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Report
Hurricane Helene expected to be one of the nation's costliest natural disasters
AccuWeather
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9/30/2024
AccuWeather experts are projecting the total damage and economic losses from Helene to reach more than $145 billion, which is more than double the costs of Hurricane Florence.
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00:00
We want to talk about the big picture. Let's zoom out a little bit and there's nobody better to help
00:03
us do that than AccuWeather chief meteorologist John Porter. He is in close contact with the
00:08
AccuWeather data analytics team and there's a lot to unpack here, John.
00:12
Sure is, and Jeff, this astounding impact here is exactly why AccuWeather was sounding the alarm
00:20
ahead of all other sources with the language that we use, the urgency about the catastrophic
00:26
damage. Our experts are preliminarily estimating a total damage and economic loss of $145 to $160
00:35
billion. This will end up being one of the nation's most costly and damaging natural disasters.
00:42
And when we put this into context, some of these numbers just become so big,
00:46
they just, it's hard to visualize or compare without maybe a little bit of graphical help
00:53
here. So how does this stack up recently among other major hurricane threats that we faced in
00:58
the past five, six, seven years, and also just this year? Well, that's a great point. And here
01:02
at AccuWeather, we always want to put the weather into context for you and take a look at this.
01:07
Helene does not have good company here on this list. Look at Hurricane Ian from 2022,
01:15
$180 to $210 billion, and Florence, $50 to $60 billion. So a much greater impact than Florence,
01:23
also across North Carolina. So this was a very damaging storm, and we've been adding up the
01:29
numbers here. This is not a good list to have in terms of the growing impacts financially
01:36
as it relates to this hurricane season. It's been a big one, and we still have more time to go.
01:40
Absolutely, and you can even see the unnamed tropical rainstorm from just two weeks ago. It
01:46
was two weeks ago today, I think, John, two Mondays ago that we were watching that with
01:50
just ferocious rainfall in parts of southern North Carolina, but this far outpaced that
01:55
with so many different impacts. And we want to look ahead here because we still have plenty of
01:59
time with the hurricane season, maybe the bottom of the sixth inning, if it's for that baseball
02:02
analogy. And where are we looking for the next concern beyond the noise out in the middle of
02:10
the Atlantic, a few named storms out there, where are we concerned about greater impacts for us?
02:14
Well, we're scanning for trouble in some of the same places that Helene came from, that is the
02:18
northwest Caribbean Sea. You notice there's a cluster of showers and thunderstorms moving
02:24
through the Caribbean Sea right now. That's going to move to the west, and over time, we expect
02:29
that either in the northwest Caribbean Sea or the southern Gulf of Mexico, another tropical
02:34
depression can form that can intensify into a tropical storm, perhaps even a hurricane,
02:39
be in the Gulf of Mexico and perhaps head toward the United States. So I wish we had better news.
02:44
We need everybody along the Gulf of Mexico coastline to be aware and frequently checking
02:49
in with us here at AccuWeather. And regardless of exactly the moment when some of these things
02:53
get named or become depressions, there's kind of a big picture theme that we can count on for
02:58
mid to late week here before we really get into more of those coastal direct impact conversations.
03:04
Correct. And that's going to be plenty of tropical moisture being drawn to the north
03:08
with downpours along the Gulf Coast, especially from Louisiana over toward Florida. That's not
03:14
good news because some of the same areas that were heavily impacted by Helene across the Big
03:19
Bend region up into north Florida, even parts of southern Georgia can have renewed heavy rainfall
03:26
in some of those areas, which can be a challenge to hamper some of the recovery efforts.
03:30
Specifically in that area with the storm surge, it seems that the early part of this week will
03:34
probably be the period of time when outdoor work can be done with the fewest interruptions.
03:41
Things are going to ramp back up and the showers and storms will return.
03:43
AccuWeather Chief Meteorologist Jonathan Porter. Thanks again, John.
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