's the second from the top level of a five on that scale, and that indicates widespread
00:33
significant and in some places catastrophic damage from this storm, landfall coming up
00:38
fairly soon in the next few hours, and here are some of the impacts from a real impact
00:42
of a four as we've been talking about.
00:43
Some of these concerns can last for days to weeks, especially the flooding.
00:48
Yeah, and you can see the widespread damage and the wind, the power outages, that's why
00:54
the decision was made yesterday in advance, it's important to notice this, in advance
01:00
of Hurricane Helene becoming a four, we moved that real impact scale because of the impacts
01:07
that we would see well inland.
01:10
Here's the latest, Dan, your impression of the satellite.
01:13
It is continuing to maintain, at least maintain if not continue to slowly strengthen a bit
01:18
in the last hour or two, maximum sustained winds at 130 miles per hour.
01:22
We could see it slightly increase before landfall, but regardless, a strengthening storm coming
01:26
into this region is a dangerous setup for widespread impacts.
01:29
Look at the size of the storm.
01:31
That's been the other part of this storm, just the sheer size.
01:35
We've had impacts well away from the center of circulation.
01:39
You know, the strongest storm so far this season, Barrel, when it moved across the southern
01:44
Windward Islands, then made landfall in the upper Texas coast as a Category 1 hurricane,
01:50
and certainly you could see the difference in size between the two storms, Dan.
01:54
Yeah, you can.
01:55
The tropical storm force winds extend most of the width of Florida.
01:59
The hurricane force winds extend 80 to 90 miles in either direction, so it's really
02:03
a major size difference here, almost three times the width of tropical storm force winds
02:09
as compared to Barrel from earlier this year.
02:11
The decision was made, Dan, just a short time ago, and again, when we look at the IPATH
02:16
Category 4 in Apalachee Bay, but we made the decision to fine-tune the AccuWeather
02:23
Exclusive Landfall Forecast.
02:25
Yeah, we see some wobbles left and right, east and west as the storm approaches, but
02:29
this is the area we're really focusing on here over the next three to four hours in
02:33
the middle of the Big Bend of Florida, just probably just east of St. Mark's, near the
02:36
mouth of the Osceola River here is where we're most concerned for landfall, but really everywhere
02:40
in this region and well inland is at risk for significant widespread impacts.
02:46
And take a look at, again, we're continuing the forecast that we are looking for hurricane
02:50
conditions in the Tallahassee area.
02:53
There's the wind gusts of 100 to 120 miles per hour, and we've been really, really concerned
03:00
about how far inland the damaging winds will extend.
03:05
Winds are always a concern of the coast with hurricanes.
03:07
This storm, because of its forward speed, 30 miles an hour potentially here as it heads
03:10
through the southeast, will bring those winds much farther inland than most storms, and
03:14
that's why we expect significant widespread power outages that can last for days, if not
03:18
a week in some areas.
03:19
It extends through most of Georgia into the western Carolinas, even eastern Tennessee.
03:24
So significant, and there's already 300,000 people without power in Florida.
03:28
We expect that number to just grow and balloon overnight here across the southeast.
03:32
All right, hurricane, AccuWeather hurricane expert Dan Dupondrit, thanks for the update.
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